Do I ship it?

GamesBullet HellBullet Hell + Mythology

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Mythological Bullet Hell?

Bullet Hell + Mythology

Of 38 developers who shipped a Mythological Bullet Hell in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 62 more are announced, ×3.6 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.4k, ×2.3 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $300; 1 in 20 cleared $750k, ×1207 the market median. Revenue is up 120% on the market; 62 games are announced against 17 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 2.3 times the market baseline, revenue up 120% on the market, 62 announced, ×3.6 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Bullet Hell + Mythology
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 38
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $83k → $13k → $419 → $1.4k → $2.3k → $1.9k (still earning) → $1.4k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Bullet Hell + Mythology: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 38
Bottom 30% $299 (exactly $299)
Median $1.4k (exactly $1,436)
Top 25% $21k (exactly $21,136)
Top 5% $758k (exactly $758,241)
Developers, 2 yr 38
Released games 74
Announced 62
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 120% on the market, supply 20% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 18%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Bullet Hell
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Mythology
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Bullet Hell; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, RPG, Roguelike
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Dark, Stylized, 2D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 80% positive over 6,701 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $300, median $1.4k, 1 in 4 over $21k, 1 in 20 over $750k.

3 in 10 developers made under $300. 8 in 10 of the 23 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 62 games are announced against 17 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.6 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Bullet Hell with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + SuperheroStrong odds11 devs · median $3.4k · 7 announced
  2. + FaithFair26 devs · median $17k · 29 announced
  3. + VampiresFair43 devs · median $3.4k · 33 announced
  4. + Creature CollectorFair24 devs · median $3.4k · 33 announced
  5. + Strategy RPGFair40 devs · median $2.0k · 31 announced
  6. + PiratesFair14 devs · median $2.0k · 20 announced
  7. + CatsFair44 devs · median $1.7k · 59 announced
  8. + HackingFair15 devs · median $1.6k · 17 announced
  9. + Time ManagementFair11 devs · median $1.2k · 15 announced
  10. + Card BattlerFair24 devs · median $1.2k · 22 announced
  11. + DemonsFair101 devs · median $1.2k · 125 announced
  12. + Naval CombatFair14 devs · median $1.1k · 16 announced

All 185 pairs on the Bullet Hell page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Neon Abyss 2 · EA $19.99 1,968 68% 59k $1.2M (exactly $1,180,210) Veewo Games
Conquest Dark · EA $9.99 2,530 89% 76k $758k (exactly $758,241) Eldritch Sword Games
Cultivation Story: Reincarnation older $9.99 1,994 92% 60k $598k (exactly $597,602) Chi Entertainment Corp.
Achilles: Survivor $8.99 1,454 81% 44k $392k (exactly $392,144) Dark Point Games
The Great Rebellion older $15.99 546 96% 16k $262k (exactly $261,916) Kvltgames
Skybreakers older $8.99 629 75% 19k $170k (exactly $169,641) Bingo Studio
Infinite Tao older $3.99 852 79% 26k $102k (exactly $101,984) insomnia
Perseus: Titan Slayer older $7.99 348 63% 10k $83k (exactly $83,416) Sicarius
Touhou Spell Carnival $49.99 49 77% 1.5k $73k (exactly $73,485) Idea Factory, Compile Heart, STING
Champion Shift older $11.99 200 77% 6.0k $72k (exactly $71,940) SRG Studios
Ancient Cultivatrix $8.99 240 67% 7.2k $65k (exactly $64,728) 五条虾仁(5 shrimps)
DaemonBride:ADDITIONAL GAIN $19.99 94 82% 2.8k $56k (exactly $56,372) Team Arcana, Kizawaya
Duriano $14.99 117 95% 3.5k $53k (exactly $52,615) Adisoft Gaming Co.,Ltd.
Vilde $15.99 87 74% 2.6k $42k (exactly $41,734) Chaotic Minds
Worship Demon $6.99 115 75% 3.5k $24k (exactly $24,116) 森罗游戏Senlo Game
Touhou Kouzougi ~ Flickerframe Shutter Festival $14.99 47 93% 1.4k $21k (exactly $21,136) Ryann Thierry

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.