Do I ship it?

GamesBullet HellBullet Hell + Time Management

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Time Management Bullet Hell?

Bullet Hell + Time Management

Only 11 developers shipped a Time Management Bullet Hell in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Deadly Days: Roadtrip, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 15 more are announced.

Verdict: fair, for a 3 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.2k, ×2.5 the market's $480 for a 3 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $540. Revenue is up 2765% on the market; 15 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 2.5 times the market baseline, revenue up 2765% on the market, 15 announced, ×1.9 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Bullet Hell + Time Management
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 11

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Bullet Hell + Time Management: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 11
Bottom 30% $538 (exactly $538)
Median $1.2k (exactly $1,199)
Top 25% $26k (exactly $26,374)
Top 5% $1.3M (exactly $1,283,894)
Developers, 2 yr 11
Released games 29
Announced 15
Effort 3 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 2765% on the market, supply 165% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 21%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Bullet Hell
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Time Management
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
Systems
Bullet Hell, Time Management
Price point
$6.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 86% positive over 3,504 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $540, median $1.2k, 1 in 4 over $26k, 1 in 20 over $1.2M.

3 in 10 developers made under $540. 8 in 10 of the 6 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 15 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Bullet Hell with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + SuperheroStrong odds11 devs · median $3.4k · 7 announced
  2. + FaithFair26 devs · median $17k · 29 announced
  3. + VampiresFair43 devs · median $3.4k · 33 announced
  4. + Creature CollectorFair24 devs · median $3.4k · 33 announced
  5. + Strategy RPGFair40 devs · median $2.0k · 31 announced
  6. + PiratesFair14 devs · median $2.0k · 20 announced
  7. + CatsFair44 devs · median $1.7k · 59 announced
  8. + HackingFair15 devs · median $1.6k · 17 announced
  9. + Card BattlerFair24 devs · median $1.2k · 22 announced
  10. + DemonsFair101 devs · median $1.2k · 125 announced
  11. + Naval CombatFair14 devs · median $1.1k · 16 announced
  12. + Mystery DungeonFair14 devs · median $1.0k · 18 announced

All 185 pairs on the Bullet Hell page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Deadly Days: Roadtrip · EA $14.99 2,855 87% 86k $1.3M (exactly $1,283,894) Pixelsplit
Net.Attack() - Code or Die! $7.99 510 80% 15k $122k (exactly $122,247) ByteRockers' Games
Time Snatcher Handy $9.99 88 96% 2.6k $26k (exactly $26,374) PulleyBun, ClockworkCats
ReTrime $15.99 12 100% 360 $5.8k (exactly $5,756) DoubleSystem
French Fries Pusher Friends older $3.99 38 42% 1.1k $4.5k (exactly $4,549) STP WORKS
HexTD · EA older $4.99 27 70% 810 $4.0k (exactly $4,042) Detective Games
Lost to Time older $9.99 11 81% 330 $3.3k (exactly $3,297) Ephemeral Glades Software
Do I smell Pizza? older $4.99 18 77% 540 $2.7k (exactly $2,695) Bad Kid Games
Negative Time $4.99 16 100% 480 $2.4k (exactly $2,395) Round Owl
ReUse $9.99 4 100% 120 $1.2k (exactly $1,199) BakeONsoft
Coreward $2.99 11 72% 330 $987 (exactly $987) carllacan
Carajito $2.99 6 100% 180 $538 (exactly $538) Noodle A.M
vaXinator $4.99 1 100% 30 $150 (exactly $150) Anonvision
BallMan $2.99 1 100% 30 $90 (exactly $90) CAESARGAMES91

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.