Do I ship it?

GamesBullet HellBullet Hell + Cats

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Cat Bullet Hell?

Bullet Hell + Cats

Of 44 developers who shipped a Cat Bullet Hell in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 59 more are announced.

Verdict: fair, for a 3 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.7k, ×3.5 the market's $480 for a 3 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $420. Revenue is down 20% on the market; 59 games are announced against 30 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 3.5 times the market baseline, revenue down 20% on the market, 59 announced, ×2.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Bullet Hell + Cats
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 44
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $3.1k → $718 → $1.2k → $3.6k → $3.9k → $300 (still earning) → $3.9k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Bullet Hell + Cats: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 44
Bottom 30% $419 (exactly $419)
Median $1.7k (exactly $1,676)
Top 25% $7.7k (exactly $7,661)
Top 5% $26k (exactly $26,374)
Developers, 2 yr 44
Released games 88
Announced 59
Effort 3 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 20% on the market, supply 115% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 10%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Bullet Hell
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Cats
effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
Systems
Bullet Hell; 7 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Action Roguelike, Roguelite
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Cute, Pixel Graphics
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 84% positive over 1,590 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $420, median $1.7k, 1 in 4 over $7.6k, 1 in 20 over $26k.

3 in 10 developers made under $420. 9 in 10 of the 14 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 59 games are announced against 30 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Bullet Hell with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + SuperheroStrong odds11 devs · median $3.4k · 7 announced
  2. + FaithFair26 devs · median $17k · 29 announced
  3. + VampiresFair43 devs · median $3.4k · 33 announced
  4. + Creature CollectorFair24 devs · median $3.4k · 33 announced
  5. + Strategy RPGFair40 devs · median $2.0k · 31 announced
  6. + PiratesFair14 devs · median $2.0k · 20 announced
  7. + HackingFair15 devs · median $1.6k · 17 announced
  8. + Time ManagementFair11 devs · median $1.2k · 15 announced
  9. + Card BattlerFair24 devs · median $1.2k · 22 announced
  10. + DemonsFair101 devs · median $1.2k · 125 announced
  11. + Naval CombatFair14 devs · median $1.1k · 16 announced
  12. + Mystery DungeonFair14 devs · median $1.0k · 18 announced

All 185 pairs on the Bullet Hell page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Atomicrops older $14.99 5,134 93% 154k $2.3M (exactly $2,308,760) Bird Bath Games
Portal Dungeon older $14.99 995 88% 30k $447k (exactly $447,452) Dusk Dog Studio
PUSS! older $9.99 1,062 92% 32k $318k (exactly $318,281) teamcoil
Morsels $14.99 552 75% 17k $248k (exactly $248,234) Furcula
Cat Bait · EA older $4.99 1,446 96% 43k $216k (exactly $216,466) Mayni prod.
Copy Kitty older $14.99 345 97% 10k $155k (exactly $155,146) Nuclear Strawberry
Maze Mice $9.99 315 88% 9.5k $94k (exactly $94,406) TrampolineTales
スペルトナエル older $8.99 344 97% 10k $93k (exactly $92,777) おまど
QP Shooting - Dangerous!! older $7.99 378 94% 11k $91k (exactly $90,607) Orange_Juice
ARMORED KITTEN older $4.99 465 83% 14k $70k (exactly $69,610) Ducat
Time Snatcher Handy $9.99 88 96% 2.6k $26k (exactly $26,374) PulleyBun, ClockworkCats
Beatdown City Survivors $9.99 80 98% 2.4k $24k (exactly $23,976) NuChallenger
Pet the Cat $4.99 155 83% 4.7k $23k (exactly $23,204) MEWSTURBO
Kitty's Last Adventure $4.99 144 97% 4.3k $22k (exactly $21,557) Woum
Cat Girl Survivor $14.99 45 55% 1.4k $20k (exactly $20,236) Minimum Studio Corp.
Witch & Bun Cats $7.99 57 77% 1.7k $14k (exactly $13,663) Night Owl Games
Soba's Gunpaw $2.99 130 93% 3.9k $12k (exactly $11,661) Evrac Studio
Princess of the Water Lilies $14.99 24 100% 720 $11k (exactly $10,793) Why Knot Studio, Red Dunes Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.