Do I ship it?

Games2D Fighter2D Fighter + Boxing

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Boxing 2D Fighter?

2D Fighter + Boxing

Only 14 developers shipped a Boxing 2D Fighter in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Baki Hanma: Blood Arena, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 23 more are announced, ×3.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.4k, ×2.3 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $150; 1 in 20 cleared $120k, ×198 the market median. Revenue is down 100% on the market; 23 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 2.3 times the market baseline, revenue down 100% on the market, 23 announced, ×3.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
2D Fighter + Boxing
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 14
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.1k → $1.8k → $3.8k → $7.0k → $17k → $119 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for 2D Fighter + Boxing: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 14
Bottom 30% $148 (exactly $148)
Median $1.4k (exactly $1,436)
Top 25% $9.3k (exactly $9,281)
Top 5% $124k (exactly $124,159)
Developers, 2 yr 14
Released games 56
Announced 23
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 100% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 9%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

2D Fighter
effort 5 / 10 · low · frame-precise animation and rollback netcode
Boxing
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
2D Fighter, Boxing; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Sports, Arcade
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $29.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Anime, 1980s
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $29.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 81% positive over 389 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $150, median $1.4k, 1 in 4 over $9.2k, 1 in 20 over $120k.

3 in 10 developers made under $150. 9 in 10 of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 23 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.3 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

2D Fighter with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + RomanceStrong odds8 devs · median $4.0k · 6 announced
  2. + Visual NovelFair11 devs · median $4.0k · 12 announced
  3. + Card BattlerFair10 devs · median $1.0k · 11 announced
  4. + DeckbuildingFair17 devs · median $959 · 12 announced
  5. + Auto BattlerFair16 devs · median $719 · 19 announced
  6. + IdlerFair9 devs · median $599 · 18 announced
  7. + RhythmFair10 devs · median $599 · 12 announced
  8. + SimulationFair51 devs · median $598 · 55 announced
  9. + IncrementalFair16 devs · median $538 · 13 announced
  10. + ManagementFair10 devs · median $449 · 14 announced
  11. + SuperheroLong shot11 devs · median $959 · 12 announced
  12. + Resource ManagementLong shot13 devs · median $390 · 14 announced

All 129 pairs on the 2D Fighter page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Punch Club older $9.99 12,098 81% 363k $3.6M (exactly $3,625,771) Lazy Bear Games
Waifu Fighter older $7.99 2,677 86% 80k $642k (exactly $641,677) Happy Monster Studio
Boxing School older $9.99 516 89% 15k $155k (exactly $154,645) Raptor Claw Games
Baki Hanma: Blood Arena $29.99 138 76% 4.1k $124k (exactly $124,159) Purple Tree S R L
Thunder Ray older $14.99 270 71% 8.1k $121k (exactly $121,419) Purple Tree S R L
Kandidatos older $0.99 3,461 90% 104k $103k (exactly $102,792) Shaikonina Games
Virtual Fighting Championship (VFC) · EA older $15.99 174 70% 5.2k $83k (exactly $83,468) L&L Technology, Yang.L
World Championship Boxing Manager™ 2 older $12.99 90 67% 2.7k $35k (exactly $35,073) Mega Cat Studios
Pato Box older $9.99 117 70% 3.5k $35k (exactly $35,065) Bromio, 2think design studio
Boxing School 2 $14.99 41 80% 1.2k $18k (exactly $18,438) Raptor Claw Games
UnderGirl: Submission Path $7.99 72 73% 2.2k $17k (exactly $17,258) KadoDev
Creepy Creepy Love $4.99 62 93% 1.9k $9.3k (exactly $9,281) BYYONI Entertainment
Bare Knuckle Sandwich $7.99 29 96% 870 $7.0k (exactly $6,951) Raised By Screens
Knockout Battle $4.99 24 70% 720 $3.6k (exactly $3,593) Dani Tikka Masala, Alvin Leon Dobric, A… (Dani Tikka Masala, Alvin Leon Dobric, Anton Ploetner)
Punch, Rest, Repeat $3.99 12 100% 360 $1.4k (exactly $1,436) Gallop Forever Games
S.S.C. Rusted $3.99 4 100% 120 $479 (exactly $479) Series Sun
Flame Up $2.99 2 100% 60 $179 (exactly $179) Charming Moon
Boomer Brawler $0.99 5 100% 150 $148 (exactly $148) FzzyBzzy

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.