Do I ship it?

GamesReal Time TacticsReal Time Tactics + Beat 'em up

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Beat 'em up Real Time Tactics?

Real Time Tactics + Beat 'em up

Only 13 developers shipped a Beat 'em up Real Time Tactics in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Halluci-Sabbat of Koishi, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 15 more are announced, ×2.1 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $0 in the last 2 years and $180 over 4, against a market of $630 for a 6 / 10 build. 7 developers shipped in the last year and 15 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.0 times the market baseline, revenue down 100% on the market, 15 announced, ×2.1 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Real Time Tactics + Beat 'em up
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 13
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $94k → $0 → $120 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Real Time Tactics + Beat 'em up: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 13
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $0 (exactly $0)
Top 25% $836 (exactly $836)
Top 5% $168k (exactly $168,030)
Developers, 2 yr 13
Released games 37
Announced 15
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $3.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 15% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Real Time Tactics
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Beat 'em up
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Real Time Tactics, Beat 'em up
Price point
$3.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 6 games average 90% positive over 748 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $0, 1 in 4 over $830, 1 in 20 over $160k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. 8 in 10 of the 6 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 15 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.1 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Real Time Tactics with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + DragonsStrong odds17 devs · median $6.6k · 19 announced
  2. + Outbreak SimFair12 devs · median $1.8k · 14 announced
  3. + HackingFair11 devs · median $987 · 11 announced
  4. + World War IIPoor odds24 devs · median $67k · 35 announced
  5. + Cold WarPoor odds9 devs · median $19k · 16 announced
  6. + HistoricalPoor odds88 devs · median $19k · 154 announced
  7. + Real-Time with PausePoor odds19 devs · median $16k · 31 announced
  8. + Real-TimePoor odds16 devs · median $16k · 26 announced
  9. + MechsPoor odds16 devs · median $13k · 32 announced
  10. + Vehicular CombatPoor odds20 devs · median $9.6k · 50 announced
  11. + God GamePoor odds19 devs · median $7.8k · 32 announced
  12. + Open WorldPoor odds29 devs · median $7.2k · 111 announced

All 176 pairs on the Real Time Tactics page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Endorphin Vice · EA older $9.99 3,436 56% 103k $1.0M (exactly $1,029,769) Endorphin Studios
RUNGORE older $14.99 991 85% 30k $446k (exactly $445,653) YOUR_MOM'S_HP, RavenJm
Halluci-Sabbat of Koishi $7.99 701 91% 21k $168k (exactly $168,030) ZRIGN 地霊研究院
Tactic Boxing older $9.99 416 77% 12k $125k (exactly $124,675) Stately Eagle Games
Bloody Knuckles Street Boxing · EA older $14.99 210 52% 6.3k $94k (exactly $94,437) Luvseatshawty
Control Craft 2 older $4.99 274 72% 8.2k $41k (exactly $41,018) Cristian Manolachi, Atomic Fabrik
MiceGard older $12.99 88 84% 2.6k $34k (exactly $34,294) Game Dynasty, Aivictory
Reloader: test_subject older $0.99 295 92% 8.9k $8.8k (exactly $8,762) Nevertheless Studio
Clavis Kinkygate: Treasure of Danau River $4.99 23 34% 690 $3.4k (exactly $3,443) 淫門之鑰工作室
Gachi Dungeon Master older $2.99 32 96% 960 $2.9k (exactly $2,870) Slippy Floor
BULLET GIRL:ZOMBIE DEFENSE $3.99 8 100% 240 $958 (exactly $958) Sojourner. Game
Battle Balls · EA $1.99 14 100% 420 $836 (exactly $836) Fonderland Studios
Bear Brigade: Ocean Attack! $5.00 1 100% 30 $150 (exactly $150) Nodnin Studios
Everyone Moves With You $3.99 1 100% 30 $120 (exactly $120) DIG Games
Last Wave $5.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Novae Interactive LTD
The Ultimate Box Games · EA $6.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Muddy Creek Games
Poligons $1.00 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Vespa Nera
Forces of Nature $3.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Mean Bean Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.