Do I ship it?

GamesCard GameCard Game + Military

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Military Card Game?

Card Game + Military

Only 19 developers shipped a Military Card Game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Knights in Tight Spaces, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 28 more are announced, ×2.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $360, ×0.6 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $210. 28 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.8 per shipper, while revenue is up 215% on the market.

Deciding numbers: median 0.6 times the market baseline, revenue up 215% on the market, 28 announced, ×2.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Card Game + Military
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 19
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $3.8k → $26k → $120 → $25k → $300 (still earning) → $4.8k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Card Game + Military: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 19
Bottom 30% $210 (exactly $210)
Median $359 (exactly $359)
Top 25% $25k (exactly $24,689)
Top 5% $498k (exactly $498,351)
Developers, 2 yr 19
Released games 62
Announced 28
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 215% on the market, supply 10% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 39%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Card Game
effort 2 / 10 · high · rules engine and card data
Military
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Card Game; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Strategy, Deckbuilding, Turn-Based Strategy
Price point
$7.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Funny
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.

The top 10 games average 82% positive over 2,425 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $210, median $360, 1 in 4 over $24k, 1 in 20 over $490k.

3 in 10 developers made under $210. 8 in 10 of the 16 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 28 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.8 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Card Game with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + SteampunkFair15 devs · median $7.6k · 18 announced
  2. + Immersive SimFair43 devs · median $3.6k · 43 announced
  3. + Inventory ManagementFair65 devs · median $1.6k · 86 announced
  4. + DogsFair11 devs · median $1.5k · 8 announced
  5. + MahjongFair28 devs · median $748 · 24 announced
  6. + Artificial IntelligenceFair40 devs · median $719 · 54 announced
  7. + GamblingFair126 devs · median $600 · 167 announced
  8. + Point & ClickFair62 devs · median $539 · 69 announced
  9. + Hidden ObjectFair17 devs · median $537 · 15 announced
  10. + Board GameFair293 devs · median $479 · 382 announced
  11. + PuzzleFair198 devs · median $479 · 206 announced
  12. + Dating SimPoor odds23 devs · median $18k · 48 announced

All 159 pairs on the Card Game page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Dune: Imperium older $22.99 3,806 94% 114k $2.6M (exactly $2,624,998) Dire Wolf
Hexarchy older $19.99 1,231 83% 37k $738k (exactly $738,231) Main Tank Software
Knights in Tight Spaces $19.99 831 69% 25k $498k (exactly $498,351) Ground Shatter
Heart of Crown PC older $24.99 528 80% 16k $396k (exactly $395,842) illuCalab, FLIPFLOPs, Japanime Digital
There Are No Orcs $8.99 1,188 93% 36k $320k (exactly $320,404) BaseTrade Studio
Third Front: WWII older $7.99 314 59% 9.4k $75k (exactly $75,266) Hamsters Gaming
Last Day of Rome older $11.99 162 49% 4.9k $58k (exactly $58,271) Hamsters
Neuroshima Hex $9.99 93 72% 2.8k $28k (exactly $27,872) Baked Games
希望之城 The City Of Hope older $6.99 126 68% 3.8k $26k (exactly $26,422) 家里蹲工作室
Flaregate Network $14.99 58 77% 1.7k $26k (exactly $26,083) Keycard Studio, LLC
Tuggowar $7.99 103 91% 3.1k $25k (exactly $24,689) Tension Games
Lucky Lord: The Coin Pusher of Fate $7.99 83 77% 2.5k $20k (exactly $19,895) Star Seeker Studio
MoeArmy vs SuArmy $2.99 54 83% 1.6k $4.8k (exactly $4,844) KumiLGames
Crisis Commander: Strait Of Hormuz $3.99 9 77% 270 $1.1k (exactly $1,077) Kra Kra Games
Tyrants $6.99 3 33% 90 $629 (exactly $629) Artifex Parvus
OMEGA 卡牌冒险 $3.99 3 0% 90 $359 (exactly $359) OMEGA

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.