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Should I ship a Mythological Bullet Hell?
Bullet Hell + Mythology
Of 38 developers who shipped a Mythological Bullet Hell in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 62 more are announced, ×3.6 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $1.4k, ×2.3 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $300; 1 in 20 cleared $750k, ×1207 the market median. Revenue is up 120% on the market; 62 games are announced against 17 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $299 (exactly $299) |
|---|---|
| Median | $1.4k (exactly $1,436) |
| Top 25% | $21k (exactly $21,136) |
| Top 5% | $758k (exactly $758,241) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 38 |
| Released games | 74 |
| Announced | 62 |
| Effort | 5 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $4.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 120% on the market, supply 20% fewer developers than the period before.
Free games: 18%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Bullet Hell
- effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
- Mythology
- effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
- Systems
- Bullet Hell; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, RPG, Roguelike
- Price point
- $4.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
- Art
- 3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Dark, Stylized, 2D
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.
The top 10 games average 80% positive over 6,701 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $300. 8 in 10 of the 23 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 62 games are announced against 17 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.6 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Bullet Hell with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + SuperheroStrong odds
- + FaithFair
- + VampiresFair
- + Creature CollectorFair
- + Strategy RPGFair
- + PiratesFair
- + CatsFair
- + HackingFair
- + Time ManagementFair
- + Card BattlerFair
- + DemonsFair
- + Naval CombatFair
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Neon Abyss 2 | · EA | $19.99 | 1,968 68% | 59k | $1.2M (exactly $1,180,210) | Veewo Games |
| | Conquest Dark | · EA | $9.99 | 2,530 89% | 76k | $758k (exactly $758,241) | Eldritch Sword Games |
| | Cultivation Story: Reincarnation | older | $9.99 | 1,994 92% | 60k | $598k (exactly $597,602) | Chi Entertainment Corp. |
| | Achilles: Survivor | $8.99 | 1,454 81% | 44k | $392k (exactly $392,144) | Dark Point Games | |
| | The Great Rebellion | older | $15.99 | 546 96% | 16k | $262k (exactly $261,916) | Kvltgames |
| | Skybreakers | older | $8.99 | 629 75% | 19k | $170k (exactly $169,641) | Bingo Studio |
| | Infinite Tao | older | $3.99 | 852 79% | 26k | $102k (exactly $101,984) | insomnia |
| | Perseus: Titan Slayer | older | $7.99 | 348 63% | 10k | $83k (exactly $83,416) | Sicarius |
| | Touhou Spell Carnival | $49.99 | 49 77% | 1.5k | $73k (exactly $73,485) | Idea Factory, Compile Heart, STING | |
| | Champion Shift | older | $11.99 | 200 77% | 6.0k | $72k (exactly $71,940) | SRG Studios |
| | Ancient Cultivatrix | $8.99 | 240 67% | 7.2k | $65k (exactly $64,728) | 五条虾仁(5 shrimps) | |
| | DaemonBride:ADDITIONAL GAIN | $19.99 | 94 82% | 2.8k | $56k (exactly $56,372) | Team Arcana, Kizawaya | |
| | Duriano | $14.99 | 117 95% | 3.5k | $53k (exactly $52,615) | Adisoft Gaming Co.,Ltd. | |
| | Vilde | $15.99 | 87 74% | 2.6k | $42k (exactly $41,734) | Chaotic Minds | |
| | Worship Demon | $6.99 | 115 75% | 3.5k | $24k (exactly $24,116) | 森罗游戏Senlo Game | |
| | Touhou Kouzougi ~ Flickerframe Shutter Festival | $14.99 | 47 93% | 1.4k | $21k (exactly $21,136) | Ryann Thierry |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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