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Should I ship a Ninja Bullet Hell?
Bullet Hell + Ninja
Only 8 developers shipped a Ninja Bullet Hell in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, HYAKKI YAKO Survivor, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 11 more are announced, ×2.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $3.6k, ×5.7 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $150; 1 in 20 cleared $20k, ×32 the market median. Revenue is down 100% on the market; 11 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year.
not enough cohorts to draw
| Bottom 30% | $150 (exactly $150) |
|---|---|
| Median | $3.6k (exactly $3,598) |
| Top 25% | $11k (exactly $10,782) |
| Top 5% | $20k (exactly $20,135) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 8 |
| Released games | 26 |
| Announced | 11 |
| Effort | 5 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $5.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 100% on the market, supply 65% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 8%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Bullet Hell
- effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
- Ninja
- effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
- Systems
- Bullet Hell
- Price point
- $5.99 typical
Why players buy here
Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.
The top 25% priced at $9.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.
The top 10 games average 82% positive over 1,065 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $150. 11 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.2 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Bullet Hell with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + SuperheroStrong odds
- + FaithFair
- + VampiresFair
- + Creature CollectorFair
- + Strategy RPGFair
- + PiratesFair
- + CatsFair
- + HackingFair
- + Time ManagementFair
- + Card BattlerFair
- + DemonsFair
- + Naval CombatFair
Comparable games
Ninjin: Clash of Carrots 2018 · $96k 
Straimium Immortaly 2016 · $33k 
Nelo 2017 · EA · $21k 
HYAKKI YAKO Survivor 2025 · $20k 
Viro Move 2021 · $17k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Ninjin: Clash of Carrots | older | $9.99 | 321 92% | 9.6k | $96k (exactly $96,204) | Pocket Trap |
| | Straimium Immortaly | older | $6.99 | 157 89% | 4.7k | $33k (exactly $32,923) | caiys |
| | Nelo | · EA older | $4.99 | 139 69% | 4.2k | $21k (exactly $20,808) | Magic and Mirrors |
| | HYAKKI YAKO Survivor | $7.99 | 84 67% | 2.5k | $20k (exactly $20,135) | pixyda,inc. | |
| | Viro Move | older | $24.99 | 23 43% | 690 | $17k (exactly $17,243) | FIT REALITY |
 | Waifu Uncovered | older | $3.99 | 133 77% | 4.0k | $16k (exactly $15,920) | One-Hand-Free Studios |
 | Rogue Samurai | $5.99 | 60 53% | 1.8k | $11k (exactly $10,782) | CO's Entertainment | |
 | Agent in Depth | older | $2.99 | 108 93% | 3.2k | $9.7k (exactly $9,688) | Naturepixel Studios, SkyBrave |
 | TENGAI | $9.99 | 14 100% | 420 | $4.2k (exactly $4,196) | Zerodiv | |
 | Ninja Monkey | older | $4.99 | 26 100% | 780 | $3.9k (exactly $3,892) | Icaro Games |
 | NINJA KAMUI: SHINOBI ORIGINS | $19.99 | 6 100% | 180 | $3.6k (exactly $3,598) | G.rev Ltd. | |
 | Samurai Ace | $9.99 | 5 100% | 150 | $1.5k (exactly $1,498) | Zerodiv | |
 | Zelash: Dash and Slash | $5.99 | 4 100% | 120 | $719 (exactly $719) | Chris Aceto | |
 | Ninja Survivor | $4.99 | 1 100% | 30 | $150 (exactly $150) | olyan | |
 | Ninja Vs Bomb | $3.00 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | Sprem | |
 | SCROLLBOUND | $3.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | NoxCat Games |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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