Do I ship it?

GamesBullet HellBullet Hell + Card Battler

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Card Battler Bullet Hell?

Bullet Hell + Card Battler

Of 24 developers who shipped a Card Battler Bullet Hell in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 22 more are announced.

Verdict: fair, for a 3 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.2k, ×2.5 the market's $480 for a 3 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $300. Revenue is down 25% on the market; 22 games are announced against 12 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 2.5 times the market baseline, revenue down 25% on the market, 22 announced, ×1.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Bullet Hell + Card Battler
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 24
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.5k → $539 → $7.8k → $839 → $1.2k (still earning) → $1.7k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Bullet Hell + Card Battler: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 24
Bottom 30% $299 (exactly $299)
Median $1.2k (exactly $1,198)
Top 25% $4.5k (exactly $4,491)
Top 5% $110k (exactly $110,372)
Developers, 2 yr 24
Released games 43
Announced 22
Effort 3 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 25% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 7%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Bullet Hell
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Card Battler
effort 3 / 10 · high · card rules plus simple encounter logic

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
Systems
Bullet Hell, Card Battler; 7 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Card Game, Roguelike, Strategy
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, 3D, Colorful
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 84% positive over 676 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $300, median $1.2k, 1 in 4 over $4.4k, 1 in 20 over $110k.

3 in 10 developers made under $300. 9 in 10 of the 13 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 22 games are announced against 12 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Bullet Hell with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + SuperheroStrong odds11 devs · median $3.4k · 7 announced
  2. + FaithFair26 devs · median $17k · 29 announced
  3. + VampiresFair43 devs · median $3.4k · 33 announced
  4. + Creature CollectorFair24 devs · median $3.4k · 33 announced
  5. + Strategy RPGFair40 devs · median $2.0k · 31 announced
  6. + PiratesFair14 devs · median $2.0k · 20 announced
  7. + CatsFair44 devs · median $1.7k · 59 announced
  8. + HackingFair15 devs · median $1.6k · 17 announced
  9. + Time ManagementFair11 devs · median $1.2k · 15 announced
  10. + DemonsFair101 devs · median $1.2k · 125 announced
  11. + Naval CombatFair14 devs · median $1.1k · 16 announced
  12. + Mystery DungeonFair14 devs · median $1.0k · 18 announced

All 185 pairs on the Bullet Hell page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
One Step From Eden older $19.99 6,039 94% 181k $3.6M (exactly $3,621,588) Thomas Moon Kang
The Knight Witch older $19.99 643 72% 19k $386k (exactly $385,607) Super Mega Team
Duelists of Eden older $4.99 856 95% 26k $128k (exactly $128,143) Thomas Moon Kang
Godslayer Arena · EA $14.99 257 76% 7.7k $116k (exactly $115,573) Hippo Rider Games
Canyon of Outlaws $39.99 92 89% 2.8k $110k (exactly $110,372) Javlier P
Gnaughty Gnomes $7.99 71 100% 2.1k $17k (exactly $17,019) SandCastles Studio
Moon Watch · EA $9.99 56 57% 1.7k $17k (exactly $16,783) Jaspel
鸭鸭大冒险 (Duck Duck Adventure) $8.99 29 93% 870 $7.8k (exactly $7,821) 清友工作室
Heck Deck older $3.99 64 92% 1.9k $7.7k (exactly $7,661) torcado
元卡牌2 - MetaCard2 older $6.99 29 96% 870 $6.1k (exactly $6,081) KY Games
Hex Blast $4.99 30 100% 900 $4.5k (exactly $4,491) Soy Boy Games
Citadel Siege $0.99 94 93% 2.8k $2.8k (exactly $2,792) ·
Pacremental $3.99 23 100% 690 $2.8k (exactly $2,753) Erocol
Tower of Jank $6.99 13 92% 390 $2.7k (exactly $2,726) Matas Dragūnas
Cat Hits the Deck · EA $5.00 11 100% 330 $1.7k (exactly $1,650) Arc Willow

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.