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Should I ship a Martial-Arts Card Game?
Card Game + Martial Arts
Of 20 developers who shipped a Martial-Arts Card Game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 25 more are announced, ×2.1 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $4.7k, ×7.4 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $450; 1 in 20 cleared $120k, ×205 the market median. Revenue is down 85% on the market; 25 games are announced against 12 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $449 (exactly $449) |
|---|---|
| Median | $4.7k (exactly $4,676) |
| Top 25% | $38k (exactly $37,781) |
| Top 5% | $129k (exactly $128,991) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 20 |
| Released games | 38 |
| Announced | 25 |
| Effort | 6 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $7.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 85% on the market, supply 50% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 24%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Card Game
- effort 2 / 10 · high · rules engine and card data
- Martial Arts
- effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
- Systems
- Card Game; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Strategy, Card Battler, Deckbuilding
- Price point
- $7.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
- Art
- 4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Colorful
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.
The top 10 games average 70% positive over 1,062 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $450. 8 in 10 of the 11 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 25 games are announced against 12 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.1 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Card Game with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + SteampunkFair
- + Immersive SimFair
- + Inventory ManagementFair
- + DogsFair
- + MahjongFair
- + Artificial IntelligenceFair
- + GamblingFair
- + Point & ClickFair
- + Hidden ObjectFair
- + Board GameFair
- + PuzzleFair
- + Dating SimPoor odds
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Fights in Tight Spaces | older | $24.99 | 3,545 90% | 106k | $2.7M (exactly $2,657,686) | Ground Shatter |
| | 天外武林 (Traveler of Wuxia) | older | $24.99 | 3,151 85% | 95k | $2.4M (exactly $2,362,305) | 香港商河洛互動娛樂股份有限公司 |
| | Nitro Kid | older | $19.99 | 410 89% | 12k | $246k (exactly $245,877) | Wildboy Studios |
| | Stack to Ascension | $12.99 | 331 54% | 9.9k | $129k (exactly $128,991) | Stack to Ascension | |
| | Yomi 2 | $19.99 | 104 92% | 3.1k | $62k (exactly $62,369) | Sirlin Games | |
| | Ultimate Hero | $9.99 | 184 65% | 5.5k | $55k (exactly $55,145) | Fishwharf | |
| | 2 Fights in 2 Tight Spaces | · EA | $12.99 | 115 84% | 3.5k | $45k (exactly $44,816) | Ground Shatter |
| | Guardians of Dao | · EA | $19.99 | 63 74% | 1.9k | $38k (exactly $37,781) | George Financial Holding Ltd. |
| | The King Of Truancy | $9.99 | 68 79% | 2.0k | $20k (exactly $20,380) | Qulong Game | |
| | Kungfu Card | · EA | $4.99 | 125 73% | 3.8k | $19k (exactly $18,712) | ZeroCastle Game Studio, Miwu Studio |
| | Punch to Glory | $6.99 | 42 92% | 1.3k | $8.8k (exactly $8,807) | Musa GUNGOR | |
| | 荡天下 | $10.99 | 18 61% | 540 | $5.9k (exactly $5,935) | Herry013, Herry013 | |
| | Zodiac Mountain | · EA | $12.99 | 12 91% | 360 | $4.7k (exactly $4,676) | Mystic Road |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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