Do I ship it?

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Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Board Game Real Time Tactics?

Real Time Tactics + Board Game

Of 46 developers who shipped a Board Game Real Time Tactics in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 52 more are announced, ×2.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $150 in the last 2 years and $150 over 4, against a market of $630 for a 6 / 10 build. 23 developers shipped in the last year and 52 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.2 times the market baseline, revenue up 80% on the market, 52 announced, ×2.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Real Time Tactics + Board Game
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 46
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $89 → $5.4k → $180 → $239 → $120 → $839 → $150 (still earning) → $120 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Real Time Tactics + Board Game: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 46
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $150 (exactly $150)
Top 25% $1.9k (exactly $1,946)
Top 5% $25k (exactly $24,746)
Developers, 2 yr 46
Released games 131
Announced 52
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $3.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 80% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 22%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Real Time Tactics
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Board Game
effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Real Time Tactics, Board Game; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Strategy, Tabletop, PvP
Price point
$3.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $3.99.

The top 10 games average 89% positive over 3,488 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $150, 1 in 4 over $1.9k, 1 in 20 over $24k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. 9 in 10 of the 30 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 52 games are announced against 23 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.3 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Real Time Tactics with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + DragonsStrong odds17 devs · median $6.6k · 19 announced
  2. + Outbreak SimFair12 devs · median $1.8k · 14 announced
  3. + HackingFair11 devs · median $987 · 11 announced
  4. + World War IIPoor odds24 devs · median $67k · 35 announced
  5. + Cold WarPoor odds9 devs · median $19k · 16 announced
  6. + HistoricalPoor odds88 devs · median $19k · 154 announced
  7. + Real-Time with PausePoor odds19 devs · median $16k · 31 announced
  8. + Real-TimePoor odds16 devs · median $16k · 26 announced
  9. + MechsPoor odds16 devs · median $13k · 32 announced
  10. + Vehicular CombatPoor odds20 devs · median $9.6k · 50 announced
  11. + God GamePoor odds19 devs · median $7.8k · 32 announced
  12. + Open WorldPoor odds29 devs · median $7.2k · 111 announced

All 176 pairs on the Real Time Tactics page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Ultimate General: Civil War 2017 · $7.5M Drop Duchy 2025 · $1.3M Line War 2022 · $807k Dark Future: Blood Red States (Classic) 2019 · $187k Fritz 19 SE 2023 · $59k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Ultimate General: Civil War older $29.99 8,331 88% 250k $7.5M (exactly $7,495,401) Game-Labs
Drop Duchy $14.99 2,962 89% 89k $1.3M (exactly $1,332,011) Sleepy Mill Studio
Line War older $24.99 1,076 80% 32k $807k (exactly $806,677) Studio Centurion
Dark Future: Blood Red States (Classic) older $24.99 250 70% 7.5k $187k (exactly $187,425) Auroch Digital
Fritz 19 SE older $69.99 28 71% 840 $59k (exactly $58,792) ChessBase GmbH
Let's Play! Oink Games older $24.99 66 78% 2.0k $49k (exactly $49,480) Oink Games Inc.
Roma Invicta older $5.99 231 83% 6.9k $42k (exactly $41,511) Puntigames
Hyper Chess $2.99 321 92% 9.6k $29k (exactly $28,794) Grouch, SuitNtie
Fritz Chess 20 Steam Edition $54.99 15 46% 450 $25k (exactly $24,746) ChessBase GmbH
Touhou DollDraft older $14.99 38 68% 1.1k $17k (exactly $17,089) milliondoubts
Legacy of Sin: Ill-Boding $12.99 23 69% 690 $9.0k (exactly $8,963) Absolute Power Game Studio
Bullet: Surge $15.99 18 94% 540 $8.6k (exactly $8,635) Cerbere Games
VELATO · EA $8.99 18 100% 540 $4.9k (exactly $4,855) VELATO
Carnival Heroes - Super party minigames $3.99 39 97% 1.2k $4.7k (exactly $4,668) LAN - GAMES LTD
即时象棋：旧棋新弈 Hyper Chinese Chess $1.99 51 76% 1.5k $3.0k (exactly $3,045) 上弦月工作室AscentGames
Demon Princess Retreat $3.99 21 85% 630 $2.5k (exactly $2,514) OneShotStudio, SamAFEI
ホロライブオールスター バトルタイルズ $3.99 20 25% 600 $2.4k (exactly $2,394) BG2研

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.