Do I ship it?

Games › Bullet Heaven › Bullet Heaven + Cyberpunk

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Cyberpunk Bullet Heaven?

Bullet Heaven + Cyberpunk

Of 20 developers who shipped a Cyberpunk Bullet Heaven in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 60 more are announced, ×3.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.0k, ×1.6 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $210; 1 in 20 cleared $630k, ×1006 the market median. Momentum is unreadable here, too few recent games; 60 games are announced against 19 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.6 times the market baseline, revenue too few recent games to read momentum, 60 announced, ×3.2 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Bullet Heaven + Cyberpunk
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 20
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $3.1k → $122k (still earning) → $239 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Bullet Heaven + Cyberpunk: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 20
Bottom 30% $210 (exactly $210)
Median $1.0k (exactly $1,015)
Top 25% $122k (exactly $122,247)
Top 5% $632k (exactly $632,067)
Developers, 2 yr 20
Released games 27
Announced 60
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 1800% more developers than the period before.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Bullet Heaven
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Cyberpunk
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Bullet Heaven; all of the top 25% also carry Action, Action Roguelike, Bullet Hell
Price point
$6.99 typical · top 25% priced $11.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Pixel Graphics
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $11.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.

The top 10 games average 80% positive over 4,684 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $210, median $1.0k, 1 in 4 over $120k, 1 in 20 over $630k.

3 in 10 developers made under $210. 60 games are announced against 19 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.2 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Bullet Heaven with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Online Co-OpStrong odds27 devs · median $9.3k · 38 announced
  2. + Class-BasedFair21 devs · median $2.4k · 38 announced
  3. + CraftingPoor odds20 devs · median $44k · 25 announced
  4. + Dungeon CrawlerPoor odds19 devs · median $32k · 32 announced
  5. + Action RPGPoor odds77 devs · median $25k · 91 announced
  6. + Post-apocalypticPoor odds21 devs · median $17k · 53 announced
  7. + LootPoor odds54 devs · median $14k · 100 announced
  8. + Tower DefensePoor odds29 devs · median $12k · 69 announced
  9. + Twin Stick ShooterPoor odds51 devs · median $11k · 57 announced
  10. + ZombiesPoor odds22 devs · median $11k · 40 announced
  11. + RPGPoor odds120 devs · median $9.3k · 156 announced
  12. + Hack and SlashPoor odds70 devs · median $8.3k · 97 announced

All 48 pairs on the Bullet Heaven page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Neon Abyss 2020 · $19M TerraTech Legion 2026 · $632k Ascend to ZERO 2026 · $312k Sodaman 2026 · $177k Dark Light: Survivor 2026 · EA · $176k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Neon Abyss older $31.49 19,709 86% 591k $19M (exactly $18,619,092) Veewo Games
TerraTech Legion $9.99 2,109 81% 63k $632k (exactly $632,067) Payload Studios
Ascend to ZERO $11.99 867 82% 26k $312k (exactly $311,860) Flyway Games, Inc.
Sodaman $7.99 738 78% 22k $177k (exactly $176,899) Tape Corps
Dark Light: Survivor · EA $16.99 346 75% 10k $176k (exactly $176,356) Mirari&Co.
Net.Attack() - Code or Die! $7.99 510 80% 15k $122k (exactly $122,247) ByteRockers' Games
Gunstoppable $12.49 58 81% 1.7k $22k (exactly $21,733) CAGE Studios
HordeCore older $5.99 118 63% 3.5k $21k (exactly $21,205) Digitality Games
Core Devourer older $5.99 88 69% 2.6k $16k (exactly $15,814) IcyQuill
Symmodance older $3.99 73 82% 2.2k $8.7k (exactly $8,738) Melih Solt
Vehicle No. 4 $6.99 23 86% 690 $4.8k (exactly $4,823) indiejoh
Pulslink $6.99 8 75% 240 $1.7k (exactly $1,678) FatCoke
NERMIUS $5.00 8 100% 240 $1.2k (exactly $1,200) Saturn アクメ Corp.
Mad World Survivors $1.99 17 64% 510 $1.0k (exactly $1,015) BadWolf Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.