Do I ship it?

Games › Farming Sim › Farming Sim + Card Game

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Card Game Farming Sim?

Farming Sim + Card Game

Of 22 developers who shipped a Card Game Farming Sim in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 18 more are announced.

Verdict: dead, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $300 in the last 2 years and $300 over 4, against a market of $480 for a 4 / 10 build. 11 developers shipped in the last year and 18 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.6 times the market baseline, revenue up 1110% on the market, 18 announced, ×1.6 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Farming Sim + Card Game
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 22
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $179 → $0 → $22k → $27k (still earning) → $300 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Farming Sim + Card Game: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 22
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $300 (exactly $300)
Top 25% $26k (exactly $26,258)
Top 5% $749k (exactly $748,760)
Developers, 2 yr 22
Released games 36
Announced 18
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 1110% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 17%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Farming Sim
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Card Game
effort 2 / 10 · high · rules engine and card data

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Farming Sim, Card Game; 7 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Agriculture, Simulation, Deckbuilding
Price point
$6.99 typical · top 25% priced $12.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Cute, Atmospheric, Relaxing
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $12.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.

The top 10 games average 90% positive over 9,480 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $300, 1 in 4 over $26k, 1 in 20 over $740k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. 9 in 10 of the 15 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 18 games are announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Farming Sim with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Job SimulatorFair19 devs · median $12k · 23 announced
  2. + DogsFair18 devs · median $4.1k · 20 announced
  3. + IncrementalFair140 devs · median $1.6k · 168 announced
  4. + IdlerFair208 devs · median $1.3k · 211 announced
  5. + TacticalFair12 devs · median $897 · 10 announced
  6. + Artificial IntelligenceFair17 devs · median $718 · 16 announced
  7. + God GameLong shot22 devs · median $359 · 24 announced
  8. + Visual NovelLong shot11 devs · median $239 · 13 announced
  9. + LGBTQ+Poor odds10 devs · median $146k · 16 announced
  10. + Psychological HorrorPoor odds11 devs · median $111k · 25 announced
  11. + JRPGPoor odds14 devs · median $89k · 20 announced
  12. + HorsesPoor odds14 devs · median $70k · 20 announced

All 102 pairs on the Farming Sim page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Tiny Pasture 2025 · $1.3M Hundred Days - Winemaking Simulator 2021 · $774k Card Survival: Fantasy Forest 2025 · EA · $749k Cat God Ranch 2024 · $549k Mamon King 2025 · $235k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Tiny Pasture $5.99 7,055 92% 212k $1.3M (exactly $1,267,784) CaveLiquid
Hundred Days - Winemaking Simulator older $24.99 1,033 77% 31k $774k (exactly $774,440) Broken Arms Games
Card Survival: Fantasy Forest · EA $21.99 1,135 76% 34k $749k (exactly $748,760) WinterSpring Games
Cat God Ranch older $9.99 1,831 92% 55k $549k (exactly $548,751) CrazyPotato Studio
Mamon King $12.99 603 90% 18k $235k (exactly $234,989) LiTMUS Co., Ltd.
Cropdeck $12.99 430 92% 13k $168k (exactly $167,571) Piotrek
Chosen Garden $9.99 90 93% 2.7k $27k (exactly $26,973) Winter Cabin Games
Deck of Harvest · EA $11.99 73 67% 2.2k $26k (exactly $26,258) GameFarmer, Pone Games
The Last Craftsman $9.99 74 94% 2.2k $22k (exactly $22,178) AuraTummyache
Card Homestead $6.99 17 82% 510 $3.6k (exactly $3,565) CoffeeNap Games
Animal Cafe $9.99 2 100% 60 $599 (exactly $599) LayDown Games
Battle Babes 2 $14.99 1 100% 30 $450 (exactly $450) Recoil Mojo

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.