Do I ship it?

GamesBoxingBoxing + Simulation

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Boxing Simulation game?

Boxing + Simulation

Of 39 developers who shipped a Boxing Simulation game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 35 more are announced.

Verdict: fair, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.6k, ×2.6 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $90. Revenue is up 55% on the market; 35 games are announced against 22 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 2.6 times the market baseline, revenue up 55% on the market, 35 announced, ×1.6 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Boxing + Simulation
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 39
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $32k → $450 → $1.8k → $1.8k → $4.2k → $1.4k → $359 (still earning) → $2.0k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Boxing + Simulation: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 39
Bottom 30% $90 (exactly $90)
Median $1.6k (exactly $1,617)
Top 25% $4.5k (exactly $4,492)
Top 5% $222k (exactly $221,719)
Developers, 2 yr 39
Released games 100
Announced 35
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 55% on the market, supply 30% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 3%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Boxing
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Simulation
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Boxing, Simulation; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Sports, Management, Combat
Price point
$9.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Realistic, 2D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 61% positive over 20,120 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $90, median $1.6k, 1 in 4 over $4.4k, 1 in 20 over $220k.

3 in 10 developers made under $90. 9 in 10 of the 18 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 35 games are announced against 22 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Boxing with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Immersive SimStrong odds16 devs · median $2.7k · 12 announced
  2. + StrategyPoor odds12 devs · median $4.5k · 21 announced
  3. + FightingPoor odds16 devs · median $4.2k · 26 announced
  4. + 2D FighterPoor odds14 devs · median $1.4k · 23 announced
  5. + Martial ArtsPoor odds30 devs · median $1.4k · 47 announced
  6. + AdventurePoor odds18 devs · median $1.3k · 24 announced
  7. + SportsPoor odds61 devs · median $898 · 62 announced
  8. + ActionPoor odds65 devs · median $719 · 84 announced
  9. + CombatPoor odds49 devs · median $719 · 70 announced
  10. + PvPPoor odds16 devs · median $718 · 38 announced
  11. + PhysicsPoor odds14 devs · median $718 · 27 announced
  12. + 3D FighterPoor odds38 devs · median $599 · 57 announced

All 24 pairs on the Boxing page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Undisputed $49.99 19,190 60% 576k $29M (exactly $28,779,243) Steel City Interactive
Punch Club older $9.99 12,098 81% 363k $3.6M (exactly $3,625,771) Lazy Bear Games
Creed: Rise to Glory™ older $29.99 1,694 73% 51k $1.5M (exactly $1,524,092) Survios
Gym Simulator 24 older $12.99 2,531 84% 76k $986k (exactly $986,331) Red Axe Games
Waifu Fighter older $7.99 2,677 86% 80k $642k (exactly $641,677) Happy Monster Studio
All-In-One Sports VR older $19.99 700 84% 21k $420k (exactly $419,790) Appnori Inc.
MMA Life Simulator $16.99 435 80% 13k $222k (exactly $221,719) BNS7
Chushpan Simulator older $2.99 2,466 85% 74k $221k (exactly $221,200) Sebasa Games
Boxing School older $9.99 516 89% 15k $155k (exactly $154,645) Raptor Claw Games
Real Boxing™ older $4.99 908 68% 27k $136k (exactly $135,928) Vivid Games S.A.
LES MILLS XR BODYCOMBAT $29.99 121 85% 3.6k $109k (exactly $108,864) Odders Lab
Pound for Pound: MMA Promotion Simulator · EA $19.99 136 96% 4.1k $82k (exactly $81,559) Pound for Pound Games
Boxing Simulator $7.99 79 79% 2.4k $19k (exactly $18,936) Inogames
Boxing School 2 $14.99 41 80% 1.2k $18k (exactly $18,438) Raptor Claw Games
Corner King: Boxing Tycoon $16.99 36 94% 1.1k $18k (exactly $18,349) Temporal Lure
Punch to Glory $6.99 42 92% 1.3k $8.8k (exactly $8,807) Musa GUNGOR
Sim: Heavyweight Boxing Champion $9.99 15 93% 450 $4.5k (exactly $4,496) Jfsimgames
Boxing World Simulator $5.99 25 96% 750 $4.5k (exactly $4,492) Al & Al

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.