Do I ship it?

GamesBullet HellBullet Hell + Superhero

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Superhero Bullet Hell?

Bullet Hell + Superhero

Only 11 developers shipped a Superhero Bullet Hell in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, After School Grounds (방과후운동장), made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 7 more are announced.

Verdict: strong odds, for a 7 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $3.4k, ×2.3 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 7 in 10 cleared $1.0k. Revenue is up 380% on the market; 7 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year, ×1.2 per shipper.

Deciding numbers: median 2.3 times the market baseline, revenue up 380% on the market, 7 announced, ×1.2 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Bullet Hell + Superhero
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 11
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.8k → $179 → $3.7k → $8.6k → $3.6k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Bullet Hell + Superhero: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 11
Bottom 30% $1.1k (exactly $1,077)
Median $3.4k (exactly $3,409)
Top 25% $8.6k (exactly $8,635)
Top 5% $19k (exactly $19,152)
Developers, 2 yr 11
Released games 28
Announced 7
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $3.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 380% on the market, supply 20% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 4%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Bullet Hell
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Superhero
effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
Bullet Hell
Price point
$3.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 88% positive over 425 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $1.1k, median $3.4k, 1 in 4 over $8.6k, 1 in 20 over $19k.

3 in 10 developers made under $1.1k. All of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 7 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Bullet Hell with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FaithFair26 devs · median $17k · 29 announced
  2. + VampiresFair43 devs · median $3.4k · 33 announced
  3. + Creature CollectorFair24 devs · median $3.4k · 33 announced
  4. + Strategy RPGFair40 devs · median $2.0k · 31 announced
  5. + PiratesFair14 devs · median $2.0k · 20 announced
  6. + CatsFair44 devs · median $1.7k · 59 announced
  7. + HackingFair15 devs · median $1.6k · 17 announced
  8. + Time ManagementFair11 devs · median $1.2k · 15 announced
  9. + Card BattlerFair24 devs · median $1.2k · 22 announced
  10. + DemonsFair101 devs · median $1.2k · 125 announced
  11. + Naval CombatFair14 devs · median $1.1k · 16 announced
  12. + Mystery DungeonFair14 devs · median $1.0k · 18 announced

All 185 pairs on the Bullet Hell page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
UFO ROBOT GRENDIZER – The Feast of the Wolves older $39.99 559 84% 17k $671k (exactly $670,632) Endroad
Commando Collection older $4.99 1,414 95% 42k $212k (exactly $211,676) Macrojoy
After School Grounds (방과후운동장) $3.99 160 99% 4.8k $19k (exactly $19,152) After School Vtuber
Ghosts Keep Out $3.99 130 75% 3.9k $16k (exactly $15,561) Only Fun Games
Bullet: Surge $15.99 18 94% 540 $8.6k (exactly $8,635) Cerbere Games
Conquer Humanity · EA older $2.99 60 68% 1.8k $5.4k (exactly $5,382) Adi Zhavo
Overrun Survivors · EA older $4.99 30 56% 900 $4.5k (exactly $4,491) Midquest Games
Redneck Brawl Turbo $12.99 10 90% 300 $3.9k (exactly $3,897) Kolossus Games
BLOWFLY2:OVERLIMIT older $3.99 31 96% 930 $3.7k (exactly $3,711) MEWSTURBO
DREADMARCH $4.99 24 79% 720 $3.6k (exactly $3,593) MM88
Doom Survivor: Horde Rush $2.99 38 86% 1.1k $3.4k (exactly $3,409) Crazy Studio
Cowboy Busy: Mowdown $3.99 25 84% 750 $3.0k (exactly $2,992) Only Fun Games
Big Trouble in Little Chimney $4.99 9 77% 270 $1.3k (exactly $1,347) FobTi interactive
WorldWatch: Superhero Bullet Heaven · EA $3.59 10 100% 300 $1.1k (exactly $1,077) Moldy&Abet Games, Paper Dudes Game… (Moldy&Abet Games, Paper Dudes Game Studio)
Ghost of Kyiv $2.04 1 100% 30 $61 (exactly $61) Jonald

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.