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Should I ship a Martial-Arts Bullet Hell?
Bullet Hell + Martial Arts
Only 15 developers shipped a Martial-Arts Bullet Hell in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Karate Survivor, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 10 more are announced.
Verdict: fair, for a 6 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $540, ×0.9 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $450. Revenue is up 100% on the market; 10 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $449 (exactly $449) |
|---|---|
| Median | $538 (exactly $538) |
| Top 25% | $11k (exactly $10,782) |
| Top 5% | $449k (exactly $448,651) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 15 |
| Released games | 27 |
| Announced | 10 |
| Effort | 6 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $4.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 100% on the market, supply 35% fewer developers than the period before.
Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Bullet Hell
- effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
- Martial Arts
- effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
- Systems
- Bullet Hell; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Action Roguelike, Bullet Heaven
- Price point
- $4.99 typical · top 25% priced $9.99 or above
- Art
- 5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, 3D, Pixel Graphics
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $9.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.
The top 10 games average 85% positive over 3,262 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $450. 9 in 10 of the 9 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 10 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year.
Adjacent niches
Bullet Hell with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + SuperheroStrong odds
- + FaithFair
- + VampiresFair
- + Creature CollectorFair
- + Strategy RPGFair
- + PiratesFair
- + CatsFair
- + HackingFair
- + Time ManagementFair
- + Card BattlerFair
- + DemonsFair
- + Naval CombatFair
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Cultivation Story: Reincarnation | older | $9.99 | 1,994 92% | 60k | $598k (exactly $597,602) | Chi Entertainment Corp. |
| | Karate Survivor | $4.99 | 2,997 85% | 90k | $449k (exactly $448,651) | Alawar | |
| | Skybreakers | older | $8.99 | 629 75% | 19k | $170k (exactly $169,641) | Bingo Studio |
| | romantic player | older | $2.99 | 424 73% | 13k | $38k (exactly $38,033) | Ronin SoftWork |
| | Beatdown City Survivors | $9.99 | 80 98% | 2.4k | $24k (exactly $23,976) | NuChallenger | |
| | Viro Move | older | $24.99 | 23 43% | 690 | $17k (exactly $17,243) | FIT REALITY |
| | Parry Survivor | $7.99 | 57 100% | 1.7k | $14k (exactly $13,663) | Seal | |
| | Rogue Samurai | $5.99 | 60 53% | 1.8k | $11k (exactly $10,782) | CO's Entertainment | |
| | Demonslayer AKA Me | $7.99 | 34 73% | 1.0k | $8.2k (exactly $8,150) | 晶尘工作室 | |
| | Redneck Brawl Turbo | $12.99 | 10 90% | 300 | $3.9k (exactly $3,897) | Kolossus Games | |
| | GunBang | $3.99 | 5 80% | 150 | $598 (exactly $598) | 4Tins Studios | |
| | Against Tribulation | $2.99 | 6 50% | 180 | $538 (exactly $538) | wooviet | |
| | 一剑江湖 | $1.99 | 9 44% | 270 | $537 (exactly $537) | 春秋大梦工作室 | |
| | Eternal Price: Whispers of Mystery | · EA | $3.99 | 4 25% | 120 | $479 (exactly $479) | 逐梦工作室 |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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