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Should I ship a Psychological-Horror Battle Royale?
Battle Royale + Psychological Horror
Only 12 developers shipped a Psychological-Horror Battle Royale in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Final Sentence, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 18 more are announced, ×3.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 10 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $3.2k, ×2.4 the market's $1.3k for a 10 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $240; 1 in 20 cleared $320k, ×244 the market median. Revenue is up 140% on the market; 18 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $239 (exactly $239) |
|---|---|
| Median | $3.2k (exactly $3,224) |
| Top 25% | $5.4k (exactly $5,433) |
| Top 5% | $328k (exactly $328,172) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 12 |
| Released games | 40 |
| Announced | 18 |
| Effort | 10 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $3.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 140% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.
Free games: 20%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Battle Royale
- effort 10 / 10 · low · 100-player servers and constant live ops
- Psychological Horror
- effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
What it takes
- Effort
- 10 / 10 · studio only
- Systems
- Battle Royale
- Price point
- $3.99 typical
Why players buy here
The top 10 games average 80% positive over 1,521 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $240. 8 in 10 of the 6 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 18 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.0 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Battle Royale with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Immersive SimFair
- + MysteryLong shot
- + LootPoor odds
- + SportsPoor odds
- + Hero ShooterPoor odds
- + PuzzlePoor odds
- + Dungeon CrawlerPoor odds
- + Co-opPoor odds
- + SandboxPoor odds
- + 4 Player LocalPoor odds
- + RoguelitePoor odds
- + Combat RacingPoor odds
Comparable games
GENSOU Skydrift 2019 · $404k 
Final Sentence 2026 · $328k 
Taboos: Cracks 2019 · $96k 
Eve of Souls: Static Pod 2019 · EA · $42k 
NIGHT CROW 2024 · $41k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | GENSOU Skydrift | older | $23.99 | 561 88% | 17k | $404k (exactly $403,752) | illuCalab |
| | Final Sentence | $9.99 | 1,095 84% | 33k | $328k (exactly $328,172) | Button Mash | |
| | Taboos: Cracks | older | $1.99 | 1,609 80% | 48k | $96k (exactly $96,057) | DSGame |
| | Eve of Souls: Static Pod | · EA older | $2.99 | 468 95% | 14k | $42k (exactly $41,980) | LighTea Fish Studio |
| | NIGHT CROW | older | $15.99 | 85 68% | 2.6k | $41k (exactly $40,774) | Ge-Aivan |
 | Back：Fade | $6.99 | 191 76% | 5.7k | $40k (exactly $40,053) | MYSTERY CROWN | |
 | 惊险极速 | · EA older | $6.99 | 91 97% | 2.7k | $19k (exactly $19,083) | 个人 |
 | Zombie sanctuary: Ash | older | $69.99 | 6 66% | 180 | $13k (exactly $12,598) | 7miao game |
 | LASERS | older | $2.99 | 127 66% | 3.8k | $11k (exactly $11,392) | Straight Back Games |
 | Five Nights: No Escape | older | $9.99 | 33 66% | 990 | $9.9k (exactly $9,890) | Fun Cradle |
 | Idiom Royale | $1.99 | 91 63% | 2.7k | $5.4k (exactly $5,433) | NyxWorks | |
 | Final Word Royale | $4.99 | 30 60% | 900 | $4.5k (exactly $4,491) | NyxWorks | |
 | CipherMind | $7.99 | 18 77% | 540 | $4.3k (exactly $4,315) | Pigeon Games | |
 | Crab Game 2 | $3.99 | 36 22% | 1.1k | $4.3k (exactly $4,309) | Jeff | |
 | 鬼灵的冒险GUILING's Adventure | $1.99 | 54 94% | 1.6k | $3.2k (exactly $3,224) | 硅晶石工作室Sicrystal Studio | |
 | SurrounDead Poly Japan Sakura | · EA | $15.99 | 1 100% | 30 | $480 (exactly $480) | LivingEveryday |
 | The Night of Escape | $3.99 | 3 0% | 90 | $359 (exactly $359) | LiTang | |
 | Rescue Girl Operation: Code X | $3.99 | 2 50% | 60 | $239 (exactly $239) | 2024-NGame |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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