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Should I ship a Science Bullet Hell?
Bullet Hell + Science
Only 18 developers shipped a Science Bullet Hell in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Genome Guardian 2, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 28 more are announced, ×2.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: dead, for a 3 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $360 in the last 2 years and $360 over 4, against a market of $480 for a 3 / 10 build. 11 developers shipped in the last year and 28 games are announced.
| Bottom 30% | $30 (exactly $30) |
|---|---|
| Median | $360 (exactly $360) |
| Top 25% | $4.7k (exactly $4,676) |
| Top 5% | $197k (exactly $196,677) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 18 |
| Released games | 53 |
| Announced | 28 |
| Effort | 3 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | High |
| Typical price | $5.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 20% on the market, supply 55% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 6%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Bullet Hell
- effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
- Science
- effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
What it takes
- Effort
- 3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
- Systems
- Bullet Hell; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Arena Shooter, Bullet Heaven
- Price point
- $5.99 typical · top 25% priced $15.99 or above
- Art
- 4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Fast-Paced, 2D
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $15.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.
The top 10 games average 90% positive over 650 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $50. All of the 8 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 28 games are announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.5 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Bullet Hell with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + SuperheroStrong odds
- + FaithFair
- + VampiresFair
- + Creature CollectorFair
- + Strategy RPGFair
- + PiratesFair
- + CatsFair
- + HackingFair
- + Time ManagementFair
- + Card BattlerFair
- + DemonsFair
- + Naval CombatFair
Comparable games
Genome Guardian 2024 · $256k 
Genome Guardian 2 2026 · EA · $197k 
Gem Defender: Soyjak Survivors 2023 · $125k 
Raiden Legacy - Steam Edition 2015 · $78k 
ArmorSim 2026 · EA · $44k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Genome Guardian | older | $11.99 | 711 92% | 21k | $256k (exactly $255,747) | Alpherior |
| | Genome Guardian 2 | · EA | $15.99 | 410 95% | 12k | $197k (exactly $196,677) | Alpherior |
| | Gem Defender: Soyjak Survivors | older | $3.99 | 1,045 94% | 31k | $125k (exactly $125,086) | Coby Dox, Chudd Howard |
| | Raiden Legacy - Steam Edition | older | $9.99 | 259 54% | 7.8k | $78k (exactly $77,622) | Dotemu |
| | ArmorSim | · EA | $18.99 | 77 57% | 2.3k | $44k (exactly $43,867) | Timerlan Galimov |
 | REPLIKATOR | older | $5.99 | 115 85% | 3.5k | $21k (exactly $20,666) | R_Games |
 | Survivor Cells | older | $9.99 | 37 78% | 1.1k | $11k (exactly $11,089) | YAW Studios |
 | ROCKETRON | older | $5.99 | 60 86% | 1.8k | $11k (exactly $10,782) | ASTRO PORT |
 | Armored Lab Force VULVEHICLES | older | $9.99 | 35 100% | 1.1k | $10k (exactly $10,490) | ASTRO PORT |
 | Super reaKtor | $4.99 | 55 100% | 1.7k | $8.2k (exactly $8,234) | SuperSAZ Studio | |
 | Brotherhood | $9.99 | 27 96% | 810 | $8.1k (exactly $8,092) | FatCatGames | |
 | Virus Rush + Hazard of the Ages | $11.99 | 13 100% | 390 | $4.7k (exactly $4,676) | STRANGER | |
 | Hotloop | $2.99 | 47 85% | 1.4k | $4.2k (exactly $4,216) | Tntlaxy GDS | |
 | CRT: Corner Right There! | $2.99 | 11 100% | 330 | $987 (exactly $987) | Benevolent Banana Studio | |
 | Legend of the Moon 2 | $2.99 | 8 87% | 240 | $718 (exactly $718) | GozipGame | |
 | Evoscape | $11.99 | 1 100% | 30 | $360 (exactly $360) | Magic Mill | |
 | Accurate Adjacent Ballistics Simulator | $9.99 | 1 0% | 30 | $300 (exactly $300) | MagusForge |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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