Do I ship it?

Games › Naval Combat › Naval Combat + Bullet Hell

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Bullet Hell Naval Combat game?

Naval Combat + Bullet Hell

Only 14 developers shipped a Bullet Hell Naval Combat game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Airships: Lost Flotilla, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 16 more are announced.

Verdict: fair, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.1k, ×1.7 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $240. Revenue is up 335% on the market; 16 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.7 times the market baseline, revenue up 335% on the market, 16 announced, ×1.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Naval Combat + Bullet Hell
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 14
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $76k → $1.2k → $150 → $4.0k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Naval Combat + Bullet Hell: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 14
Bottom 30% $239 (exactly $239)
Median $1.1k (exactly $1,079)
Top 25% $17k (exactly $17,498)
Top 5% $78k (exactly $78,213)
Developers, 2 yr 14
Released games 26
Announced 16
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 335% on the market, supply 80% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 8%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Naval Combat
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Bullet Hell
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Naval Combat, Bullet Hell; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Arcade, Roguelike
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $9.99 or above
Art
8 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $9.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 85% positive over 764 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $240, median $1.1k, 1 in 4 over $17k, 1 in 20 over $78k.

3 in 10 developers made under $240. 7 in 10 of the 6 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 16 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Naval Combat with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + World War IIFair12 devs · median $2.7k · 11 announced
  2. + MilitaryFair37 devs · median $2.2k · 48 announced
  3. + ArcadeLong shot21 devs · median $300 · 25 announced
  4. + Open WorldPoor odds26 devs · median $38k · 80 announced
  5. + CraftingPoor odds11 devs · median $38k · 21 announced
  6. + SandboxPoor odds15 devs · median $29k · 57 announced
  7. + BuildingPoor odds6 devs · median $29k · 28 announced
  8. + Base BuildingPoor odds12 devs · median $29k · 30 announced
  9. + RTSPoor odds20 devs · median $19k · 32 announced
  10. + Co-opPoor odds14 devs · median $17k · 25 announced
  11. + Online Co-OpPoor odds8 devs · median $17k · 28 announced
  12. + MedievalPoor odds8 devs · median $17k · 30 announced

All 54 pairs on the Naval Combat page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Azur Lane Crosswave 2020 · $7.8M Sea of Survivors 2023 · EA · $87k Airships: Lost Flotilla 2025 · $78k Beach Invasion 1945 - Pacific 2023 · $76k Curse of Pirates 2026 · $36k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Azur Lane Crosswave older $39.99 6,537 68% 196k $7.8M (exactly $7,842,439) IDEA FACTORY, COMPILE HEART, FELISTELLA
Sea of Survivors · EA older $6.99 415 81% 12k $87k (exactly $87,026) Nah Yeah Games
Airships: Lost Flotilla $8.99 290 92% 8.7k $78k (exactly $78,213) David Stark
Beach Invasion 1945 - Pacific older $9.99 255 78% 7.7k $76k (exactly $76,424) AIx2 Games
Curse of Pirates $9.99 121 80% 3.6k $36k (exactly $36,264) Funky Parrot
Beach Defense: Zombie Invasion $3.99 197 81% 5.9k $24k (exactly $23,581) Only Fun Games
Beach Invasion 1915-Gallipoli $7.99 73 71% 2.2k $17k (exactly $17,498) AIx2 Games
Ruiga Pirates · EA older $4.99 38 57% 1.1k $5.7k (exactly $5,689) Valentware Games LTD
Ocean Survivors $3.49 38 97% 1.1k $4.0k (exactly $3,979) Aremji Games
Lord O' Pirates $4.99 21 85% 630 $3.1k (exactly $3,144) One Flow Man
Ore Bastards · EA $8.99 4 75% 120 $1.1k (exactly $1,079) INDIELLIGENT
sea fight $0.99 15 80% 450 $446 (exactly $446) YU BO
Lockstone Mountains $2.99 3 100% 90 $269 (exactly $269) Waesome Games
Void Phantom $3.99 2 100% 60 $239 (exactly $239) Rpx

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.