Do I ship it?

GamesCard GameCard Game + Cats

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Cat Card Game?

Card Game + Cats

Of 35 developers who shipped a Cat Card Game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 58 more are announced, ×2.6 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 2 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.5k, ×13 the market's $120 for a 2 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $300; 1 in 20 cleared $340k, ×2902 the market median. Revenue is down 35% on the market; 58 games are announced against 22 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 12.6 times the market baseline, revenue down 35% on the market, 58 announced, ×2.6 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Card Game + Cats
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 35
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $359 → $4.6k → $1.7k → $4.0k → $359 (still earning) → $1.7k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Card Game + Cats: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 35
Bottom 30% $299 (exactly $299)
Median $1.5k (exactly $1,498)
Top 25% $12k (exactly $12,225)
Top 5% $345k (exactly $345,370)
Developers, 2 yr 35
Released games 74
Announced 58
Effort 2 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 35% on the market, supply 70% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 9%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Card Game
effort 2 / 10 · high · rules engine and card data
Cats
effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
2 / 10 · static 2D art, simple logic
Systems
Card Game; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Deckbuilding, Strategy, Roguelike
Price point
$6.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Cute, 2D, Hand-drawn
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.

The top 10 games average 83% positive over 2,674 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $300, median $1.5k, 1 in 4 over $12k, 1 in 20 over $340k.

3 in 10 developers made under $300. 9 in 10 of the 16 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 58 games are announced against 22 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.6 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Card Game with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + SteampunkFair15 devs · median $7.6k · 18 announced
  2. + Immersive SimFair43 devs · median $3.6k · 43 announced
  3. + Inventory ManagementFair65 devs · median $1.6k · 86 announced
  4. + DogsFair11 devs · median $1.5k · 8 announced
  5. + MahjongFair28 devs · median $748 · 24 announced
  6. + Artificial IntelligenceFair40 devs · median $719 · 54 announced
  7. + GamblingFair126 devs · median $600 · 167 announced
  8. + Point & ClickFair62 devs · median $539 · 69 announced
  9. + Hidden ObjectFair17 devs · median $537 · 15 announced
  10. + Board GameFair293 devs · median $479 · 382 announced
  11. + PuzzleFair198 devs · median $479 · 206 announced
  12. + Dating SimPoor odds23 devs · median $18k · 48 announced

All 159 pairs on the Card Game page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Cat God Ranch older $9.99 1,831 92% 55k $549k (exactly $548,751) CrazyPotato Studio
Beastro $19.99 598 92% 18k $359k (exactly $358,621) Timberline Studio
Everdell older $19.99 577 90% 17k $346k (exactly $346,027) Dire Wolf
Epic Auto Towers · EA $14.99 768 70% 23k $345k (exactly $345,370) Aleksandr Golovkin
Exploding Kittens® 2 older $12.49 447 75% 13k $167k (exactly $167,491) Marmalade Game Studio Ltd
Abra-Cooking-Dabra $12.99 250 75% 7.5k $97k (exactly $97,425) Door 407
Roulette Hero $9.99 260 92% 7.8k $78k (exactly $77,922) CLLC Studio
Replicat $9.99 213 99% 6.4k $64k (exactly $63,836) Brainoid Games
Feng Shui Meowjong $4.99 276 95% 8.3k $41k (exactly $41,317) Wavebreak Studio
Claws Of Power $6.99 170 80% 5.1k $36k (exactly $35,649) 蒜苗
CARD QUEST $9.99 72 69% 2.2k $22k (exactly $21,578) MEOW STORE GAME
Cats & Dice · EA $7.99 51 76% 1.5k $12k (exactly $12,225) Yongjustyong
King of Tokyo - Richard Garfield $19.99 16 68% 480 $9.6k (exactly $9,595) Breakfirst

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.