Do I ship it?

GamesCard GameCard Game + Cyberpunk

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Cyberpunk Card Game?

Card Game + Cyberpunk

Of 54 developers who shipped a Cyberpunk Card Game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 81 more are announced, ×2.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $720, ×1.1 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $150; 1 in 20 cleared $200k, ×326 the market median. Revenue is down 75% on the market; 81 games are announced against 37 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.1 times the market baseline, revenue down 75% on the market, 81 announced, ×2.2 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Card Game + Cyberpunk
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 54
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $54k → $4.2k → $3.6k → $1.3k → $5.4k → $119 (still earning) → $479 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Card Game + Cyberpunk: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 54
Bottom 30% $150 (exactly $150)
Median $719 (exactly $719)
Top 25% $4.8k (exactly $4,794)
Top 5% $205k (exactly $204,982)
Developers, 2 yr 54
Released games 105
Announced 81
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 75% on the market, supply 105% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 17%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Card Game
effort 2 / 10 · high · rules engine and card data
Cyberpunk
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Card Game; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Strategy, Deckbuilding, Card Battler
Price point
$7.99 typical · top 25% priced $17.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $17.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.

The top 10 games average 85% positive over 5,082 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $150, median $720, 1 in 4 over $4.7k, 1 in 20 over $200k.

3 in 10 developers made under $150. 7 in 10 of the 25 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 81 games are announced against 37 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.2 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Card Game with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + SteampunkFair15 devs · median $7.6k · 18 announced
  2. + Immersive SimFair43 devs · median $3.6k · 43 announced
  3. + Inventory ManagementFair65 devs · median $1.6k · 86 announced
  4. + DogsFair11 devs · median $1.5k · 8 announced
  5. + MahjongFair28 devs · median $748 · 24 announced
  6. + Artificial IntelligenceFair40 devs · median $719 · 54 announced
  7. + GamblingFair126 devs · median $600 · 167 announced
  8. + Point & ClickFair62 devs · median $539 · 69 announced
  9. + Hidden ObjectFair17 devs · median $537 · 15 announced
  10. + Board GameFair293 devs · median $479 · 382 announced
  11. + PuzzleFair198 devs · median $479 · 206 announced
  12. + Dating SimPoor odds23 devs · median $18k · 48 announced

All 159 pairs on the Card Game page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Rebellion GODSOUL: Awakening · EA $17.99 2,458 85% 74k $1.3M (exactly $1,326,583) U-Secret Studio
Beneath Oresa older $24.99 1,122 78% 34k $841k (exactly $841,163) Broken Spear Inc.
Card-en-Ciel $24.99 856 90% 26k $642k (exactly $641,743) INTI CREATES CO., LTD.
Nowhere Prophet older $24.99 721 77% 22k $541k (exactly $540,534) Sharkbomb Studios
The Solitaire Conspiracy older $11.99 742 89% 22k $267k (exactly $266,897) Bithell Games
Nitro Kid older $19.99 410 89% 12k $246k (exactly $245,877) Wildboy Studios
LUNA $12.99 526 78% 16k $205k (exactly $204,982) Hypnosis Lab, WorkNite Games
System Crash older $14.99 250 83% 7.5k $112k (exactly $112,425) Rogue Moon Studios
Zero Division older $12.99 271 87% 8.1k $106k (exactly $105,609) Robot Cat Limited
Theseus Protocol older $9.99 317 65% 9.5k $95k (exactly $95,005) YueTang(Xiamen)
Technotopia $4.99 599 86% 18k $90k (exactly $89,670) Yustas
Into The Grid · EA $14.99 195 83% 5.9k $88k (exactly $87,692) Flatline Studios
HeistGeist $19.90 116 95% 3.5k $69k (exactly $69,252) Doublequote Studio
ARC SEED $14.99 89 74% 2.7k $40k (exactly $40,023) Massive Galaxy Studios
Lustpunk 69 $8.99 83 87% 2.5k $22k (exactly $22,385) Kinky Business Group
The Spire of Mech Zero $4.99 132 91% 4.0k $20k (exactly $19,760) ZZ Game
Ctrl Alt Deal $19.99 28 85% 840 $17k (exactly $16,792) Only By Midnight Ltd.

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.