Games › Bullet Hell › Bullet Hell + Noir
Should I ship a Noir Bullet Hell?
Bullet Hell + Noir
Only 18 developers shipped a Noir Bullet Hell in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, DeTechtive 2112, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 14 more are announced.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 3 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $420, ×0.9 the market's $480 for a 3 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $180; 1 in 20 cleared $19k, ×42 the market median. Revenue is down 90% on the market; 14 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $179 (exactly $179) |
|---|---|
| Median | $416 (exactly $416) |
| Top 25% | $4.2k (exactly $4,196) |
| Top 5% | $20k (exactly $19,782) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 18 |
| Released games | 40 |
| Announced | 14 |
| Effort | 3 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | High |
| Typical price | $4.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 90% on the market, supply 25% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 15%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Bullet Hell
- effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
- Noir
- effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
What it takes
- Effort
- 3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
- Systems
- Bullet Hell; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Adventure, Shooter
- Price point
- $4.99 typical · top 25% priced $10.99 or above
- Art
- 5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 1990's, 3D, Realistic
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $10.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.
The top 10 games average 80% positive over 324 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $180. All of the 9 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 14 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year.
Adjacent niches
Bullet Hell with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + SuperheroStrong odds
- + FaithFair
- + VampiresFair
- + Creature CollectorFair
- + Strategy RPGFair
- + PiratesFair
- + CatsFair
- + HackingFair
- + Time ManagementFair
- + Card BattlerFair
- + DemonsFair
- + Naval CombatFair
Comparable games
Angel at Dusk 2024 · $754k 
LIBERATED 2020 · $407k 
Soundodger 2 2023 · $111k 
DeTechtive 2112 2025 · $20k 
Mr. Fast 2020 · $16k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Angel at Dusk | older | $14.99 | 1,676 98% | 50k | $754k (exactly $753,697) | Akiragoya |
| | LIBERATED | older | $19.99 | 679 77% | 20k | $407k (exactly $407,196) | Atomic Wolf, L.INC |
| | Soundodger 2 | older | $19.99 | 185 95% | 5.6k | $111k (exactly $110,944) | Studio Bean |
| | DeTechtive 2112 | $10.99 | 60 46% | 1.8k | $20k (exactly $19,782) | M11 Studio | |
| | Mr. Fast | older | $4.99 | 105 79% | 3.2k | $16k (exactly $15,718) | ZHANG FAN |
 | TOUHOU RHAPSODY OF MOON RABBIT | · EA | $9.99 | 47 82% | 1.4k | $14k (exactly $14,086) | 瓦尔基里游戏 |
 | Undead West | $7.99 | 35 82% | 1.1k | $8.4k (exactly $8,390) | Deathless Games | |
 | DEN PAIN | $2.04 | 110 88% | 3.3k | $6.7k (exactly $6,732) | TXC | |
 | Hit Zero: Chronos | older | $4.99 | 41 70% | 1.2k | $6.1k (exactly $6,138) | ZHANG FAN |
 | Memorise'n'run | older | $9.99 | 19 89% | 570 | $5.7k (exactly $5,694) | JOZGamer |
 | RAZE | $9.99 | 14 100% | 420 | $4.2k (exactly $4,196) | RAZE CLUB | |
 | Dark Erosion: Endless Siege | $6.99 | 15 80% | 450 | $3.1k (exactly $3,146) | LaoLiang | |
 | Miryam: The Polluted Land | $4.99 | 5 100% | 150 | $748 (exactly $748) | 6.5F Studio | |
 | X-teroids | $0.99 | 23 100% | 690 | $683 (exactly $683) | liangxiegame | |
 | Opollo | $0.99 | 14 85% | 420 | $416 (exactly $416) | Planetary Gears | |
 | 星界远航 Stellar Realm Voyage | · EA | $8.99 | 1 100% | 30 | $270 (exactly $270) | SGAIZFTX |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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