Do I ship it?

GamesCard GameCard Game + Chess

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Chess Card Game?

Card Game + Chess

Only 15 developers shipped a Chess Card Game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, WizardChess, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 24 more are announced, ×2.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 2 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $600, ×5.0 the market's $120 for a 2 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $240; 1 in 20 cleared $25k, ×212 the market median. Revenue is up 150% on the market; 24 games are announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 5.0 times the market baseline, revenue up 150% on the market, 24 announced, ×2.2 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Card Game + Chess
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 15

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Card Game + Chess: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 15
Bottom 30% $239 (exactly $239)
Median $598 (exactly $598)
Top 25% $3.4k (exactly $3,356)
Top 5% $25k (exactly $25,183)
Developers, 2 yr 15
Released games 28
Announced 24
Effort 2 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 150% on the market, supply 175% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 21%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Card Game
effort 2 / 10 · high · rules engine and card data
Chess
effort 1 / 10 · high · fully specified rules and known engines

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
2 / 10 · static 2D art, simple logic
Systems
Card Game, Chess
Price point
$6.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 86% positive over 209 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $240, median $600, 1 in 4 over $3.3k, 1 in 20 over $25k.

3 in 10 developers made under $240. 24 games are announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.2 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Card Game with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + SteampunkFair15 devs · median $7.6k · 18 announced
  2. + Immersive SimFair43 devs · median $3.6k · 43 announced
  3. + Inventory ManagementFair65 devs · median $1.6k · 86 announced
  4. + DogsFair11 devs · median $1.5k · 8 announced
  5. + MahjongFair28 devs · median $748 · 24 announced
  6. + Artificial IntelligenceFair40 devs · median $719 · 54 announced
  7. + GamblingFair126 devs · median $600 · 167 announced
  8. + Point & ClickFair62 devs · median $539 · 69 announced
  9. + Hidden ObjectFair17 devs · median $537 · 15 announced
  10. + Board GameFair293 devs · median $479 · 382 announced
  11. + PuzzleFair198 devs · median $479 · 206 announced
  12. + Dating SimPoor odds23 devs · median $18k · 48 announced

All 159 pairs on the Card Game page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Pawnbarian older $9.99 450 91% 14k $135k (exactly $134,865) j4nw
Tabletop Playground · EA older $14.99 121 79% 3.6k $54k (exactly $54,414) Plasticity Studios
Trendpoker 3D: Texas Hold'em Poker older $9.99 100 76% 3.0k $30k (exactly $29,970) BufoProject
WizardChess $14.99 56 83% 1.7k $25k (exactly $25,183) TwoPM Studios
Tabulo $9.99 58 91% 1.7k $17k (exactly $17,383) Noah Games
Usurper older $9.99 35 82% 1.1k $10k (exactly $10,490) Rogue Brain Studios
Order Automatica $5.99 58 89% 1.7k $10k (exactly $10,423) New Beings
Chesscent $7.99 14 64% 420 $3.4k (exactly $3,356) Alex did it
Backgammon + Checkers + Mills older $14.99 6 33% 180 $2.7k (exactly $2,698) Korion Interactive
Solo Chess $9.99 5 60% 150 $1.5k (exactly $1,498) NourSaiFR
Chess: Definitive Edition $9.99 4 100% 120 $1.2k (exactly $1,199) Aphoenicis
PEGTURE: Peg Solitaire Roguelike $6.99 4 100% 120 $839 (exactly $839) Puff Games
Mind Over Monarchy $3.99 5 100% 150 $598 (exactly $598) Wise Puppy
Top Check: A Chess Card Game $11.99 1 0% 30 $360 (exactly $360) Gliding Knight Games
Chess Hunt $2.99 4 100% 120 $359 (exactly $359) 1SoloDevStudio

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.