Do I ship it?

GamesBoxingBoxing + Local Multiplayer

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Local Multiplayer Boxing game?

Boxing + Local Multiplayer

Only 7 developers shipped a Local Multiplayer Boxing game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Undisputed, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 21 more are announced, ×11 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 5 / 10 build.

Only 2 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $1.6k against a market of $630. 21 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 2.6 times the market baseline, revenue too few recent games to read momentum, 21 announced, ×11 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Boxing + Local Multiplayer
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 7

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Boxing + Local Multiplayer: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 7
Bottom 30% $299 (exactly $299)
Median $1.6k (exactly $1,647)
Top 25% $2.1k (exactly $2,090)
Top 5% $29M (exactly $28,779,243)
Developers, 2 yr 7
Released games 27
Announced 21
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 60% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 15%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Boxing
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Local Multiplayer
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Boxing, Local Multiplayer
Price point
$4.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $39.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 65% positive over 24,060 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $300, median $1.6k, 1 in 4 over $2.0k, 1 in 20 over $28M.

3 in 10 developers made under $300. 8 in 10 of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 21 games are announced against 2 developers who shipped in the last year, ×11 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Boxing with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Immersive SimStrong odds16 devs · median $2.7k · 12 announced
  2. + SimulationFair39 devs · median $1.6k · 35 announced
  3. + StrategyPoor odds12 devs · median $4.5k · 21 announced
  4. + FightingPoor odds16 devs · median $4.2k · 26 announced
  5. + 2D FighterPoor odds14 devs · median $1.4k · 23 announced
  6. + Martial ArtsPoor odds30 devs · median $1.4k · 47 announced
  7. + AdventurePoor odds18 devs · median $1.3k · 24 announced
  8. + SportsPoor odds61 devs · median $898 · 62 announced
  9. + ActionPoor odds65 devs · median $719 · 84 announced
  10. + CombatPoor odds49 devs · median $719 · 70 announced
  11. + PvPPoor odds16 devs · median $718 · 38 announced
  12. + PhysicsPoor odds14 devs · median $718 · 27 announced

All 24 pairs on the Boxing page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Undisputed $49.99 19,190 60% 576k $29M (exactly $28,779,243) Steel City Interactive
Punch A Bunch older $14.99 963 74% 29k $433k (exactly $433,061) Pontypants
Big Rumble Boxing: Creed Champions older $39.99 92 65% 2.8k $110k (exactly $110,372) Survios
Kandidatos older $0.99 3,461 90% 104k $103k (exactly $102,792) Shaikonina Games
Bloody Knuckles Street Boxing · EA older $14.99 210 52% 6.3k $94k (exactly $94,437) Luvseatshawty
Art of Boxing · EA older $11.99 70 37% 2.1k $25k (exactly $25,179) Gold From Straw Games
Dragon Fury older $19.99 15 60% 450 $9.0k (exactly $8,996) Esenthel
Brainrot Animals Fighting $1.99 35 71% 1.1k $2.1k (exactly $2,090) River Way Studios
Genki Break! $4.99 13 100% 390 $1.9k (exactly $1,946) SteamyDev
Superation $4.99 11 100% 330 $1.6k (exactly $1,647) Moonsaurus Games
Slap Master · EA $4.99 2 100% 60 $299 (exactly $299) Inkby.Sainz
Flame Up $2.99 2 100% 60 $179 (exactly $179) Charming Moon
ARVIS Knock Out! $0.99 2 100% 60 $59 (exactly $59) Mindfly Studio

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.