Do I ship it?

GamesPhysicsPhysics + Bowling

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Physics Bowling game?

Physics + Bowling

Only 12 developers shipped a Physics Bowling game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, PBA Pro Bowling 2026, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 18 more are announced, ×3.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $360 in the last 2 years and $360 over 4, against a market of $630 for a 5 / 10 build. 6 developers shipped in the last year and 18 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.6 times the market baseline, revenue down 80% on the market, 18 announced, ×3.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Physics + Bowling
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 12
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $8.4k → $359 → $4.8k
Outcomes for Physics + Bowling: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 12
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $359 (exactly $359)
Top 25% $4.8k (exactly $4,797)
Top 5% $494k (exactly $494,276)
Developers, 2 yr 12
Released games 39
Announced 18
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 80% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 10%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Physics
effort 5 / 10 · low · emergent simulation bugs need hands-on tuning
Bowling
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Physics, Bowling
Price point
$5.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 7 games average 92% positive over 572 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $360, 1 in 4 over $4.7k, 1 in 20 over $490k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. All of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 18 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.0 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Physics with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Roguelike DeckbuilderStrong odds31 devs · median $8.1k · 30 announced
  2. + Dating SimFair28 devs · median $5.9k · 20 announced
  3. + PinballFair62 devs · median $2.5k · 80 announced
  4. + World War IIFair11 devs · median $1.4k · 16 announced
  5. + Mini GolfFair40 devs · median $1.2k · 44 announced
  6. + GolfFair55 devs · median $987 · 59 announced
  7. + CollectathonFair179 devs · median $718 · 230 announced
  8. + IdlerFair142 devs · median $718 · 167 announced
  9. + Hidden ObjectFair162 devs · median $600 · 157 announced
  10. + CatsFair76 devs · median $599 · 101 announced
  11. + Mystery DungeonFair22 devs · median $539 · 20 announced
  12. + BilliardsFair36 devs · median $538 · 32 announced

All 251 pairs on the Physics page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
FlatOut 2 older $9.99 19,466 95% 584k $5.8M (exactly $5,833,960) Bugbear Entertainment, ZOOM Platform Me… (Bugbear Entertainment, ZOOM Platform Media, Jordan Freeman Group)
Rock of Ages older $9.99 3,364 92% 101k $1.0M (exactly $1,008,191) ACE Team
PBA Pro Bowling 2026 $39.99 412 91% 12k $494k (exactly $494,276) FarSight Studios
All-In-One Sports VR older $19.99 700 84% 21k $420k (exactly $419,790) Appnori Inc.
PBA Pro Bowling 2023 older $29.99 102 68% 3.1k $92k (exactly $91,769) FarSight Studios
PBA Pro Bowling older $14.99 180 78% 5.4k $81k (exactly $80,946) FarSight Studios
PBA Pro Bowling 2021 older $14.99 102 84% 3.1k $46k (exactly $45,869) FarSight Studios
Super 10 Pin $11.99 92 98% 2.8k $33k (exactly $33,092) Modus Interactive
ForeVR Bowl VR older $19.99 14 71% 420 $8.4k (exactly $8,396) ForeVR Games Inc
Bowlers : The bowling experience $15.99 10 80% 300 $4.8k (exactly $4,797) Solid9Games
BOWLOUT $1.99 43 95% 1.3k $2.6k (exactly $2,567) Sep Horsthuis, Quint Winter
Skyline Bowling $4.99 11 72% 330 $1.6k (exactly $1,647) VOODOO
Bowling Simulator · EA $5.99 2 0% 60 $359 (exactly $359) Hard Shark Games
Pinbowling $2.99 2 100% 60 $179 (exactly $179) Outstanding Duck
Bomb Bowling X $4.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) grin robot
Physics Puzzle Ball $0.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) DotDot Games
Jingle Strike VR Bowling $9.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Spooky Pictures Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.