Do I ship it?

Games › Bullet Hell › Bullet Hell + Hidden Object

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Hidden Object Bullet Hell?

Bullet Hell + Hidden Object

Only 14 developers shipped a Hidden Object Bullet Hell in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, BeDo, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 16 more are announced, ×2.7 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 3 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $560, ×1.2 the market's $480 for a 3 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $90; 1 in 20 cleared $5.8k, ×12 the market median. Revenue is up 405% on the market; 16 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.2 times the market baseline, revenue up 405% on the market, 16 announced, ×2.7 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Bullet Hell + Hidden Object
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 14
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.2k → $416 → $1.2k → $90 → $1.8k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Bullet Hell + Hidden Object: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 14
Bottom 30% $90 (exactly $90)
Median $564 (exactly $564)
Top 25% $1.5k (exactly $1,525)
Top 5% $5.8k (exactly $5,838)
Developers, 2 yr 14
Released games 36
Announced 16
Effort 3 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $2.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 405% on the market, supply 35% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.

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Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Bullet Hell
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Hidden Object
effort 2 / 10 · high · static scenes with click targets

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
Systems
Bullet Hell, Hidden Object
Price point
$2.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 86% positive over 142 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $90, median $560, 1 in 4 over $1.5k, 1 in 20 over $5.8k.

3 in 10 developers made under $90. All of the 11 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 16 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.7 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Bullet Hell with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + SuperheroStrong odds11 devs · median $3.4k · 7 announced
  2. + FaithFair26 devs · median $17k · 29 announced
  3. + VampiresFair43 devs · median $3.4k · 33 announced
  4. + Creature CollectorFair24 devs · median $3.4k · 33 announced
  5. + Strategy RPGFair40 devs · median $2.0k · 31 announced
  6. + PiratesFair14 devs · median $2.0k · 20 announced
  7. + CatsFair44 devs · median $1.7k · 59 announced
  8. + HackingFair15 devs · median $1.6k · 17 announced
  9. + Time ManagementFair11 devs · median $1.2k · 15 announced
  10. + Card BattlerFair24 devs · median $1.2k · 22 announced
  11. + DemonsFair101 devs · median $1.2k · 125 announced
  12. + Naval CombatFair14 devs · median $1.1k · 16 announced

All 185 pairs on the Bullet Hell page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Disassembly 3D 2017 · $278k Disassembly VR 2019 · $141k Wrong Bullet 2024 · $76k Putt-Putt® Goes to the Moon 2014 · $39k Space Survival 2016 · $15k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Disassembly 3D older $29.99 309 81% 9.3k $278k (exactly $278,007) Khor Chin Heong
Disassembly VR older $29.99 157 59% 4.7k $141k (exactly $141,253) Khor Chin Heong
Wrong Bullet older $29.99 84 89% 2.5k $76k (exactly $75,575) Galactic Geckon
Putt-Putt® Goes to the Moon older $6.99 184 94% 5.5k $39k (exactly $38,585) Humongous Entertainment
Space Survival older $4.99 103 48% 3.1k $15k (exactly $15,419) UltraShock Gaming LLC, Killbox Graphics
BeDo $4.99 39 100% 1.2k $5.8k (exactly $5,838) Felipe Jimenez, Reborilux
Assassin Of Dombardos $9.99 10 80% 300 $3.0k (exactly $2,997) Saylor Games
Oil Invasion older $4.99 13 53% 390 $1.9k (exactly $1,946) Ruskija game experience, Valkeala Softw… (Ruskija game experience, Valkeala Software)
Assassin Of Spider 2: 2099 $5.99 10 80% 300 $1.8k (exactly $1,797) Saylor games
Big Theft Valkeala $2.99 17 76% 510 $1.5k (exactly $1,525) Tero Lunkka, Valkeala Software, Kendall… (Tero Lunkka, Valkeala Software, Kendall Studios)
Money Theft 2: Heist $3.99 10 70% 300 $1.2k (exactly $1,197) Tero Lunkka, Valkeala Software
Big Theft Valkeala 3 Revenge $2.99 13 76% 390 $1.2k (exactly $1,166) Tero Lunkka, Valkeala Software
Zelash: Dash and Slash $5.99 4 100% 120 $719 (exactly $719) Chris Aceto
The Island of Thugs $0.99 19 78% 570 $564 (exactly $564) Big Green Platypus
Big Theft Valkeala 2: San Piritori $2.99 6 100% 180 $538 (exactly $538) Tero Lunkka, Valkeala Software
Hard as Hell $0.99 14 85% 420 $416 (exactly $416) L4S Games, KAPPIRE

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.