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Should I ship a Zombie Bullet Heaven?
Bullet Heaven + Zombies
Of 22 developers who shipped a Zombie Bullet Heaven in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 40 more are announced, ×2.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $11k, ×17 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $150; 1 in 20 cleared $1.2M, ×2044 the market median. Revenue is down 95% on the market; 40 games are announced against 18 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $150 (exactly $150) |
|---|---|
| Median | $11k (exactly $10,778) |
| Top 25% | $91k (exactly $91,288) |
| Top 5% | $1.3M (exactly $1,283,894) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 22 |
| Released games | 33 |
| Announced | 40 |
| Effort | 5 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $7.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 95% on the market, supply 350% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 3%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Bullet Heaven
- effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
- Zombies
- effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
- Systems
- Bullet Heaven; all of the top 25% also carry Action, Action Roguelike, Bullet Hell
- Price point
- $7.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
- Art
- 6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Top-Down
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.
The top 10 games average 86% positive over 23,336 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $150. 40 games are announced against 18 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.2 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Bullet Heaven with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Online Co-OpStrong odds
- + Class-BasedFair
- + CraftingPoor odds
- + Dungeon CrawlerPoor odds
- + Action RPGPoor odds
- + Post-apocalypticPoor odds
- + LootPoor odds
- + Tower DefensePoor odds
- + Twin Stick ShooterPoor odds
- + RPGPoor odds
- + Hack and SlashPoor odds
- + Dark FantasyPoor odds
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Yet Another Zombie Survivors | $14.99 | 14,123 91% | 424k | $6.4M (exactly $6,351,113) | Awesome Games Studio | |
| | Deadly Days: Roadtrip | · EA | $14.99 | 2,855 87% | 86k | $1.3M (exactly $1,283,894) | Pixelsplit |
| | R.I.P. - Reincarnation Insurance Program | $14.99 | 2,727 76% | 82k | $1.2M (exactly $1,226,332) | WarmCore Studio | |
| | Be My Horde | · EA older | $9.99 | 2,052 85% | 62k | $615k (exactly $614,984) | Polished Games |
| | FatalZone | $6.99 | 2,125 66% | 64k | $446k (exactly $445,612) | Midhard Games | |
| | Necrosmith | older | $2.99 | 4,885 85% | 147k | $438k (exactly $438,185) | Alawar |
| | Scarlet Tower | older | $6.99 | 1,831 81% | 55k | $384k (exactly $383,961) | Pyxeralia LLC |
| | Necrosmith 2 | older | $7.99 | 1,315 77% | 39k | $315k (exactly $315,206) | Alawar |
| | Dark Light: Survivor | · EA | $16.99 | 346 75% | 10k | $176k (exactly $176,356) | Mirari&Co. |
| | Rhythm Witch: Beat Death | $5.99 | 508 94% | 15k | $91k (exactly $91,288) | Dusklight CO., LTD. | |
| | Soulforge Lost Path | $8.99 | 302 69% | 9.1k | $81k (exactly $81,449) | Ziyue | |
| | Raining Blood: Hellfire | $7.99 | 198 89% | 5.9k | $47k (exactly $47,461) | TechBooh | |
| | SCAD | · EA | $7.99 | 86 76% | 2.6k | $21k (exactly $20,614) | NAISU |
| | Last Outpost | $7.99 | 66 72% | 2.0k | $16k (exactly $15,820) | Troyd Games |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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