Do I ship it?

GamesStealthStealth + Bullet Hell

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Bullet Hell Stealth game?

Stealth + Bullet Hell

Only 8 developers shipped a Bullet Hell Stealth game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, UNSIGHT, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 20 more are announced, ×4.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.2k, ×1.9 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $50; 1 in 20 cleared $10k, ×16 the market median. Revenue is down 100% on the market; 20 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.9 times the market baseline, revenue down 100% on the market, 20 announced, ×4.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Stealth + Bullet Hell
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 8

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Stealth + Bullet Hell: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 8
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $1.2k (exactly $1,197)
Top 25% $2.3k (exactly $2,336)
Top 5% $10k (exactly $10,067)
Developers, 2 yr 8
Released games 38
Announced 20
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 65% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 8%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Stealth
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Bullet Hell
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Stealth, Bullet Hell
Price point
$4.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 7 games average 68% positive over 110 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $1.2k, 1 in 4 over $2.3k, 1 in 20 over $10k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. All of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 20 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.0 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Stealth with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + JRPGFair7 devs · median $1.3k · 12 announced
  2. + World War IIPoor odds11 devs · median $43k · 14 announced
  3. + LGBTQ+Poor odds19 devs · median $30k · 30 announced
  4. + Turn-Based CombatPoor odds8 devs · median $27k · 31 announced
  5. + WargamePoor odds10 devs · median $21k · 39 announced
  6. + DinosaursPoor odds10 devs · median $17k · 23 announced
  7. + Gun CustomizationPoor odds20 devs · median $13k · 63 announced
  8. + Base BuildingPoor odds21 devs · median $13k · 57 announced
  9. + Cold WarPoor odds7 devs · median $10k · 31 announced
  10. + HistoricalPoor odds32 devs · median $9.6k · 76 announced
  11. + MilitaryPoor odds43 devs · median $8.5k · 122 announced
  12. + WarPoor odds30 devs · median $7.6k · 89 announced

All 159 pairs on the Stealth page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Tokyo 42 older $19.99 392 70% 12k $235k (exactly $235,082) SMAC Games
Swords and Sorcery - Underworld - Definitive Edition older $9.99 93 72% 2.8k $28k (exactly $27,872) OlderBytes
Planet Station older $4.99 70 70% 2.1k $10k (exactly $10,479) Fasu Studio
UNSIGHT $7.99 42 50% 1.3k $10k (exactly $10,067) C51 Games
Agent in Depth older $2.99 108 93% 3.2k $9.7k (exactly $9,688) Naturepixel Studios, SkyBrave
REINCARNATION ASURA ZALANDARA Journey of carnage and redemption older $7.99 36 55% 1.1k $8.6k (exactly $8,629) TIFON STUDIO EIROS
Hit Zero: Chronos older $4.99 41 70% 1.2k $6.1k (exactly $6,138) ZHANG FAN
The President older $19.99 10 70% 300 $6.0k (exactly $5,997) GamesBraz
Agent 01 older $19.99 8 75% 240 $4.8k (exactly $4,798) GamesBraz
Hacker Man older $19.99 8 12% 240 $4.8k (exactly $4,798) GamesBraz
Super Chaos $5.99 13 92% 390 $2.3k (exactly $2,336) Anodaxia
Big Theft Valkeala $2.99 17 76% 510 $1.5k (exactly $1,525) Tero Lunkka, Valkeala Software, Kendall… (Tero Lunkka, Valkeala Software, Kendall Studios)
Zombies In Valkeala $2.99 15 66% 450 $1.3k (exactly $1,346) Tero Lunkka, Valkeala Software
Money Theft 2: Heist $3.99 10 70% 300 $1.2k (exactly $1,197) Tero Lunkka, Valkeala Software
Gallipoli Trenches: The Forgotten Front WW1 $4.99 7 85% 210 $1.0k (exactly $1,048) Fronty Games
Big Theft Valkeala 2: San Piritori $2.99 6 100% 180 $538 (exactly $538) Tero Lunkka, Valkeala Software
ZOMBIECAM $14.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) ZOMBIECAM Crew
E.L.D. TD $6.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) 4develhope di Benini Elisa
Vector 2147 $0.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Gabriel Jordaan

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.