Do I ship it?

GamesCo-op CampaignCo-op Campaign + Building

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Co-op Campaign Building game?

Co-op Campaign + Building

Only 16 developers shipped a Co-op Campaign Building game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Abiotic Factor, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 23 more are announced, ×3.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 8 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $3.3k, ×2.2 the market's $1.5k for a 8 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $540; 1 in 20 cleared $44M, ×29483 the market median. Revenue is down 85% on the market; 23 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 2.2 times the market baseline, revenue down 85% on the market, 23 announced, ×3.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Co-op Campaign + Building
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 16
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $32k → $4.9k → $1.4M → $839 (still earning) → $3.3k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Co-op Campaign + Building: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 16
Bottom 30% $539 (exactly $539)
Median $3.3k (exactly $3,297)
Top 25% $73k (exactly $72,860)
Top 5% $44M (exactly $44,166,128)
Developers, 2 yr 16
Released games 40
Announced 23
Effort 8 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 85% on the market, supply 40% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 5%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Co-op Campaign
effort 8 / 10 · low · shared campaign state over the network
Building
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
8 / 10 · online systems, open world
Systems
Co-op Campaign, Building
Price point
$9.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 95% positive over 44,473 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $540, median $3.3k, 1 in 4 over $72k, 1 in 20 over $44M.

3 in 10 developers made under $540. 6 in 10 of the 10 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 23 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.8 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Co-op Campaign with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Open WorldPoor odds17 devs · median $267k · 65 announced
  2. + ZombiesPoor odds12 devs · median $27k · 22 announced
  3. + Psychological HorrorPoor odds18 devs · median $27k · 27 announced
  4. + SurvivalPoor odds18 devs · median $16k · 44 announced
  5. + HorrorPoor odds31 devs · median $14k · 66 announced
  6. + Survival HorrorPoor odds19 devs · median $14k · 39 announced
  7. + ExplorationPoor odds54 devs · median $14k · 153 announced
  8. + Sci-fiPoor odds40 devs · median $13k · 78 announced
  9. + Puzzle PlatformerPoor odds26 devs · median $9.0k · 53 announced
  10. + Female ProtagonistPoor odds19 devs · median $6.6k · 29 announced
  11. + PlatformerPoor odds32 devs · median $6.5k · 90 announced
  12. + CraftingPoor odds17 devs · median $6.2k · 34 announced

All 81 pairs on the Co-op Campaign page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Abiotic Factor $34.99 42,075 95% 1.3M $44M (exactly $44,166,128) Deep Field Games
Trailmakers older $24.99 33,465 92% 1.0M $25M (exactly $25,088,710) Flashbulb
The Riftbreaker older $29.99 22,127 90% 664k $20M (exactly $19,907,662) EXOR Studios
From the Depths older $24.99 11,059 89% 332k $8.3M (exactly $8,290,932) Brilliant Skies Ltd.
Saleblazers · EA older $29.99 1,974 78% 59k $1.8M (exactly $1,776,008) AIRSTRAFE INTERACTIVE
LEGO® Voyagers $24.99 1,859 88% 56k $1.4M (exactly $1,393,692) Light Brick Studio
Frozen Flame · EA older $19.99 2,231 61% 67k $1.3M (exactly $1,337,931) Dreamside Interactive
Godsworn · EA older $29.99 805 93% 24k $724k (exactly $724,258) Thunderoak Interactive
First Dwarf · EA older $24.99 314 76% 9.4k $235k (exactly $235,406) Star Drifters
Bone's Cafe older $14.99 340 96% 10k $153k (exactly $152,898) Acute Owl Studio
My Supermarket $14.99 248 87% 7.4k $112k (exactly $111,526) NeroForge
Keep Keepers $17.99 135 87% 4.1k $73k (exactly $72,860) Thunderrock Innovations
ZOMVIRUS $14.99 61 77% 1.8k $27k (exactly $27,432) DMONG Co., Ltd.
Lugal: Bronze Age Survival Game · EA $14.99 35 71% 1.1k $16k (exactly $15,740) Tea & Cake Games
Market Simulator $4.99 33 75% 990 $4.9k (exactly $4,940) KOZGAMES
Last Light: Survival · EA $9.99 11 18% 330 $3.3k (exactly $3,297) BudGamesCorp
TransmuTowers $4.99 14 78% 420 $2.1k (exactly $2,096) Edenic Era LLC
Firestorm · EA $13.99 2 100% 60 $839 (exactly $839) Meticulous Software LLC

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.