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Should I ship a Card Game Bullet Hell?
Bullet Hell + Card Game
Of 39 developers who shipped a Card Game Bullet Hell in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 41 more are announced.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 3 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $720, ×1.5 the market's $480 for a 3 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $240; 1 in 20 cleared $17k, ×36 the market median. Revenue is down 80% on the market; 41 games are announced against 25 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $240 (exactly $240) |
|---|---|
| Median | $719 (exactly $719) |
| Top 25% | $3.2k (exactly $3,229) |
| Top 5% | $17k (exactly $17,019) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 39 |
| Released games | 73 |
| Announced | 41 |
| Effort | 3 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | High |
| Typical price | $4.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 80% on the market, supply 80% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Bullet Hell
- effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
- Card Game
- effort 2 / 10 · high · rules engine and card data
What it takes
- Effort
- 3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
- Systems
- Bullet Hell, Card Game; 7 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Roguelike, Strategy, Action
- Price point
- $4.99 typical · top 25% priced $9.99 or above
- Art
- 3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Funny, 3D
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $9.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.
The top 10 games average 85% positive over 679 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $240. 9 in 10 of the 19 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 41 games are announced against 25 developers who shipped in the last year.
Adjacent niches
Bullet Hell with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + SuperheroStrong odds
- + FaithFair
- + VampiresFair
- + Creature CollectorFair
- + Strategy RPGFair
- + PiratesFair
- + CatsFair
- + HackingFair
- + Time ManagementFair
- + Card BattlerFair
- + DemonsFair
- + Naval CombatFair
Comparable games
One Step From Eden 2020 · $3.6M 
Heretic's Fork 2023 · $928k 
FORCED SHOWDOWN 2016 · $294k 
Duelists of Eden 2024 · $128k 
Godslayer Arena 2025 · EA · $116k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | One Step From Eden | older | $19.99 | 6,039 94% | 181k | $3.6M (exactly $3,621,588) | Thomas Moon Kang |
| | Heretic's Fork | older | $9.99 | 3,097 85% | 93k | $928k (exactly $928,171) | 9FingerGames |
| | FORCED SHOWDOWN | older | $19.99 | 491 82% | 15k | $294k (exactly $294,453) | BetaDwarf |
| | Duelists of Eden | older | $4.99 | 856 95% | 26k | $128k (exactly $128,143) | Thomas Moon Kang |
| | Godslayer Arena | · EA | $14.99 | 257 76% | 7.7k | $116k (exactly $115,573) | Hippo Rider Games |
 | Gnaughty Gnomes | $7.99 | 71 100% | 2.1k | $17k (exactly $17,019) | SandCastles Studio | |
 | Moon Watch | · EA | $9.99 | 56 57% | 1.7k | $17k (exactly $16,783) | Jaspel |
 | Decks of Dexterity | $14.99 | 33 100% | 990 | $15k (exactly $14,840) | Coded Games | |
 | KUNKUN League | $2.99 | 123 98% | 3.7k | $11k (exactly $11,033) | Seal | |
 | 鸭鸭大冒险 (Duck Duck Adventure) | $8.99 | 29 93% | 870 | $7.8k (exactly $7,821) | 清友工作室 | |
 | Miracle Brave | $6.60 | 33 78% | 990 | $6.5k (exactly $6,534) | 1029studio | |
 | Hex Blast | $4.99 | 30 100% | 900 | $4.5k (exactly $4,491) | Soy Boy Games | |
 | LYMBUS | $9.99 | 11 90% | 330 | $3.3k (exactly $3,297) | Happy Accident Studios | |
 | Zenvader | $2.99 | 36 97% | 1.1k | $3.2k (exactly $3,229) | RyiSnow |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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