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Should I ship a Card Battler Bullet Hell?
Bullet Hell + Card Battler
Of 24 developers who shipped a Card Battler Bullet Hell in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 22 more are announced.
Verdict: fair, for a 3 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $1.2k, ×2.5 the market's $480 for a 3 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $300. Revenue is down 25% on the market; 22 games are announced against 12 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $299 (exactly $299) |
|---|---|
| Median | $1.2k (exactly $1,198) |
| Top 25% | $4.5k (exactly $4,491) |
| Top 5% | $110k (exactly $110,372) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 24 |
| Released games | 43 |
| Announced | 22 |
| Effort | 3 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | High |
| Typical price | $4.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 25% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.
Free games: 7%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Bullet Hell
- effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
- Card Battler
- effort 3 / 10 · high · card rules plus simple encounter logic
What it takes
- Effort
- 3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
- Systems
- Bullet Hell, Card Battler; 7 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Card Game, Roguelike, Strategy
- Price point
- $4.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
- Art
- 3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, 3D, Colorful
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.
The top 10 games average 84% positive over 676 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $300. 9 in 10 of the 13 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 22 games are announced against 12 developers who shipped in the last year.
Adjacent niches
Bullet Hell with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + SuperheroStrong odds
- + FaithFair
- + VampiresFair
- + Creature CollectorFair
- + Strategy RPGFair
- + PiratesFair
- + CatsFair
- + HackingFair
- + Time ManagementFair
- + DemonsFair
- + Naval CombatFair
- + Mystery DungeonFair
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | One Step From Eden | older | $19.99 | 6,039 94% | 181k | $3.6M (exactly $3,621,588) | Thomas Moon Kang |
| | The Knight Witch | older | $19.99 | 643 72% | 19k | $386k (exactly $385,607) | Super Mega Team |
| | Duelists of Eden | older | $4.99 | 856 95% | 26k | $128k (exactly $128,143) | Thomas Moon Kang |
| | Godslayer Arena | · EA | $14.99 | 257 76% | 7.7k | $116k (exactly $115,573) | Hippo Rider Games |
| | Canyon of Outlaws | $39.99 | 92 89% | 2.8k | $110k (exactly $110,372) | Javlier P | |
| | Gnaughty Gnomes | $7.99 | 71 100% | 2.1k | $17k (exactly $17,019) | SandCastles Studio | |
| | Moon Watch | · EA | $9.99 | 56 57% | 1.7k | $17k (exactly $16,783) | Jaspel |
| | 鸭鸭大冒险 (Duck Duck Adventure) | $8.99 | 29 93% | 870 | $7.8k (exactly $7,821) | 清友工作室 | |
| | Heck Deck | older | $3.99 | 64 92% | 1.9k | $7.7k (exactly $7,661) | torcado |
| | 元卡牌2 - MetaCard2 | older | $6.99 | 29 96% | 870 | $6.1k (exactly $6,081) | KY Games |
| | Hex Blast | $4.99 | 30 100% | 900 | $4.5k (exactly $4,491) | Soy Boy Games | |
| | Citadel Siege | $0.99 | 94 93% | 2.8k | $2.8k (exactly $2,792) | · | |
| | Pacremental | $3.99 | 23 100% | 690 | $2.8k (exactly $2,753) | Erocol | |
| | Tower of Jank | $6.99 | 13 92% | 390 | $2.7k (exactly $2,726) | Matas Dragūnas | |
| | Cat Hits the Deck | · EA | $5.00 | 11 100% | 330 | $1.7k (exactly $1,650) | Arc Willow |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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