Do I ship it?

GamesBase BuildingBase Building + World War II

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a WWII Base Building game?

Base Building + World War II

Only 5 developers shipped a WWII Base Building game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Ground of Aces, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 14 more are announced, ×7.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 6 / 10 build.

Only 2 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $1.0k against a market of $630. 14 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 1.6 times the market baseline, revenue too few recent games to read momentum, 14 announced, ×7.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Base Building + World War II
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 5

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Base Building + World War II: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 5
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $1.0k (exactly $1,015)
Top 25% $110k (exactly $110,372)
Top 5% $1.3M (exactly $1,273,076)
Developers, 2 yr 5
Released games 28
Announced 14
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 35% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 29%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Base Building
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
World War II
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Base Building
Price point
$9.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $29.99 or above; the middle game at $18.99.

The top 10 games average 81% positive over 140,675 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $1.0k, 1 in 4 over $110k, 1 in 20 over $1.2M.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. 14 games are announced against 2 developers who shipped in the last year, ×7.0 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Base Building with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + ProgrammingFair13 devs · median $53k · 21 announced
  2. + DwarvesFair12 devs · median $13k · 19 announced
  3. + Bullet HellFair61 devs · median $540 · 67 announced
  4. + DiplomacyPoor odds19 devs · median $520k · 47 announced
  5. + SailingPoor odds9 devs · median $356k · 38 announced
  6. + Dating SimPoor odds19 devs · median $128k · 21 announced
  7. + TrainsPoor odds19 devs · median $113k · 47 announced
  8. + Real-Time with PausePoor odds20 devs · median $73k · 35 announced
  9. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds130 devs · median $72k · 262 announced
  10. + UndergroundPoor odds12 devs · median $65k · 71 announced
  11. + MarsPoor odds15 devs · median $58k · 28 announced
  12. + HistoricalPoor odds81 devs · median $58k · 175 announced

All 175 pairs on the Base Building page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Foxhole older $29.99 47,330 79% 1.4M $43M (exactly $42,582,801) Siege Camp
Company of Heroes 2 older $19.99 68,909 80% 2.1M $41M (exactly $41,324,727) Relic Entertainment, Feral Interactive… (Relic Entertainment, Feral Interactive (Mac), Feral Interactive (Linux))
Company of Heroes older $14.99 12,612 94% 378k $5.7M (exactly $5,671,616) Relic Entertainment
Company of Heroes - Legacy Edition older $36.99 4,831 92% 145k $5.4M (exactly $5,360,961) Relic Entertainment
Ground of Aces · EA $29.99 1,415 84% 42k $1.3M (exactly $1,273,076) Blindflug Studios AG
Company of Heroes: Tales of Valor older $19.99 1,642 91% 49k $985k (exactly $984,707) Relic Entertainment
WW2 Rebuilder older $19.99 1,504 84% 45k $902k (exactly $901,949) Madnetic Games
Aircraft Carrier Survival older $19.99 1,176 59% 35k $705k (exactly $705,247) Gambit Games Studio
Company of Heroes: Opposing Fronts older $19.99 818 90% 25k $491k (exactly $490,555) Relic Entertainment
Project Wunderwaffe older $14.99 438 56% 13k $197k (exactly $196,969) Weasel Games
Victory at Sea Atlantic - World War II Naval Warfare $39.99 92 60% 2.8k $110k (exactly $110,372) Evil Twin Artworks
War Untold · EA $1.99 17 82% 510 $1.0k (exactly $1,015) Green Giraffe
Terra Lapsa: After Ragnarök $9.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) PalotásForge
Tank Tower Defense 坦克塔防 $2.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Azure Dragon Studio

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.