Do I ship it?

GamesBullet HellBullet Hell + Puzzle Platformer

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Bullet Hell Puzzle Platformer?

Bullet Hell + Puzzle Platformer

Of 20 developers who shipped a Bullet Hell Puzzle Platformer in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 22 more are announced, ×2.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 3 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $240 in the last 2 years and $360 over 4, against a market of $480 for a 3 / 10 build. 10 developers shipped in the last year and 22 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.5 times the market baseline, revenue up 125% on the market, 22 announced, ×2.2 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Bullet Hell + Puzzle Platformer
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 20
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $6.0k → $449 → $8.5k → $598 → $90 → $538 (still earning) → $30 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Bullet Hell + Puzzle Platformer: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 20
Bottom 30% $30 (exactly $30)
Median $239 (exactly $239)
Top 25% $959 (exactly $959)
Top 5% $18k (exactly $17,991)
Developers, 2 yr 20
Released games 63
Announced 22
Effort 3 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $3.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 125% on the market, supply 10% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 6%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Bullet Hell
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Puzzle Platformer
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
Systems
Bullet Hell, Puzzle Platformer; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Platformer, Action, Action-Adventure
Price point
$3.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Colorful, Cute, 2D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $3.99.

The top 10 games average 93% positive over 118 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $240, 1 in 4 over $950, 1 in 20 over $17k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. 9 in 10 of the 11 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 22 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.2 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Bullet Hell with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + SuperheroStrong odds11 devs · median $3.4k · 7 announced
  2. + FaithFair26 devs · median $17k · 29 announced
  3. + VampiresFair43 devs · median $3.4k · 33 announced
  4. + Creature CollectorFair24 devs · median $3.4k · 33 announced
  5. + Strategy RPGFair40 devs · median $2.0k · 31 announced
  6. + PiratesFair14 devs · median $2.0k · 20 announced
  7. + CatsFair44 devs · median $1.7k · 59 announced
  8. + HackingFair15 devs · median $1.6k · 17 announced
  9. + Time ManagementFair11 devs · median $1.2k · 15 announced
  10. + Card BattlerFair24 devs · median $1.2k · 22 announced
  11. + DemonsFair101 devs · median $1.2k · 125 announced
  12. + Naval CombatFair14 devs · median $1.1k · 16 announced

All 185 pairs on the Bullet Hell page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
LIBERATED older $19.99 679 77% 20k $407k (exactly $407,196) Atomic Wolf, L.INC
Garbanzo Quest older $19.99 652 98% 20k $391k (exactly $391,004) zagawee
Super Time Force Ultra older $14.99 677 90% 20k $304k (exactly $304,447) Capybara Games
Copy Kitty older $14.99 345 97% 10k $155k (exactly $155,146) Nuclear Strawberry
Baby Blues Nightmares - Toddler Horror Game older $12.99 93 91% 2.8k $36k (exactly $36,242) Steelkrill Studio
Monospaced Lovers $19.99 30 90% 900 $18k (exactly $17,991) Scarlet String Studios
NBB.EXE $19.99 18 100% 540 $11k (exactly $10,795) Raptus Games
Princess of the Water Lilies $14.99 24 100% 720 $11k (exactly $10,793) Why Knot Studio, Red Dunes Games
Under The Hood older $14.99 19 78% 570 $8.5k (exactly $8,544) Shady Corner Games
Flambeau Deluxxx older $14.99 19 84% 570 $8.5k (exactly $8,544) Shady Corner Games
Hyperstacks $19.99 11 90% 330 $6.6k (exactly $6,597) Squirrel Bytes
Laserade: Sugar Rush $7.99 4 100% 120 $959 (exactly $959) Design Boy
Trump Trade War $1.99 13 84% 390 $776 (exactly $776) Tero Lunkka, Valkeala Software
The Little Moon $3.99 5 100% 150 $598 (exactly $598) TTeokLeaf, Wojtek
Blue Flow $2.99 6 100% 180 $538 (exactly $538) Zulfu Ulas Sahin
On Your Notebook $1.99 5 100% 150 $298 (exactly $298) Marimori
Danmaku Girl $3.99 2 0% 60 $239 (exactly $239) SHAN YU

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.