Do I ship it?

GamesBoxingBoxing + Strategy

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Boxing Strategy game?

Boxing + Strategy

Only 12 developers shipped a Boxing Strategy game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Pound for Pound: MMA Promotion Simulator, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 21 more are announced, ×3.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $4.5k, ×7.2 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $600; 1 in 20 cleared $81k, ×130 the market median. Revenue is down 60% on the market; 21 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 7.2 times the market baseline, revenue down 60% on the market, 21 announced, ×3.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Boxing + Strategy
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 12
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $26k → $18k → $4.5k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Boxing + Strategy: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 12
Bottom 30% $599 (exactly $599)
Median $4.5k (exactly $4,496)
Top 25% $18k (exactly $18,438)
Top 5% $82k (exactly $81,559)
Developers, 2 yr 12
Released games 34
Announced 21
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 60% on the market, supply 40% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 3%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Boxing
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Strategy
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Boxing, Strategy
Price point
$9.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 89% positive over 378 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $600, median $4.5k, 1 in 4 over $18k, 1 in 20 over $81k.

3 in 10 developers made under $600. All of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 21 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.0 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Boxing with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Immersive SimStrong odds16 devs · median $2.7k · 12 announced
  2. + SimulationFair39 devs · median $1.6k · 35 announced
  3. + FightingPoor odds16 devs · median $4.2k · 26 announced
  4. + 2D FighterPoor odds14 devs · median $1.4k · 23 announced
  5. + Martial ArtsPoor odds30 devs · median $1.4k · 47 announced
  6. + AdventurePoor odds18 devs · median $1.3k · 24 announced
  7. + SportsPoor odds61 devs · median $898 · 62 announced
  8. + ActionPoor odds65 devs · median $719 · 84 announced
  9. + CombatPoor odds49 devs · median $719 · 70 announced
  10. + PvPPoor odds16 devs · median $718 · 38 announced
  11. + PhysicsPoor odds14 devs · median $718 · 27 announced
  12. + 3D FighterPoor odds38 devs · median $599 · 57 announced

All 24 pairs on the Boxing page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Boxing School older $9.99 516 89% 15k $155k (exactly $154,645) Raptor Claw Games
Victory Road · EA older $19.99 177 89% 5.3k $106k (exactly $106,147) Strange Journey
Boxing Club Manager older $39.99 87 57% 2.6k $104k (exactly $104,374) Alternative Software Ltd
Bloody Knuckles Street Boxing · EA older $14.99 210 52% 6.3k $94k (exactly $94,437) Luvseatshawty
Pound for Pound: MMA Promotion Simulator · EA $19.99 136 96% 4.1k $82k (exactly $81,559) Pound for Pound Games
MMA Team Manager older $29.99 56 33% 1.7k $50k (exactly $50,383) Alternative Software Ltd
Electro Bop Boxing League $14.99 84 79% 2.5k $38k (exactly $37,775) Developer Dob
World Championship Boxing Manager™ 2 older $12.99 90 67% 2.7k $35k (exactly $35,073) Mega Cat Studios
Trivia Vault: Boxing Trivia older $13.99 74 72% 2.2k $31k (exactly $31,058) Ripknot Systems
Boxing Gym Story older $10.99 79 68% 2.4k $26k (exactly $26,046) Kairosoft Co.,Ltd
Boxing School 2 $14.99 41 80% 1.2k $18k (exactly $18,438) Raptor Claw Games
Corner King: Boxing Tycoon $16.99 36 94% 1.1k $18k (exactly $18,349) Temporal Lure
Punch to Glory $6.99 42 92% 1.3k $8.8k (exactly $8,807) Musa GUNGOR
Sim: Heavyweight Boxing Champion $9.99 15 93% 450 $4.5k (exactly $4,496) Jfsimgames
Turn Based Boxing: Tactics - Legends Edition $9.99 14 85% 420 $4.2k (exactly $4,196) The Slanted Room
The Comeback King $10.99 6 100% 180 $2.0k (exactly $1,978) Ian Williams
ChessBoxing Championship $9.99 2 50% 60 $599 (exactly $599) MysticOakGames
Slap Master · EA $4.99 2 100% 60 $299 (exactly $299) Inkby.Sainz

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.