Do I ship it?

GamesBullet HellBullet Hell + Precision Platformer

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Precision Platformer Bullet Hell?

Bullet Hell + Precision Platformer

Of 38 developers who shipped a Precision Platformer Bullet Hell in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 38 more are announced, ×2.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 3 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $300 in the last 2 years and $420 over 4, against a market of $480 for a 3 / 10 build. 17 developers shipped in the last year and 38 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.6 times the market baseline, revenue down 65% on the market, 38 announced, ×2.2 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Bullet Hell + Precision Platformer
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 38
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $269 → $898 → $2.7k → $776 → $119 → $0 (still earning) → $2.1k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Bullet Hell + Precision Platformer: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 38
Bottom 30% $60 (exactly $60)
Median $299 (exactly $299)
Top 25% $2.1k (exactly $2,079)
Top 5% $65k (exactly $65,304)
Developers, 2 yr 38
Released games 99
Announced 38
Effort 3 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $4.95

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 65% on the market, supply 20% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 17%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Bullet Hell
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Precision Platformer
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
Systems
Bullet Hell, Precision Platformer; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Platformer, Action-Adventure
Price point
$4.95 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Difficult, 2D, Colorful
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $4.95.

The top 10 games average 85% positive over 1,216 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $60, median $300, 1 in 4 over $2.0k, 1 in 20 over $65k.

3 in 10 developers made under $60. 9 in 10 of the 27 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 38 games are announced against 17 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.2 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Bullet Hell with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + SuperheroStrong odds11 devs · median $3.4k · 7 announced
  2. + FaithFair26 devs · median $17k · 29 announced
  3. + VampiresFair43 devs · median $3.4k · 33 announced
  4. + Creature CollectorFair24 devs · median $3.4k · 33 announced
  5. + Strategy RPGFair40 devs · median $2.0k · 31 announced
  6. + PiratesFair14 devs · median $2.0k · 20 announced
  7. + CatsFair44 devs · median $1.7k · 59 announced
  8. + HackingFair15 devs · median $1.6k · 17 announced
  9. + Time ManagementFair11 devs · median $1.2k · 15 announced
  10. + Card BattlerFair24 devs · median $1.2k · 22 announced
  11. + DemonsFair101 devs · median $1.2k · 125 announced
  12. + Naval CombatFair14 devs · median $1.1k · 16 announced

All 185 pairs on the Bullet Hell page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Luna Abyss $29.99 923 86% 28k $830k (exactly $830,423) Kwalee Labs
Wings of Vi older $14.99 955 83% 29k $429k (exactly $429,464) Grynsoft
Garbanzo Quest older $19.99 652 98% 20k $391k (exactly $391,004) zagawee
Outrider Mako $17.99 121 65% 3.6k $65k (exactly $65,304) Asamado Games
SATAZIUS older $5.99 183 85% 5.5k $33k (exactly $32,885) ASTRO PORT
ppL older $5.99 63 90% 1.9k $11k (exactly $11,321) 2D Digital studio, DevonAnimation
NBB.EXE $19.99 18 100% 540 $11k (exactly $10,795) Raptus Games
Quetzal's Call $9.99 34 88% 1.0k $10k (exactly $10,190) tissue inu
Trash Quest older $2.99 109 93% 3.3k $9.8k (exactly $9,777) Francis Vace
Riskers older $4.99 63 46% 1.9k $9.4k (exactly $9,431) ·
Hyperstacks $19.99 11 90% 330 $6.6k (exactly $6,597) Squirrel Bytes
BeDo $4.99 39 100% 1.2k $5.8k (exactly $5,838) Felipe Jimenez, Reborilux
Dino-Ducks Dash $2.99 30 96% 900 $2.7k (exactly $2,691) Duckosaurus Games
Rogue Runner $5.99 12 91% 360 $2.2k (exactly $2,156) 42nd Machine
POROTO $4.99 14 100% 420 $2.1k (exactly $2,096) Edu Vasquez
Dragon Dragon Fire Fire Deluxe $4.95 14 100% 420 $2.1k (exactly $2,079) Zephyrix

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.