Do I ship it?

GamesBullet HellBullet Hell + Faith

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Faith Bullet Hell?

Bullet Hell + Faith

Of 26 developers who shipped a Faith Bullet Hell in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 29 more are announced.

Verdict: fair, for a 3 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $17k, ×36 the market's $480 for a 3 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $450. Revenue is up 4095% on the market; 29 games are announced against 16 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 36.0 times the market baseline, revenue up 4095% on the market, 29 announced, ×1.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Bullet Hell + Faith
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 26
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $4.2k → $347k → $12k → $1.5k → $1.4k → $22k → $8.4k (still earning) → $105k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Bullet Hell + Faith: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 26
Bottom 30% $449 (exactly $449)
Median $17k (exactly $17,083)
Top 25% $56k (exactly $56,372)
Top 5% $611k (exactly $610,925)
Developers, 2 yr 26
Released games 110
Announced 29
Effort 3 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $8.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 4095% on the market, supply 60% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 14%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Bullet Hell
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Faith
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
Systems
Bullet Hell; 7 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Shoot 'Em Up, Shooter
Price point
$8.99 typical · top 25% priced $22.00 or above
Art
7 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Anime, Cute
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $22.00 or above; the middle game at $8.99.

The top 10 games average 94% positive over 7,385 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $450, median $17k, 1 in 4 over $56k, 1 in 20 over $610k.

3 in 10 developers made under $450. 8 in 10 of the 10 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 29 games are announced against 16 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Bullet Hell with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + SuperheroStrong odds11 devs · median $3.4k · 7 announced
  2. + VampiresFair43 devs · median $3.4k · 33 announced
  3. + Creature CollectorFair24 devs · median $3.4k · 33 announced
  4. + Strategy RPGFair40 devs · median $2.0k · 31 announced
  5. + PiratesFair14 devs · median $2.0k · 20 announced
  6. + CatsFair44 devs · median $1.7k · 59 announced
  7. + HackingFair15 devs · median $1.6k · 17 announced
  8. + Time ManagementFair11 devs · median $1.2k · 15 announced
  9. + Card BattlerFair24 devs · median $1.2k · 22 announced
  10. + DemonsFair101 devs · median $1.2k · 125 announced
  11. + Naval CombatFair14 devs · median $1.1k · 16 announced
  12. + Mystery DungeonFair14 devs · median $1.0k · 18 announced

All 185 pairs on the Bullet Hell page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Touhou Luna Nights older $17.99 13,776 97% 413k $7.4M (exactly $7,434,907) Team Ladybug, WSS playground
Touhou Koumakyou: New Classic - the Embodiment of Scarlet Devil $17.99 3,740 98% 112k $2.0M (exactly $2,018,478) 上海アリス幻樂団, 上海アリスReprise
Touhou Tenkuushou ~ Hidden Star in Four Seasons. older $14.99 4,312 98% 129k $1.9M (exactly $1,939,106) 上海アリス幻樂団
Gensokyo Night Festival · EA older $12.99 4,497 69% 135k $1.8M (exactly $1,752,481) WSS playground, tea_basira
Touhou Danmaku Kagura Phantasia Lost older $19.99 2,266 81% 68k $1.4M (exactly $1,358,920) Alliance Arts, UnknownX
東方憑依華 ~ Antinomy of Common Flowers. older $24.99 1,769 91% 53k $1.3M (exactly $1,326,219) 黄昏フロンティア
永远消失的幻想乡 ~ The Disappearing of Gensokyo older $10.99 3,023 83% 91k $997k (exactly $996,683) MyACG Studio
TouHou Makuka Sai ~ Fantastic Danmaku Festival Part II older $12.99 2,458 96% 74k $958k (exactly $957,883) 东方幕华祭制作组
Touhou Kouryudou ~ Unconnected Marketeers. older $14.99 1,756 97% 53k $790k (exactly $789,673) 上海アリス幻樂団
Touhou Fuujinroku ~ Mountain of Faith. older $14.99 1,621 98% 49k $729k (exactly $728,964) 上海アリス幻樂団
Fantasy Maiden Wars - DREAM OF THE STRAY DREAMER - $34.99 582 98% 17k $611k (exactly $610,925) さんぼん堂
TouHou Makuka Sai ~ Fantastic Danmaku Festival Part III $13.99 1,242 90% 37k $521k (exactly $521,267) 东方幕华祭制作组
Touhou Kinjoukyou ~ Fossilized Wonders. $14.99 832 91% 25k $374k (exactly $374,150) 上海アリス幻樂団
Internet Survivor Survivors $14.99 234 75% 7.0k $105k (exactly $105,230) ビートまりお / COOL&CREATE
Touhou Koumakyou: Classic - the Embodiment of Scarlet Devil $17.99 188 98% 5.6k $101k (exactly $101,464) 上海アリス幻樂団, 上海アリスReprise
Touhou Lensed Night Sky, Kaseigai $22.00 144 95% 4.3k $95k (exactly $95,040) Fire Land
DaemonBride:ADDITIONAL GAIN $19.99 94 82% 2.8k $56k (exactly $56,372) Team Arcana, Kizawaya
Flock of the Seraphim $9.99 162 85% 4.9k $49k (exactly $48,551) GuuchanDev
MoriyaRhythm $6.99 167 91% 5.0k $35k (exactly $35,020) FriendNavy

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.