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Should I ship a Capitalist Turn-Based game?
Turn-Based + Capitalism
Only 8 developers shipped a Capitalist Turn-Based game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Insider Trading, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 16 more are announced, ×5.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: dead, for a 5 / 10 build.
Only 3 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $20k against a market of $630. 16 games are announced.
not enough cohorts to draw
| Bottom 30% | $2.5k (exactly $2,516) |
|---|---|
| Median | $20k (exactly $19,611) |
| Top 25% | $61k (exactly $60,570) |
| Top 5% | $232k (exactly $232,020) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 8 |
| Released games | 27 |
| Announced | 16 |
| Effort | 5 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $6.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 725% on the market, supply 40% fewer developers than the period before.
Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Turn-Based
- effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
- Capitalism
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
- Systems
- Turn-Based
- Price point
- $6.99 typical
Why players buy here
Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.
The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $12.89.
The top 10 games average 77% positive over 16,294 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $2.6k. 9 in 10 of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 16 games are announced against 3 developers who shipped in the last year, ×5.3 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Turn-Based with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Asynchronous MultiplayerStrong odds
- + DragonsStrong odds
- + Hack and SlashStrong odds
- + SandboxFair
- + HorrorFair
- + CraftingFair
- + CollectathonFair
- + Perma DeathFair
- + ArcadeFair
- + ChessFair
- + Tower DefensePoor odds
- + 4XPoor odds
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Democracy 3 | older | $24.99 | 6,245 73% | 187k | $4.7M (exactly $4,681,876) | Positech Games |
| | Dungeons & Degenerate Gamblers | older | $14.99 | 2,988 81% | 90k | $1.3M (exactly $1,343,704) | Purple Moss Collectors |
| | City of Gangsters | older | $29.99 | 1,332 73% | 40k | $1.2M (exactly $1,198,400) | SomaSim |
| | GearCity | older | $19.99 | 1,417 89% | 43k | $850k (exactly $849,775) | Visual Entertainment And Technologies |
| | Hundred Days - Winemaking Simulator | older | $24.99 | 1,033 77% | 31k | $774k (exactly $774,440) | Broken Arms Games |
| | Evil Bank Manager | older | $11.99 | 1,663 76% | 50k | $598k (exactly $598,181) | Hamsters Gaming |
| | Insider Trading | $12.89 | 600 79% | 18k | $232k (exactly $232,020) | Naiive | |
| | The Last Federation | older | $19.99 | 380 72% | 11k | $228k (exactly $227,886) | Arcen Games |
| | Picross Fairytale - nonogram: Red Riding Hood secret | older | $14.99 | 235 73% | 7.1k | $106k (exactly $105,680) | Somer Games |
| | Lawgivers | older | $6.99 | 401 82% | 12k | $84k (exactly $84,090) | Damian Bernardi |
| | Imperial Ambitions | $19.99 | 101 81% | 3.0k | $61k (exactly $60,570) | aoiti | |
| | Barrage | $14.99 | 78 80% | 2.3k | $35k (exactly $35,077) | Cranio Lab | |
| | Inventorix | $4.99 | 131 100% | 3.9k | $20k (exactly $19,611) | Arcaludi | |
| | Fortune Avenue | · EA | $6.99 | 63 84% | 1.9k | $13k (exactly $13,211) | Binogure Studio 🐺 |
| | Call Center Tycoon | $6.99 | 12 66% | 360 | $2.5k (exactly $2,516) | zedzag | |
| | Roulette Pro Simulator | · EA | $5.99 | 2 0% | 60 | $359 (exactly $359) | Hard Shark Games |
| | Concord Quarter | $0.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | Morass |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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