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Should I ship a Choose Your Own Adventure Bullet Hell?
Bullet Hell + Choose Your Own Adventure
Only 12 developers shipped a Choose Your Own Adventure Bullet Hell in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, That Time I Got Reincarnated as a Demon Hand, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 19 more are announced, ×2.7 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 3 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $1.5k, ×3.2 the market's $480 for a 3 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $600; 1 in 20 cleared $110k, ×237 the market median. Revenue is up 20% on the market; 19 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $598 (exactly $598) |
|---|---|
| Median | $1.5k (exactly $1,525) |
| Top 25% | $8.2k (exactly $8,150) |
| Top 5% | $112k (exactly $112,388) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 12 |
| Released games | 43 |
| Announced | 19 |
| Effort | 3 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | High |
| Typical price | $8.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 20% on the market, supply 15% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 7%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Bullet Hell
- effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
- Choose Your Own Adventure
- effort 2 / 10 · high · branching text with light state
What it takes
- Effort
- 3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
- Systems
- Bullet Hell, Choose Your Own Adventure
- Price point
- $8.99 typical
Why players buy here
The top 10 games average 78% positive over 611 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $600. All of the 8 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 19 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.7 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Bullet Hell with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + SuperheroStrong odds
- + FaithFair
- + VampiresFair
- + Creature CollectorFair
- + Strategy RPGFair
- + PiratesFair
- + CatsFair
- + HackingFair
- + Time ManagementFair
- + Card BattlerFair
- + DemonsFair
- + Naval CombatFair
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | That Time I Got Reincarnated as a Demon Hand | $9.99 | 375 84% | 11k | $112k (exactly $112,388) | Tora Creatives | |
| | Touhou Gensokyo Odyssey | older | $6.99 | 357 94% | 11k | $75k (exactly $74,863) | Kronington |
| | Hero of Fate | older | $2.99 | 495 78% | 15k | $44k (exactly $44,402) | Planescape Game Studio |
| | Deliria | $9.99 | 136 61% | 4.1k | $41k (exactly $40,759) | Linesway | |
| | Baby Blues Nightmares - Toddler Horror Game | older | $12.99 | 93 91% | 2.8k | $36k (exactly $36,242) | Steelkrill Studio |
| | Super Retro Fighter | · EA older | $11.99 | 57 73% | 1.7k | $21k (exactly $20,503) | Syndrome interactive, Cat God Studio |
| | Demonslayer AKA Me | $7.99 | 34 73% | 1.0k | $8.2k (exactly $8,150) | 晶尘工作室 | |
| | Brick Odyssey | older | $11.99 | 18 94% | 540 | $6.5k (exactly $6,475) | MacMorgan |
| | Spellbound Survivors | older | $4.99 | 38 89% | 1.1k | $5.7k (exactly $5,689) | ToastedSquadStudios |
| | Aevalore | $4.99 | 16 81% | 480 | $2.4k (exactly $2,395) | Aevalore | |
| | Galactic Plague 2000 | $4.99 | 11 100% | 330 | $1.6k (exactly $1,647) | Yacoobs C.M, TR Old School Gamer | |
| | Big Theft Valkeala | $2.99 | 17 76% | 510 | $1.5k (exactly $1,525) | Tero Lunkka, Valkeala Software, Kendall… (Tero Lunkka, Valkeala Software, Kendall Studios) | |
| | さーきゅらーディフェンス!!~とある辺境惑星開拓事務所、30日の記録~ | $8.99 | 4 75% | 120 | $1.1k (exactly $1,079) | Picola Inc. | |
| | Is this a Game yet? | · EA | $1.99 | 12 91% | 360 | $716 (exactly $716) | Onizumi Kohari |
| | The Little Moon | $3.99 | 5 100% | 150 | $598 (exactly $598) | TTeokLeaf, Wojtek | |
| | Strange Hunting Grounds | · EA | $9.99 | 1 100% | 30 | $300 (exactly $300) | GaniTani |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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