Do I ship it?

GamesBoxingBoxing + Rhythm

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Rhythm Boxing game?

Boxing + Rhythm

Only 9 developers shipped a Rhythm Boxing game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Electro Bop Boxing League, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 6 more are announced.

Verdict: dead, for a 5 / 10 build.

Only 3 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $300 against a market of $630. 6 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.5 times the market baseline, revenue up 330% on the market, 6 announced, ×2.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Boxing + Rhythm
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 9

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Boxing + Rhythm: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 9
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $300 (exactly $300)
Top 25% $1.8k (exactly $1,798)
Top 5% $38k (exactly $37,775)
Developers, 2 yr 9
Released games 30
Announced 6
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 330% on the market, supply 50% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 13%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Boxing
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Rhythm
effort 3 / 10 · medium · audio sync, timing precision and music rights

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Boxing, Rhythm
Price point
$9.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $14.99.

The top 10 games average 84% positive over 5,159 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $300, 1 in 4 over $1.7k, 1 in 20 over $37k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. All of the 6 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 6 games are announced against 3 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Boxing with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Immersive SimStrong odds16 devs · median $2.7k · 12 announced
  2. + SimulationFair39 devs · median $1.6k · 35 announced
  3. + StrategyPoor odds12 devs · median $4.5k · 21 announced
  4. + FightingPoor odds16 devs · median $4.2k · 26 announced
  5. + 2D FighterPoor odds14 devs · median $1.4k · 23 announced
  6. + Martial ArtsPoor odds30 devs · median $1.4k · 47 announced
  7. + AdventurePoor odds18 devs · median $1.3k · 24 announced
  8. + SportsPoor odds61 devs · median $898 · 62 announced
  9. + ActionPoor odds65 devs · median $719 · 84 announced
  10. + CombatPoor odds49 devs · median $719 · 70 announced
  11. + PvPPoor odds16 devs · median $718 · 38 announced
  12. + PhysicsPoor odds14 devs · median $718 · 27 announced

All 24 pairs on the Boxing page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
BOXVR older $29.99 1,512 79% 45k $1.4M (exactly $1,360,346) FitXR
Waifu Fighter older $7.99 2,677 86% 80k $642k (exactly $641,677) Happy Monster Studio
PowerBeatsVR - VR Fitness older $19.99 453 85% 14k $272k (exactly $271,664) Five Mind Creations
Electro Bop Boxing League $14.99 84 79% 2.5k $38k (exactly $37,775) Developer Dob
Box To The Beat VR older $19.99 58 96% 1.7k $35k (exactly $34,783) Khosouf Studio
Beat the Beats VR $19.99 48 97% 1.4k $29k (exactly $28,786) Parallel Circles
Song Beater: Quite My Tempo! older $19.99 46 91% 1.4k $28k (exactly $27,586) Playito.com
Blast Beat older $19.99 46 93% 1.4k $28k (exactly $27,586) gz.inc
Dance Collider older $4.99 169 80% 5.1k $25k (exactly $25,299) emergeWorlds
Boot Camp Fitness older $10.99 66 96% 2.0k $22k (exactly $21,760) Kevin Baker
TrainingTiles $9.99 6 100% 180 $1.8k (exactly $1,798) HumanBionics, Jhohan Hernandez
Boxing Machine VR $7.99 3 100% 90 $719 (exactly $719) Vnow Games
Odania Sports Arena $9.99 1 0% 30 $300 (exactly $300) Odania GmbH
GeoBoxer $4.99 1 100% 30 $150 (exactly $150) Phenomaker
BraceUp VR $16.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Virtual Software House
Groovy Labs $9.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Body Mind Games
Touch Grass: A Bit-Sized Christmas Adventure $3.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) EXOFRENON GAMES

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.