Do I ship it?

GamesCard GameCard Game + Demons

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Demon Card Game?

Card Game + Demons

Of 50 developers who shipped a Demon Card Game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 97 more are announced, ×3.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.3k, ×2.8 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $450; 1 in 20 cleared $77k, ×163 the market median. Revenue is up 30% on the market; 97 games are announced against 32 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 2.8 times the market baseline, revenue up 30% on the market, 97 announced, ×3.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Card Game + Demons
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 50
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $4.2k → $899 → $1.9k → $1.7k → $776 → $2.5k → $3.6k (still earning) → $420 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Card Game + Demons: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 50
Bottom 30% $450 (exactly $450)
Median $1.3k (exactly $1,347)
Top 25% $7.7k (exactly $7,670)
Top 5% $77k (exactly $77,348)
Developers, 2 yr 50
Released games 118
Announced 97
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 30% on the market, supply 80% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 13%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Card Game
effort 2 / 10 · high · rules engine and card data
Demons
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Card Game; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Strategy, Deckbuilding, Card Battler
Price point
$7.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Anime, Dark
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.

The top 10 games average 94% positive over 11,567 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $450, median $1.3k, 1 in 4 over $7.6k, 1 in 20 over $77k.

3 in 10 developers made under $450. 9 in 10 of the 24 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 97 games are announced against 32 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.0 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Card Game with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + SteampunkFair15 devs · median $7.6k · 18 announced
  2. + Immersive SimFair43 devs · median $3.6k · 43 announced
  3. + Inventory ManagementFair65 devs · median $1.6k · 86 announced
  4. + DogsFair11 devs · median $1.5k · 8 announced
  5. + MahjongFair28 devs · median $748 · 24 announced
  6. + Artificial IntelligenceFair40 devs · median $719 · 54 announced
  7. + GamblingFair126 devs · median $600 · 167 announced
  8. + Point & ClickFair62 devs · median $539 · 69 announced
  9. + Hidden ObjectFair17 devs · median $537 · 15 announced
  10. + Board GameFair293 devs · median $479 · 382 announced
  11. + PuzzleFair198 devs · median $479 · 206 announced
  12. + Dating SimPoor odds23 devs · median $18k · 48 announced

All 159 pairs on the Card Game page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Monster Train older $24.99 19,950 95% 599k $15M (exactly $14,956,515) Shiny Shoe
Monster Train 2 $24.99 8,647 95% 259k $6.5M (exactly $6,482,656) Shiny Shoe
Book of Demons older $24.99 8,010 91% 240k $6.0M (exactly $6,005,097) Thing Trunk
Forbidden Solitaire $15.99 2,245 96% 67k $1.1M (exactly $1,076,926) Grey Alien Games, Night Signal Entertai… (Grey Alien Games, Night Signal Entertainment)
Last Evil older $9.99 3,559 94% 107k $1.1M (exactly $1,066,632) Flametorch
Heretic's Fork older $9.99 3,097 85% 93k $928k (exactly $928,171) 9FingerGames
Mahokenshi - The Samurai Deckbuilder older $24.99 464 77% 14k $348k (exactly $347,861) Game Source Studio
Pyrene older $14.99 676 92% 20k $304k (exactly $303,997) Two Tiny Dice
Erannorth Chronicles older $20.99 407 85% 12k $256k (exactly $256,288) Spyridon Thalassinos
Tavern of Gods older $9.99 775 77% 23k $232k (exactly $232,268) Element Studio
Malys $14.99 172 79% 5.2k $77k (exactly $77,348) Summerfall Studios
Succubless $11.99 146 67% 4.4k $53k (exactly $52,516) Supa Doge
Eyes of Hellfire · EA $9.99 153 70% 4.6k $46k (exactly $45,854) Gambrinous
The Killing Stone · EA $12.99 79 94% 2.4k $31k (exactly $30,786) Question
Learn Japanese: Yuke and the Book of Yokai $13.99 27 85% 810 $11k (exactly $11,332) lpares12
Yokai Busters $14.99 23 82% 690 $10k (exactly $10,343) Mikan Batake
Lustful BlackJack: My Succubus Dealer $6.99 49 61% 1.5k $10k (exactly $10,275) 78Games, Matariki Studios Co., Ltd
Futa Succubus Slay! $12.99 26 65% 780 $10k (exactly $10,132) Npolish

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.