Should I ship a PvP Boxing game?
PvP + Boxing
Only 16 developers shipped a PvP Boxing game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Undisputed, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 38 more are announced, ×4.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 8 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $720, ×0.5 the market's $1.5k for a 8 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $50. 38 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.8 per shipper, while revenue is down 100% on the market.
| Bottom 30% | $0 (exactly $0) |
|---|---|
| Median | $718 (exactly $718) |
| Top 25% | $2.1k (exactly $2,090) |
| Top 5% | $29M (exactly $28,779,243) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 16 |
| Released games | 61 |
| Announced | 38 |
| Effort | 8 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $4.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply as many developers as the period before.
Free games: 20%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
What it takes
- Effort
- 8 / 10 · online systems, open world
- Systems
- PvP, Boxing
- Price point
- $4.99 typical
Why players buy here
The top 10 games average 60% positive over 19,302 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $50. 9 in 10 of the 11 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 38 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.8 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
PvP with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + BaseballFair
- + TransportationFair
- + BasketballFair
- + Football (American)Fair
- + BikesFair
- + GolfFair
- + World War IFair
- + IncrementalFair
- + BilliardsFair
- + TennisLong shot
- + TypingLong shot
- + SpellingLong shot
Comparable games
Undisputed 2024 · $29M 
Big Rumble Boxing: Creed Champions 2021 · $110k 
Kandidatos 2020 · $103k 
Virtual Fighting Championship (VFC) 2018 · EA · $83k 
Era of Combat: Boxing 2022 · EA · $26k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Undisputed | $49.99 | 19,190 60% | 576k | $29M (exactly $28,779,243) | Steel City Interactive | |
| | Big Rumble Boxing: Creed Champions | older | $39.99 | 92 65% | 2.8k | $110k (exactly $110,372) | Survios |
| | Kandidatos | older | $0.99 | 3,461 90% | 104k | $103k (exactly $102,792) | Shaikonina Games |
| | Virtual Fighting Championship (VFC) | · EA older | $15.99 | 174 70% | 5.2k | $83k (exactly $83,468) | L&L Technology, Yang.L |
| | Era of Combat: Boxing | · EA older | $19.99 | 44 65% | 1.3k | $26k (exactly $26,387) | Nodtech Creative Industries Ltd., Era o… (Nodtech Creative Industries Ltd., Era of Combat Boxing Ltd.) |
 | Revenge of the Boxer: Moscow Criminality | older | $4.99 | 166 90% | 5.0k | $25k (exactly $24,850) | Alligator Friends Software |
 | Fighting Robots | older | $2.99 | 228 54% | 6.8k | $20k (exactly $20,452) | HFM Games |
 | Manny Boxing VR | · EA older | $14.99 | 41 56% | 1.2k | $18k (exactly $18,438) | Appnori Inc. |
 | Cyber Fight Challenge | older | $9.99 | 45 37% | 1.4k | $13k (exactly $13,486) | Nordville Technology LTD |
 | Dragon Fury | older | $19.99 | 15 60% | 450 | $9.0k (exactly $8,996) | Esenthel |
 | Knockout Battle | $4.99 | 24 70% | 720 | $3.6k (exactly $3,593) | Dani Tikka Masala, Alvin Leon Dobric, A… (Dani Tikka Masala, Alvin Leon Dobric, Anton Ploetner) | |
 | Boxing Simulator | · EA | $5.99 | 15 80% | 450 | $2.7k (exactly $2,696) | Rahu Studio |
 | Brainrot Animals Fighting | $1.99 | 35 71% | 1.1k | $2.1k (exactly $2,090) | River Way Studios | |
 | Genki Break! | $4.99 | 13 100% | 390 | $1.9k (exactly $1,946) | SteamyDev | |
 | Superation | $4.99 | 11 100% | 330 | $1.6k (exactly $1,647) | Moonsaurus Games | |
 | Casual Sport Series: Boxing | $5.99 | 5 80% | 150 | $898 (exactly $898) | Revulo Games | |
 | KONG FU | $3.99 | 6 100% | 180 | $718 (exactly $718) | matthizzone | |
 | Flame Up | $2.99 | 2 100% | 60 | $179 (exactly $179) | Charming Moon | |
 | ARVIS Punch 2 | $1.99 | 1 0% | 30 | $60 (exactly $60) | Mindfly Studio |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
Your address goes to Buttondown, which sends the letter, and nowhere else. Every issue has an unsubscribe link. No tracking beyond the open count Buttondown keeps.