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Should I ship a Dice Card Game?
Card Game + Dice
Of 34 developers who shipped a Dice Card Game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 72 more are announced, ×2.9 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 2 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $7.2k, ×60 the market's $120 for a 2 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $1.7k; 1 in 20 cleared $930k, ×7892 the market median. Revenue is down 10% on the market; 72 games are announced against 25 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $1.7k (exactly $1,678) |
|---|---|
| Median | $7.2k (exactly $7,193) |
| Top 25% | $28k (exactly $28,285) |
| Top 5% | $939k (exactly $939,130) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 34 |
| Released games | 49 |
| Announced | 72 |
| Effort | 2 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | High |
| Typical price | $9.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 10% on the market, supply 150% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 4%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.
What it takes
- Effort
- 2 / 10 · static 2D art, simple logic
- Systems
- Card Game, Dice; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Deckbuilding, Strategy, Card Battler
- Price point
- $9.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
- Art
- 4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.
The top 10 games average 92% positive over 8,227 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $1.7k. 8 in 10 of the 9 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 72 games are announced against 25 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.9 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Card Game with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + SteampunkFair
- + Immersive SimFair
- + Inventory ManagementFair
- + DogsFair
- + MahjongFair
- + Artificial IntelligenceFair
- + GamblingFair
- + Point & ClickFair
- + Hidden ObjectFair
- + Board GameFair
- + PuzzleFair
- + Dating SimPoor odds
Comparable games
Dicey Dungeons 2019 · $4.7M 
Gordian Quest 2022 · $3.2M 
Astrea: Six-Sided Oracles 2023 · $2.3M 
DICEOMANCER 2024 · $2.1M 
Dice & Fold 2024 · $1.4M | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Dicey Dungeons | older | $14.99 | 10,444 88% | 313k | $4.7M (exactly $4,696,667) | Terry Cavanagh |
| | Gordian Quest | older | $19.99 | 5,259 88% | 158k | $3.2M (exactly $3,153,822) | Mixed Realms Pte Ltd, Swag Soft Holding… (Mixed Realms Pte Ltd, Swag Soft Holdings Pte Ltd) |
| | Astrea: Six-Sided Oracles | older | $24.99 | 3,011 92% | 90k | $2.3M (exactly $2,257,347) | Little Leo Games |
| | DICEOMANCER | $14.99 | 4,749 96% | 142k | $2.1M (exactly $2,135,625) | 超厚皮猪猪 Ultra Piggy Studio | |
| | Dice & Fold | older | $12.99 | 3,491 83% | 105k | $1.4M (exactly $1,360,443) | Tinymice Entertainment |
 | SpellRogue | $19.99 | 1,566 86% | 47k | $939k (exactly $939,130) | Guidelight Games | |
 | Viractal: Will You Trust Your Party? | $24.99 | 448 88% | 13k | $336k (exactly $335,866) | Sting | |
 | Heroes of Normandie | older | $29.99 | 212 72% | 6.4k | $191k (exactly $190,736) | Cat Rabbit |
 | Children of Zodiarcs | older | $17.99 | 351 69% | 11k | $189k (exactly $189,435) | Cardboard Utopia |
 | Dice Legends | $19.99 | 252 76% | 7.6k | $151k (exactly $151,124) | Big Bite Games, Ad Luna | |
 | Pirate's Gambit | $9.99 | 448 89% | 13k | $134k (exactly $134,266) | Domestic Black Cat | |
 | DOG WITCH | $9.99 | 323 89% | 9.7k | $97k (exactly $96,803) | Heckmouse | |
 | Archon Soul | $13.99 | 170 88% | 5.1k | $71k (exactly $71,349) | PolyGryph | |
 | RogueDiceR | · EA | $14.99 | 108 84% | 3.2k | $49k (exactly $48,568) | GAMPANY |
 | STICKER/BALL | $7.99 | 118 90% | 3.5k | $28k (exactly $28,285) | bilge | |
 | Cheat Death | $12.99 | 45 84% | 1.4k | $18k (exactly $17,536) | GG Studio |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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