Do I ship it?

GamesBase BuildingBase Building + Point & Click

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Point & Click Base Building game?

Base Building + Point & Click

Of 27 developers who shipped a Point & Click Base Building game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 63 more are announced, ×3.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.1k, ×1.7 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $450; 1 in 20 cleared $130k, ×221 the market median. Revenue is up 145% on the market; 63 games are announced against 19 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.7 times the market baseline, revenue up 145% on the market, 63 announced, ×3.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Base Building + Point & Click
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 27
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $36k → $599 → $119 → $824 → $628 → $3.2k → $989 (still earning) → $0 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Base Building + Point & Click: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 27
Bottom 30% $450 (exactly $450)
Median $1.1k (exactly $1,077)
Top 25% $5.2k (exactly $5,240)
Top 5% $139k (exactly $139,061)
Developers, 2 yr 27
Released games 80
Announced 63
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 145% on the market, supply 140% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 15%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Base Building
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Point & Click
effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Base Building, Point & Click; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Management, Building, Exploration
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, 3D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 75% positive over 4,091 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $450, median $1.1k, 1 in 4 over $5.2k, 1 in 20 over $130k.

3 in 10 developers made under $450. 9 in 10 of the 8 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 63 games are announced against 19 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.3 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Base Building with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + ProgrammingFair13 devs · median $53k · 21 announced
  2. + DwarvesFair12 devs · median $13k · 19 announced
  3. + Bullet HellFair61 devs · median $540 · 67 announced
  4. + DiplomacyPoor odds19 devs · median $520k · 47 announced
  5. + SailingPoor odds9 devs · median $356k · 38 announced
  6. + Dating SimPoor odds19 devs · median $128k · 21 announced
  7. + TrainsPoor odds19 devs · median $113k · 47 announced
  8. + Real-Time with PausePoor odds20 devs · median $73k · 35 announced
  9. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds130 devs · median $72k · 262 announced
  10. + UndergroundPoor odds12 devs · median $65k · 71 announced
  11. + MarsPoor odds15 devs · median $58k · 28 announced
  12. + HistoricalPoor odds81 devs · median $58k · 175 announced

All 175 pairs on the Base Building page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Mr. Prepper older $19.99 4,795 81% 144k $2.9M (exactly $2,875,562) Rejected Games
BitCraft Online · EA $15.99 3,334 72% 100k $1.6M (exactly $1,599,320) Clockwork Laboratories, Inc.
Capybara Spa older $7.99 1,345 94% 40k $322k (exactly $322,396) Cozy Bee Games
Tame It! older $14.99 535 84% 16k $241k (exactly $240,590) Manka Games
Arcade Tycoon ™ : Simulation Game older $14.99 452 80% 14k $203k (exactly $203,264) Squidpunch Studios, Vincent Ltd
Midori no Kaori $9.99 464 94% 14k $139k (exactly $139,061) TheLaba
Organs Please older $13.99 202 82% 6.1k $85k (exactly $84,779) TECHHOME
LAN Party Adventures $14.99 93 89% 2.8k $42k (exactly $41,822) LEAP Game Studios
Cruise Ship Manager older $9.99 119 38% 3.6k $36k (exactly $35,664) Image Power S.A.
Island Farmer - Jigsaw Puzzle older $1.99 463 94% 14k $28k (exactly $27,641) Mens Sana Interactive
Almost Castaways $12.90 20 100% 600 $7.7k (exactly $7,740) Pent Panda
Cradle of the Dark Brood $4.99 38 78% 1.1k $5.7k (exactly $5,689) RyuseGames
Chronominion Idler · EA $7.99 22 81% 660 $5.3k (exactly $5,273) Indie Addict Game Studio
Dworf's Forbidden Gold $4.99 35 57% 1.1k $5.2k (exactly $5,240) Hadamant
Blueprint Bob $6.99 18 100% 540 $3.8k (exactly $3,775) Alexander Lahti, Suumpmolk, The LoFi Bo… (Alexander Lahti, Suumpmolk, The LoFi Boi, MrMusicGuy)
Buttons Up! $1.99 53 84% 1.6k $3.2k (exactly $3,164) Jestercraft
Gym Empire - Idle Gym Tycoon Management $4.99 14 71% 420 $2.1k (exactly $2,096) Chronik Spartan

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.