Games › Bullet Hell › Bullet Hell + Dating Sim
Should I ship a Dating Sim Bullet Hell?
Bullet Hell + Dating Sim
Only 7 developers shipped a Dating Sim Bullet Hell in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, WHISPERS OF GODDESS, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 14 more are announced, ×7.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: dead, for a 3 / 10 build.
Only 2 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $3.0k against a market of $480. 14 games are announced.
| Bottom 30% | $839 (exactly $839) |
|---|---|
| Median | $3.0k (exactly $2,970) |
| Top 25% | $7.3k (exactly $7,266) |
| Top 5% | $10k (exactly $10,341) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 7 |
| Released games | 35 |
| Announced | 14 |
| Effort | 3 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | High |
| Typical price | $2.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 60% fewer developers than the period before.
Free games: 9%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Bullet Hell
- effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
- Dating Sim
- effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band
What it takes
- Effort
- 3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
- Systems
- Bullet Hell, Dating Sim
- Price point
- $2.99 typical
Why players buy here
Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.
The top 25% priced at $12.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.
The top 10 games average 95% positive over 318,011 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $840. 7 in 10 of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 14 games are announced against 2 developers who shipped in the last year, ×7.0 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Bullet Hell with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + SuperheroStrong odds
- + FaithFair
- + VampiresFair
- + Creature CollectorFair
- + Strategy RPGFair
- + PiratesFair
- + CatsFair
- + HackingFair
- + Time ManagementFair
- + Card BattlerFair
- + DemonsFair
- + Naval CombatFair
Comparable games
Undertale 2015 · $92M 
Azur Lane Crosswave 2020 · $7.8M 
Wings of Seduction: Bust 'em out! 2024 · $352k 
Get To Work, Succubus-Chan! 2021 · $144k 
AHEGAL 2018 · $70k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Undertale | older | $9.99 | 307,601 96% | 9.2M | $92M (exactly $92,188,020) | tobyfox |
| | Azur Lane Crosswave | older | $39.99 | 6,537 68% | 196k | $7.8M (exactly $7,842,439) | IDEA FACTORY, COMPILE HEART, FELISTELLA |
| | Wings of Seduction: Bust 'em out! | older | $12.99 | 904 93% | 27k | $352k (exactly $352,289) | Ramen Cat Studio |
| | Get To Work, Succubus-Chan! | older | $9.99 | 480 78% | 14k | $144k (exactly $143,856) | SmallSqurriel, Eternal Alice Game |
| | AHEGAL | older | $1.99 | 1,165 88% | 35k | $70k (exactly $69,550) | OppaiMan 2D |
 | Fantasy Amusement Park II | older | $5.99 | 316 67% | 9.5k | $57k (exactly $56,785) | Cat Paw Game |
 | romantic player | older | $2.99 | 424 73% | 13k | $38k (exactly $38,033) | Ronin SoftWork |
 | Mokoko X | older | $9.99 | 112 88% | 3.4k | $34k (exactly $33,566) | NAISU |
 | Unlucky Seven | older | $7.99 | 136 47% | 4.1k | $33k (exactly $32,599) | Puzzling Dream |
 | AHEGAL SEASONS | older | $2.99 | 336 90% | 10k | $30k (exactly $30,139) | OppaiMan 2D |
 | WHISPERS OF GODDESS | $11.49 | 30 50% | 900 | $10k (exactly $10,341) | Ion studio | |
 | SORRY SURVIVOR | $2.99 | 81 85% | 2.4k | $7.3k (exactly $7,266) | TakenokoGames | |
 | Doki Doki Sharky Days | $3.99 | 25 64% | 750 | $3.0k (exactly $2,992) | Blue Fin Games | |
 | 黄色猫片 | $0.99 | 100 91% | 3.0k | $3.0k (exactly $2,970) | Basement Games, 86岁按时吃饭 | |
 | Dux Solaris | · EA | $6.99 | 4 75% | 120 | $839 (exactly $839) | MidnightMelon Games |
 | The Andere Realm: A Flicker of Lust | $2.99 | 2 0% | 60 | $179 (exactly $179) | MothOnMars | |
 | Wisp Gunner | $0.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | 000ghost |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
Your address goes to Buttondown, which sends the letter, and nowhere else. Every issue has an unsubscribe link. No tracking beyond the open count Buttondown keeps.