Do I ship it?

GamesCard GameCard Game + Faith

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Faith Card Game?

Card Game + Faith

Only 13 developers shipped a Faith Card Game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Malys, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 14 more are announced, ×2.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 3 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $3.6k, ×7.6 the market's $480 for a 3 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $360; 1 in 20 cleared $77k, ×163 the market median. Revenue is up 5490% on the market; 14 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 7.6 times the market baseline, revenue up 5490% on the market, 14 announced, ×2.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Card Game + Faith
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 13
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $450 → $8.6k → $14k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Card Game + Faith: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 13
Bottom 30% $359 (exactly $359)
Median $3.6k (exactly $3,596)
Top 25% $9.9k (exactly $9,893)
Top 5% $77k (exactly $77,348)
Developers, 2 yr 13
Released games 27
Announced 14
Effort 3 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 5490% on the market, supply 15% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 19%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Card Game
effort 2 / 10 · high · rules engine and card data
Faith
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
Systems
Card Game; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Strategy, Turn-Based Combat, Deckbuilding
Price point
$9.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
8 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Stylized
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 86% positive over 442 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $360, median $3.6k, 1 in 4 over $9.8k, 1 in 20 over $77k.

3 in 10 developers made under $360. All of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 14 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.3 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Card Game with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + SteampunkFair15 devs · median $7.6k · 18 announced
  2. + Immersive SimFair43 devs · median $3.6k · 43 announced
  3. + Inventory ManagementFair65 devs · median $1.6k · 86 announced
  4. + DogsFair11 devs · median $1.5k · 8 announced
  5. + MahjongFair28 devs · median $748 · 24 announced
  6. + Artificial IntelligenceFair40 devs · median $719 · 54 announced
  7. + GamblingFair126 devs · median $600 · 167 announced
  8. + Point & ClickFair62 devs · median $539 · 69 announced
  9. + Hidden ObjectFair17 devs · median $537 · 15 announced
  10. + Board GameFair293 devs · median $479 · 382 announced
  11. + PuzzleFair198 devs · median $479 · 206 announced
  12. + Dating SimPoor odds23 devs · median $18k · 48 announced

All 159 pairs on the Card Game page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Touhou: Lost Branch of Legend · EA older $29.99 2,036 92% 61k $1.8M (exactly $1,831,789) Alioth Studio
Ruff Ghanor older $19.99 435 85% 13k $261k (exactly $260,869) DX Gameworks
Malys $14.99 172 79% 5.2k $77k (exactly $77,348) Summerfall Studios
Touhou Rinrinki ~ Crafts of the Lucky Beast · EA $9.99 117 92% 3.5k $35k (exactly $35,065) Starcrow Dev
Minnano Gensokyo Single · EA older $6.99 135 87% 4.1k $28k (exactly $28,310) 妖怪山地下实验室
Flan's BN $5.99 78 97% 2.3k $14k (exactly $14,017) Geism
Herogue $14.99 22 95% 660 $9.9k (exactly $9,893) 巴豆肥工作室
Cult Leader Simulator $17.99 16 50% 480 $8.6k (exactly $8,635) Nhneno
Dreamy Duels ~ Tales of Heroes in Gensoukyo · EA older $7.99 26 65% 780 $6.2k (exactly $6,232) IGensoukyo
Unforgotten older $4.99 41 75% 1.2k $6.1k (exactly $6,138) ScoreboardGames
GensouKoroKoro $9.99 14 100% 420 $4.2k (exactly $4,196) mitiroom
The Heresy of Gibur $9.99 12 75% 360 $3.6k (exactly $3,596) Paper-Dolls-Game-studio, Towndarktales
Pocket Oracle $3.99 7 100% 210 $838 (exactly $838) wanme times
SHEOL INFERNO $14.99 1 100% 30 $450 (exactly $450) GAMEZ-STUDIO
75 Demons $3.99 3 100% 90 $359 (exactly $359) Noknadiv

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.