Do I ship it?

GamesCard GameCard Game + Logic

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Card Game Logic game?

Card Game + Logic

Of 125 developers who shipped a Card Game Logic game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 128 more are announced.

Verdict: dead, for a 2 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $270 in the last 2 years and $480 over 4, against a market of $120 for a 2 / 10 build. 85 developers shipped in the last year and 128 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 2.3 times the market baseline, revenue down 65% on the market, 128 announced, ×1.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Card Game + Logic
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 125
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $449 → $1.2k → $2.2k → $1.0k → $300 → $718 → $180 (still earning) → $299 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Card Game + Logic: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 125
Bottom 30% $30 (exactly $30)
Median $270 (exactly $270)
Top 25% $1.9k (exactly $1,890)
Top 5% $23k (exactly $23,377)
Developers, 2 yr 125
Released games 354
Announced 128
Effort 2 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 65% on the market, supply 105% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 13%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Card Game
effort 2 / 10 · high · rules engine and card data
Logic
effort 2 / 10 · high · deductive rules and grids

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
2 / 10 · static 2D art, simple logic
Systems
Card Game, Logic; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Strategy, Puzzle, Deckbuilding
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $9.99 or above
Art
3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Colorful, Cute
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $9.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 88% positive over 3,879 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $270, 1 in 4 over $1.8k, 1 in 20 over $23k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. 8 in 10 of the 52 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 128 games are announced against 85 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Card Game with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + SteampunkFair15 devs · median $7.6k · 18 announced
  2. + Immersive SimFair43 devs · median $3.6k · 43 announced
  3. + Inventory ManagementFair65 devs · median $1.6k · 86 announced
  4. + DogsFair11 devs · median $1.5k · 8 announced
  5. + MahjongFair28 devs · median $748 · 24 announced
  6. + Artificial IntelligenceFair40 devs · median $719 · 54 announced
  7. + GamblingFair126 devs · median $600 · 167 announced
  8. + Point & ClickFair62 devs · median $539 · 69 announced
  9. + Hidden ObjectFair17 devs · median $537 · 15 announced
  10. + Board GameFair293 devs · median $479 · 382 announced
  11. + PuzzleFair198 devs · median $479 · 206 announced
  12. + Dating SimPoor odds23 devs · median $18k · 48 announced

All 159 pairs on the Card Game page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Cobalt Core older $19.99 4,067 95% 122k $2.4M (exactly $2,438,980) Rocket Rat Games
Clue/Cluedo: Classic Edition older $16.99 3,096 88% 93k $1.6M (exactly $1,578,031) Marmalade Game Studio Ltd
Last Call BBS older $19.99 1,220 94% 37k $732k (exactly $731,634) Zachtronics
GWENT: Rogue Mage (Single-Player Expansion) older $9.99 1,266 54% 38k $379k (exactly $379,420) CD PROJEKT RED
Trainee Death Simulator $5.99 1,746 92% 52k $314k (exactly $313,756) Bone Nail
The Solitaire Conspiracy older $11.99 742 89% 22k $267k (exactly $266,897) Bithell Games
Quantum Protocol older $12.99 625 90% 19k $244k (exactly $243,562) Kaio Meris
A=B older $4.99 908 94% 27k $136k (exactly $135,928) Artless Games
Wordatro! $9.99 401 85% 12k $120k (exactly $120,180) Le Poulet
Queens Casino $9.99 311 98% 9.3k $93k (exactly $93,207) sartahouse
Technotopia $4.99 599 86% 18k $90k (exactly $89,670) Yustas
A Solitaire Mystery $9.99 278 91% 8.3k $83k (exactly $83,317) Hempuli Oy
Infinity Sweeper $9.99 256 59% 7.7k $77k (exactly $76,723) Longshot Studio
Birdigo - bird word game $9.99 78 84% 2.3k $23k (exactly $23,377) John August, Corey Martin
Dimwood $14.99 47 100% 1.4k $21k (exactly $21,136) Inkspun LLC
Azoove $14.99 46 91% 1.4k $21k (exactly $20,686) Timeless Toucan
Body Pay "OMG! The girl with the big titties is too hitting on me!" $4.99 117 73% 3.5k $18k (exactly $17,515) Cheese Burger Studio

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.