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Should I ship a PvP Bullet Time game?
PvP + Bullet Time
Only 17 developers shipped a PvP Bullet Time game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Out of Action, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 30 more are announced, ×2.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: dead, for a 8 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $120 in the last 2 years and $300 over 4, against a market of $1.5k for a 8 / 10 build. 12 developers shipped in the last year and 30 games are announced.
| Bottom 30% | $0 (exactly $0) |
|---|---|
| Median | $119 (exactly $119) |
| Top 25% | $1.7k (exactly $1,688) |
| Top 5% | $549k (exactly $549,325) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 17 |
| Released games | 65 |
| Announced | 30 |
| Effort | 8 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $6.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 140% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 25%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
- PvP
- effort 8 / 10 · low · authoritative servers, latency compensation, cheating
- Bullet Time
- effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 8 / 10 · online systems, open world
- Systems
- PvP, Bullet Time; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, FPS, Shooter
- Price point
- $6.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
- Art
- 4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Stylized, Gore
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.
The top 9 games average 77% positive over 1,006 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $50. 9 in 10 of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 30 games are announced against 12 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.5 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
PvP with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + BaseballFair
- + TransportationFair
- + BasketballFair
- + Football (American)Fair
- + BikesFair
- + GolfFair
- + World War IFair
- + IncrementalFair
- + BilliardsFair
- + TennisLong shot
- + TypingLong shot
- + SpellingLong shot
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | WARNO | older | $39.99 | 14,502 80% | 435k | $17M (exactly $17,398,049) | Eugen Systems |
| | Blazing Beaks | older | $14.99 | 2,043 84% | 61k | $919k (exactly $918,737) | Applava |
| | BattleGroupVR | older | $24.99 | 858 92% | 26k | $643k (exactly $643,243) | SpaceOwl Games |
| | Out of Action | · EA | $19.99 | 916 77% | 27k | $549k (exactly $549,325) | Doku Games LTD |
| | Comanche | older | $19.99 | 322 51% | 9.7k | $193k (exactly $193,103) | NUKKLEAR, Ashborne Games |
| | Soldat 2 | · EA older | $7.99 | 386 85% | 12k | $93k (exactly $92,524) | Transhuman Design |
| | Retimed | older | $14.99 | 142 90% | 4.3k | $64k (exactly $63,857) | Team Maniax |
| | Kill to Collect | older | $9.99 | 168 67% | 5.0k | $50k (exactly $50,350) | Pieces Interactive |
| | Grapple Hoops | older | $11.99 | 75 73% | 2.3k | $27k (exactly $26,978) | Andreas Georgiou |
| | Parkour Labs | older | $12.99 | 56 92% | 1.7k | $22k (exactly $21,823) | SoyKhaler |
| | Source Code | $19.99 | 33 60% | 990 | $20k (exactly $19,790) | Blitzball.Inc | |
| | Dunk Dunk | $6.99 | 14 92% | 420 | $2.9k (exactly $2,936) | Badgerhammer Limited | |
| | TYPE | $4.99 | 17 88% | 510 | $2.5k (exactly $2,545) | Parcyval | |
| | BLOODSHOT | · EA | $4.69 | 12 100% | 360 | $1.7k (exactly $1,688) | Hardly Hyperbolic |
| | Golfslinger | $7.99 | 6 100% | 180 | $1.4k (exactly $1,438) | Chaos Cactus | |
| | ShadowStrikeVR | · EA | $9.99 | 3 0% | 90 | $899 (exactly $899) | Charming Game Studio |
| | Aluna Rift | $4.99 | 3 100% | 90 | $449 (exactly $449) | Ben Lowther-Saul | |
| | PongBall | $1.99 | 2 50% | 60 | $119 (exactly $119) | NerxStudio | |
| | BlastLast | $6.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | Alexoid Studio |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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