Do I ship it?

GamesBase BuildingBase Building + Tanks

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Tanks Base Building game?

Base Building + Tanks

Only 10 developers shipped a Tanks Base Building game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, The Front, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 33 more are announced, ×11 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 5 / 10 build.

Only 3 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $16k against a market of $630. 33 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 24.8 times the market baseline, revenue up 15485% on the market, 33 announced, ×11 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Base Building + Tanks
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 10
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $3.2k → $16k → $4.0k
Outcomes for Base Building + Tanks: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 10
Bottom 30% $1.0k (exactly $1,015)
Median $16k (exactly $15,584)
Top 25% $88k (exactly $88,141)
Top 5% $5.7M (exactly $5,730,134)
Developers, 2 yr 10
Released games 38
Announced 33
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $14.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 15485% on the market, supply 55% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 16%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Base Building
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Tanks
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Base Building, Tanks
Price point
$14.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 69% positive over 11,601 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $1.1k, median $16k, 1 in 4 over $88k, 1 in 20 over $5.7M.

3 in 10 developers made under $1.1k. 8 in 10 of the 8 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 33 games are announced against 3 developers who shipped in the last year, ×11 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Base Building with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + ProgrammingFair13 devs · median $53k · 21 announced
  2. + DwarvesFair12 devs · median $13k · 19 announced
  3. + Bullet HellFair61 devs · median $540 · 67 announced
  4. + DiplomacyPoor odds19 devs · median $520k · 47 announced
  5. + SailingPoor odds9 devs · median $356k · 38 announced
  6. + Dating SimPoor odds19 devs · median $128k · 21 announced
  7. + TrainsPoor odds19 devs · median $113k · 47 announced
  8. + Real-Time with PausePoor odds20 devs · median $73k · 35 announced
  9. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds130 devs · median $72k · 262 announced
  10. + UndergroundPoor odds12 devs · median $65k · 71 announced
  11. + MarsPoor odds15 devs · median $58k · 28 announced
  12. + HistoricalPoor odds81 devs · median $58k · 175 announced

All 175 pairs on the Base Building page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Company of Heroes 2 older $19.99 68,909 80% 2.1M $41M (exactly $41,324,727) Relic Entertainment, Feral Interactive… (Relic Entertainment, Feral Interactive (Mac), Feral Interactive (Linux))
Command & Conquer™ Remastered Collection older $19.99 31,503 90% 945k $19M (exactly $18,892,349) Petroglyph, Lemon Sky Studios
The Front $19.99 9,555 66% 287k $5.7M (exactly $5,730,134) Samar Studio
Company of Heroes - Legacy Edition older $36.99 4,831 92% 145k $5.4M (exactly $5,360,961) Relic Entertainment
Act of Aggression - Reboot Edition older $29.99 2,479 65% 74k $2.2M (exactly $2,230,356) Eugen Systems
Line War older $24.99 1,076 80% 32k $807k (exactly $806,677) Studio Centurion
Vietnam War · EA $14.99 1,704 84% 51k $766k (exactly $766,289) Thorium Game Lab
Battlezone 98 Redux older $19.99 1,044 91% 31k $626k (exactly $626,087) Big Boat Interactive
Company of Heroes: Opposing Fronts older $19.99 818 90% 25k $491k (exactly $490,555) Relic Entertainment
Stickman Trenches older $5.99 1,922 81% 58k $345k (exactly $345,383) Big Play Games
D.O.T. Defence $14.99 196 85% 5.9k $88k (exactly $88,141) Rattleaxe Games
Tactical Annihilation $15.99 56 98% 1.7k $27k (exactly $26,863) B.G. Game Studio
Tactical Warfare $9.99 52 67% 1.6k $16k (exactly $15,584) Mizrab
Rage Of Towers $14.99 9 77% 270 $4.0k (exactly $4,047) Tiger Among Shadows
War Untold · EA $1.99 17 82% 510 $1.0k (exactly $1,015) Green Giraffe
FEBA Gunship R $2.99 9 100% 270 $807 (exactly $807) rucsgames
Blitz Society $4.99 2 100% 60 $299 (exactly $299) Ryan Evans
hotland $1.99 1 100% 30 $60 (exactly $60) AdamasZ

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.