Do I ship it?

GamesBullet HellBullet Hell + Hacking

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Hacking Bullet Hell?

Bullet Hell + Hacking

Only 15 developers shipped a Hacking Bullet Hell in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Net.Attack() - Code or Die!, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 17 more are announced.

Verdict: fair, for a 3 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.6k, ×3.3 the market's $480 for a 3 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $300. Revenue is down 15% on the market; 17 games are announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 3.3 times the market baseline, revenue down 15% on the market, 17 announced, ×1.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Bullet Hell + Hacking
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 15
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $240 → $1.2k → $987 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Bullet Hell + Hacking: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 15
Bottom 30% $299 (exactly $299)
Median $1.6k (exactly $1,574)
Top 25% $3.3k (exactly $3,297)
Top 5% $122k (exactly $122,247)
Developers, 2 yr 15
Released games 34
Announced 17
Effort 3 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 15% on the market, supply 175% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 12%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Bullet Hell
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Hacking
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
Systems
Bullet Hell
Price point
$4.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 83% positive over 1,718 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $300, median $1.6k, 1 in 4 over $3.2k, 1 in 20 over $120k.

3 in 10 developers made under $300. 8 in 10 of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 17 games are announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Bullet Hell with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + SuperheroStrong odds11 devs · median $3.4k · 7 announced
  2. + FaithFair26 devs · median $17k · 29 announced
  3. + VampiresFair43 devs · median $3.4k · 33 announced
  4. + Creature CollectorFair24 devs · median $3.4k · 33 announced
  5. + Strategy RPGFair40 devs · median $2.0k · 31 announced
  6. + PiratesFair14 devs · median $2.0k · 20 announced
  7. + CatsFair44 devs · median $1.7k · 59 announced
  8. + Time ManagementFair11 devs · median $1.2k · 15 announced
  9. + Card BattlerFair24 devs · median $1.2k · 22 announced
  10. + DemonsFair101 devs · median $1.2k · 125 announced
  11. + Naval CombatFair14 devs · median $1.1k · 16 announced
  12. + Mystery DungeonFair14 devs · median $1.0k · 18 announced

All 185 pairs on the Bullet Hell page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
LIBERATED older $19.99 679 77% 20k $407k (exactly $407,196) Atomic Wolf, L.INC
RIVE older $14.99 468 83% 14k $210k (exactly $210,460) Two Tribes
Net.Attack() - Code or Die! $7.99 510 80% 15k $122k (exactly $122,247) ByteRockers' Games
Minutescape $5.99 546 74% 16k $98k (exactly $98,116) Molter
ATOMINE older $9.99 324 74% 9.7k $97k (exactly $97,103) Broken Arms Games
Like Dreamer older $13.99 166 100% 5.0k $70k (exactly $69,670) あうとさいど
DEFRAG $2.99 534 93% 16k $48k (exactly $47,900) BlueDot Studio
ICEwall older $8.99 38 81% 1.1k $10k (exactly $10,249) Erlend Kirkeboe
Hacker Man older $19.99 8 12% 240 $4.8k (exactly $4,798) GamesBraz
LYMBUS $9.99 11 90% 330 $3.3k (exactly $3,297) Happy Accident Studios
TYPE $4.99 17 88% 510 $2.5k (exactly $2,545) Parcyval
Bit Breaker $3.99 16 75% 480 $1.9k (exactly $1,915) Hurricane Games
Firewall Breaker $4.99 11 90% 330 $1.6k (exactly $1,647) Nadyos
CPU Invaders - Aim Hero $0.99 53 100% 1.6k $1.6k (exactly $1,574) Microblast Games
Coreward $2.99 11 72% 330 $987 (exactly $987) carllacan
BLOOD=BULLETS $1.99 9 100% 270 $537 (exactly $537) Slendykray

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.