Do I ship it?

GamesPvPPvP + Boomer Shooter

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a PvP Boomer Shooter?

PvP + Boomer Shooter

Of 27 developers who shipped a PvP Boomer Shooter in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 37 more are announced, ×2.1 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 8 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.7k, ×1.1 the market's $1.5k for a 8 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $480; 1 in 20 cleared $640k, ×432 the market median. Revenue is up 55% on the market; 37 games are announced against 18 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.1 times the market baseline, revenue up 55% on the market, 37 announced, ×2.1 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
PvP + Boomer Shooter
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 27
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $629 → $599 → $13k → $479 (still earning) → $2.8k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for PvP + Boomer Shooter: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 27
Bottom 30% $479 (exactly $479)
Median $1.7k (exactly $1,688)
Top 25% $11k (exactly $10,928)
Top 5% $647k (exactly $646,884)
Developers, 2 yr 27
Released games 54
Announced 37
Effort 8 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 55% on the market, supply 80% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 31%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

PvP
effort 8 / 10 · low · authoritative servers, latency compensation, cheating
Boomer Shooter
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
8 / 10 · online systems, open world
Systems
PvP, Boomer Shooter; 9 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Shooter, FPS
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $29.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, First-Person, Memes
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $29.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 94% positive over 9,569 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $480, median $1.7k, 1 in 4 over $10k, 1 in 20 over $640k.

3 in 10 developers made under $480. 8 in 10 of the 16 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 37 games are announced against 18 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.1 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

PvP with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + BaseballFair6 devs · median $7.6k · 9 announced
  2. + TransportationFair10 devs · median $5.7k · 11 announced
  3. + BasketballFair25 devs · median $2.6k · 28 announced
  4. + Football (American)Fair17 devs · median $1.8k · 12 announced
  5. + BikesFair10 devs · median $1.5k · 7 announced
  6. + GolfFair29 devs · median $1.4k · 34 announced
  7. + World War IFair12 devs · median $1.3k · 14 announced
  8. + IncrementalFair36 devs · median $1.2k · 48 announced
  9. + BilliardsFair18 devs · median $1.1k · 12 announced
  10. + TennisLong shot17 devs · median $899 · 15 announced
  11. + TypingLong shot28 devs · median $719 · 31 announced
  12. + SpellingLong shot14 devs · median $719 · 17 announced

All 247 pairs on the PvP page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
DUSK older $19.99 22,073 97% 662k $13M (exactly $13,237,178) David Szymanski
BRAZILIAN DRUG DEALER 3: I OPENED A PORTAL TO HELL IN THE FAVELA TRYING TO REVIVE MIT AIA I NEED TO CLOSE IT $4.99 7,743 97% 232k $1.2M (exactly $1,159,127) Joeveno
Rise of the Triad older $14.99 1,905 66% 57k $857k (exactly $856,678) Interceptor Entertainment
TRIBES 3: Rivals · EA older $19.99 1,324 61% 40k $794k (exactly $794,003) Prophecy Games
Ratz Instagib older $8.99 2,529 90% 76k $682k (exactly $682,071) Lino Slahuschek
Blood: Refreshed Supply™ $29.99 719 71% 22k $647k (exactly $646,884) Nightdive Studios, Monolith Productions
Rise of the Triad: Ludicrous Edition older $19.99 678 93% 20k $407k (exactly $406,597) Nightdive Studios, Apogee Software, New… (Nightdive Studios, Apogee Software, New Blood Interactive)
Outlaws + Handful of Missions: Remaster $29.99 230 93% 6.9k $207k (exactly $206,931) LucasArts, Nightdive Studios
Warhammer 40,000: Fire Warrior (Classic) $9.99 439 74% 13k $132k (exactly $131,568) Kuju Entertainment
BRAZILIAN DRUG DEALER BEFORE 4: DEMONS FROM THE PORTAL TO HELL I OPENED ARE STILL IN THE FAVELA AND NOW I HAVE TO SAVE MAMADAS FROM RONALDO $4.99 173 99% 5.2k $26k (exactly $25,898) Joeveno
Finnish Cabin Mayhem - Mökkimähinä $4.99 129 94% 3.9k $19k (exactly $19,311) Sophisticated keppana enjoyers
Fast Royal $14.99 30 100% 900 $13k (exactly $13,491) Edos Interactive
Spaceflux $4.99 73 57% 2.2k $11k (exactly $10,928) Calin Ardelean
Dirtnap · EA $7.99 19 84% 570 $4.6k (exactly $4,554) Unstable Entity, Part Time Monkey, Nitr… (Unstable Entity, Part Time Monkey, Nitroyale)
Quack Attack $9.99 14 71% 420 $4.2k (exactly $4,196) Illutrium

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.