Do I ship it?

GamesOnline Co-OpOnline Co-Op + Bullet Heaven

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Online Co-Op Bullet Heaven?

Online Co-Op + Bullet Heaven

Of 27 developers who shipped an Online Co-Op Bullet Heaven in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 38 more are announced.

Verdict: strong odds, for a 8 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $9.3k, ×6.2 the market's $1.5k for a 8 / 10 build, and 7 in 10 cleared $1.7k. Momentum is unreadable here, too few recent games; 38 games are announced against 27 developers who shipped in the last year, ×1.4 per shipper.

Deciding numbers: median 6.2 times the market baseline, revenue too few recent games to read momentum, 38 announced, ×1.4 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Online Co-Op + Bullet Heaven
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 27
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $6.9k → $33k (still earning) → $6.3k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Online Co-Op + Bullet Heaven: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 27
Bottom 30% $1.8k (exactly $1,798)
Median $9.3k (exactly $9,348)
Top 25% $81k (exactly $80,919)
Top 5% $969k (exactly $969,184)
Developers, 2 yr 27
Released games 29
Announced 38
Effort 8 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: too few recent games to read.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Online Co-Op
effort 8 / 10 · low · netcode, lobbies and state sync across machines
Bullet Heaven
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
8 / 10 · online systems, open world
Systems
Online Co-Op, Bullet Heaven; 9 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Action Roguelike, Bullet Hell
Price point
$9.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Top-Down, Colorful
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 78% positive over 20,744 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $1.8k, median $9.3k, 1 in 4 over $80k, 1 in 20 over $960k.

3 in 10 developers made under $1.8k. 38 games are announced against 27 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Online Co-Op with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Escape RoomFair31 devs · median $14k · 32 announced
  2. + TypingFair16 devs · median $5.0k · 12 announced
  3. + GamblingFair22 devs · median $4.4k · 34 announced
  4. + Point & ClickFair28 devs · median $1.7k · 34 announced
  5. + Extraction ShooterPoor odds29 devs · median $443k · 70 announced
  6. + TransportationPoor odds14 devs · median $369k · 25 announced
  7. + JRPGPoor odds11 devs · median $346k · 16 announced
  8. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds72 devs · median $217k · 139 announced
  9. + World War IIPoor odds10 devs · median $188k · 18 announced
  10. + City BuilderPoor odds32 devs · median $118k · 55 announced
  11. + LGBTQ+Poor odds20 devs · median $95k · 18 announced
  12. + SuperheroPoor odds6 devs · median $83k · 18 announced

All 211 pairs on the Online Co-Op page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
The Spell Brigade $12.99 14,731 80% 442k $5.7M (exactly $5,740,671) Bolt Blaster Games
Temtem: Swarm $12.99 2,487 77% 75k $969k (exactly $969,184) Crema, GGTech Studios
Sineus Arena Survivors $10.99 1,150 77% 35k $379k (exactly $379,155) Sineus Games
RIFTSTORM · EA $14.99 659 70% 20k $296k (exactly $296,352) Confiction Labs, Agate
Soulbound: Online · EA $14.99 562 58% 17k $253k (exactly $252,731) SpiderWare
Extremely Powerful Capybaras older $5.99 902 60% 27k $162k (exactly $162,089) Studio Bravarda
Pebble Knights · EA $9.99 479 76% 14k $144k (exactly $143,556) 51% Games
The Horde Wants You Dead $9.99 270 64% 8.1k $81k (exactly $80,919) Bellyflop Games
Fantasy Survivors older $6.99 230 87% 6.9k $48k (exactly $48,231) ButtonSoft
Stolen Realm Survivors $9.99 150 64% 4.5k $45k (exactly $44,955) Burst2Flame Games
I'm No Demonlord $8.99 163 84% 4.9k $44k (exactly $43,961) NiaoWu Studio
SHRIMP GAME: OVERKRILL $11.99 93 89% 2.8k $33k (exactly $33,452) GasGod Games, GLUE MAN

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.