Games › Card Game › Card Game + Crime
Should I ship a Crime Card Game?
Card Game + Crime
Only 14 developers shipped a Crime Card Game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Lustpunk 69, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 34 more are announced, ×3.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $2.7k, ×4.3 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $960; 1 in 20 cleared $22k, ×36 the market median. Revenue is down 70% on the market; 34 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year.
not enough cohorts to draw
| Bottom 30% | $959 (exactly $959) |
|---|---|
| Median | $2.7k (exactly $2,691) |
| Top 25% | $8.6k (exactly $8,635) |
| Top 5% | $22k (exactly $22,385) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 14 |
| Released games | 30 |
| Announced | 34 |
| Effort | 6 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $5.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 70% on the market, supply 80% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 17%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
What it takes
- Effort
- 6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
- Systems
- Card Game; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry RPG, Tactical RPG, Choose Your Own Adventure
- Price point
- $5.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
- Art
- 5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.
The top 10 games average 87% positive over 264 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $960. All of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 34 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.8 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Card Game with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + SteampunkFair
- + Immersive SimFair
- + Inventory ManagementFair
- + DogsFair
- + MahjongFair
- + Artificial IntelligenceFair
- + GamblingFair
- + Point & ClickFair
- + Hidden ObjectFair
- + Board GameFair
- + PuzzleFair
- + Dating SimPoor odds
Comparable games
Clue/Cluedo: Classic Edition 2018 · $1.6M 
The Solitaire Conspiracy 2020 · $267k 
Bullet Roulette VR 2020 · $104k 
Nancy Drew®: The Phantom of Venice 2009 · $61k 
The Specter's Desire 2024 · $28k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Clue/Cluedo: Classic Edition | older | $16.99 | 3,096 88% | 93k | $1.6M (exactly $1,578,031) | Marmalade Game Studio Ltd |
| | The Solitaire Conspiracy | older | $11.99 | 742 89% | 22k | $267k (exactly $266,897) | Bithell Games |
| | Bullet Roulette VR | older | $7.99 | 435 86% | 13k | $104k (exactly $104,270) | Fibrum Limited |
| | Nancy Drew®: The Phantom of Venice | older | $9.99 | 204 90% | 6.1k | $61k (exactly $61,139) | HeR Interactive |
| | The Specter's Desire | older | $19.99 | 47 97% | 1.4k | $28k (exactly $28,186) | Themisian |
 | Lustpunk 69 | $8.99 | 83 87% | 2.5k | $22k (exactly $22,385) | Kinky Business Group | |
 | Card Detective | older | $3.99 | 145 73% | 4.4k | $17k (exactly $17,356) | 神探饭店制作组 |
 | Prison Notes | $9.99 | 38 94% | 1.1k | $11k (exactly $11,389) | 闻岚工坊（Vinland Studio） | |
 | Light Fingers | $19.99 | 17 76% | 510 | $10k (exactly $10,195) | Numizmatic | |
 | 正宗台湾十六张麻将3 | older | $6.99 | 47 63% | 1.4k | $9.9k (exactly $9,856) | SOFTSTAR ENTERTAINMENT |
 | Cult Leader Simulator | $17.99 | 16 50% | 480 | $8.6k (exactly $8,635) | Nhneno | |
 | Ba Bị | $4.99 | 42 100% | 1.3k | $6.3k (exactly $6,287) | BaBị Electric | |
 | Roulette Heist | $6.99 | 18 94% | 540 | $3.8k (exactly $3,775) | DreamArk Lab | |
 | Blackjack Roulette | $2.99 | 30 83% | 900 | $2.7k (exactly $2,691) | DreamArk Lab | |
 | The Mnemograph | · EA | $4.99 | 9 100% | 270 | $1.3k (exactly $1,347) | Thousands of Daggers |
 | Only Cards | $4.99 | 7 85% | 210 | $1.0k (exactly $1,048) | Grim's Studio | |
 | Pokertown: Cheater's Paradise | $7.99 | 4 75% | 120 | $959 (exactly $959) | Matthies Games |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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