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Should I ship a PvP Boomer Shooter?
PvP + Boomer Shooter
Of 27 developers who shipped a PvP Boomer Shooter in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 37 more are announced, ×2.1 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 8 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $1.7k, ×1.1 the market's $1.5k for a 8 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $480; 1 in 20 cleared $640k, ×432 the market median. Revenue is up 55% on the market; 37 games are announced against 18 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $479 (exactly $479) |
|---|---|
| Median | $1.7k (exactly $1,688) |
| Top 25% | $11k (exactly $10,928) |
| Top 5% | $647k (exactly $646,884) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 27 |
| Released games | 54 |
| Announced | 37 |
| Effort | 8 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $4.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 55% on the market, supply 80% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 31%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
- PvP
- effort 8 / 10 · low · authoritative servers, latency compensation, cheating
- Boomer Shooter
- effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 8 / 10 · online systems, open world
- Systems
- PvP, Boomer Shooter; 9 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Shooter, FPS
- Price point
- $4.99 typical · top 25% priced $29.99 or above
- Art
- 4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, First-Person, Memes
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $29.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.
The top 10 games average 94% positive over 9,569 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $480. 8 in 10 of the 16 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 37 games are announced against 18 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.1 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
PvP with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + BaseballFair
- + TransportationFair
- + BasketballFair
- + Football (American)Fair
- + BikesFair
- + GolfFair
- + World War IFair
- + IncrementalFair
- + BilliardsFair
- + TennisLong shot
- + TypingLong shot
- + SpellingLong shot
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | DUSK | older | $19.99 | 22,073 97% | 662k | $13M (exactly $13,237,178) | David Szymanski |
| | BRAZILIAN DRUG DEALER 3: I OPENED A PORTAL TO HELL IN THE FAVELA TRYING TO REVIVE MIT AIA I NEED TO CLOSE IT | $4.99 | 7,743 97% | 232k | $1.2M (exactly $1,159,127) | Joeveno | |
| | Rise of the Triad | older | $14.99 | 1,905 66% | 57k | $857k (exactly $856,678) | Interceptor Entertainment |
| | TRIBES 3: Rivals | · EA older | $19.99 | 1,324 61% | 40k | $794k (exactly $794,003) | Prophecy Games |
| | Ratz Instagib | older | $8.99 | 2,529 90% | 76k | $682k (exactly $682,071) | Lino Slahuschek |
| | Blood: Refreshed Supply™ | $29.99 | 719 71% | 22k | $647k (exactly $646,884) | Nightdive Studios, Monolith Productions | |
| | Rise of the Triad: Ludicrous Edition | older | $19.99 | 678 93% | 20k | $407k (exactly $406,597) | Nightdive Studios, Apogee Software, New… (Nightdive Studios, Apogee Software, New Blood Interactive) |
| | Outlaws + Handful of Missions: Remaster | $29.99 | 230 93% | 6.9k | $207k (exactly $206,931) | LucasArts, Nightdive Studios | |
| | Warhammer 40,000: Fire Warrior (Classic) | $9.99 | 439 74% | 13k | $132k (exactly $131,568) | Kuju Entertainment | |
| | BRAZILIAN DRUG DEALER BEFORE 4: DEMONS FROM THE PORTAL TO HELL I OPENED ARE STILL IN THE FAVELA AND NOW I HAVE TO SAVE MAMADAS FROM RONALDO | $4.99 | 173 99% | 5.2k | $26k (exactly $25,898) | Joeveno | |
| | Finnish Cabin Mayhem - Mökkimähinä | $4.99 | 129 94% | 3.9k | $19k (exactly $19,311) | Sophisticated keppana enjoyers | |
| | Fast Royal | $14.99 | 30 100% | 900 | $13k (exactly $13,491) | Edos Interactive | |
| | Spaceflux | $4.99 | 73 57% | 2.2k | $11k (exactly $10,928) | Calin Ardelean | |
| | Dirtnap | · EA | $7.99 | 19 84% | 570 | $4.6k (exactly $4,554) | Unstable Entity, Part Time Monkey, Nitr… (Unstable Entity, Part Time Monkey, Nitroyale) |
| | Quack Attack | $9.99 | 14 71% | 420 | $4.2k (exactly $4,196) | Illutrium |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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